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Bendigo Braves vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 99-93
27-23 27-19 24-25 21-26
Position#13
Record9-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#11
Record11-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game93.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Bendigo Braves v Ballarat
31 May 2025
BEND109
BALL112
01 Jun 2024
BEND75
BALL76
15 Jul 2023
BEND99
BALL93
07 May 2022
BEND82
BALL91
01 Aug 2021
BEND84
BALL71
22 Jun 2019
BEND84
BALL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#10
W
109-97
109
97
+12
H27/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
107-93
107
93
+14
A28/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
80-97
80
97
-17
H03/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H04/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
H18/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
H23/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A25/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A30/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
107-97
107
97
+10
A08/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
65-105
65
105
-40
A09/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
21-28
30-27
28-15
28-20
26-22
29-26
24-25
19-21
27-20
15-30
19-26
22-14
19-17
17-17
20-17
26-15
15-23
19-21
15-16
21-25
13-15
21-13
18-20
20-21
25-14
19-29
25-24
19-29
9-22
24-17
13-26
27-29
24-23
25-18
31-27
13-33
24-29
12-25
16-18
177.6Avg total
87.3Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.994.0180.9-7.045%
Season at home (10)88.490.9179.3-2.550%
Season away (10)85.497.0182.4-11.640%
Last 10 (10)87.390.3177.6-3.060%
Last 5 (5)81.693.4175.0-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)88.195.2183.4-7.141%
vs Similar (8)85.888.4174.1-2.650%
vs Weaker (5)83.276.4159.6+6.880%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A27/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
H03/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
88-106
88
106
-18
A04/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
85-105
85
105
-20
H18/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
97-96
97
96
+1
A24/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
H30/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H02/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
107-104
107
104
+3
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
H09/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
18-31
26-25
18-16
18-14
22-30
19-23
28-32
14-28
26-27
27-23
21-28
27-28
29-26
19-20
27-7
26-24
19-30
16-28
24-23
25-26
23-22
25-25
24-23
19-17
25-24
23-28
29-27
25-13
20-21
17-16
20-18
32-28
26-16
25-30
24-30
31-24
29-29
19-18
26-16
190.7Avg total
95.7Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)93.893.9187.7-0.152%
Season at home (11)96.892.4189.2+4.555%
Season away (10)90.495.6186.0-5.250%
Last 10 (10)95.795.0190.7+0.760%
Last 5 (5)100.293.6193.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.393.9176.2-11.620%
vs Similar (13)91.293.8184.9-2.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)96.489.3185.7+7.171%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
Bendigo BravesBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#10
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H27/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A28/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H03/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H04/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H18/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H23/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A25/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A30/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A08/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A09/07
NBL1 South
87.5Avg total
42.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.346.189.4-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.143.989.1+1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.248.589.7-7.329%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.787.5-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.048.087.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)44.148.992.9-4.835%-
vs Similar (8)42.944.187.0-1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)41.439.681.0+1.880%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A27/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H03/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A04/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H18/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A24/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H09/07
NBL1 South
94.8Avg total
47.7Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.947.294.1-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.146.495.5+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)44.448.192.4-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)47.747.194.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)51.044.095.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.947.092.9-1.140%-
vs Similar (13)46.745.692.3+1.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.650.499.0-1.929%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bendigo Braves wins
5
Ballarat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/23ASandringham Sabres65-105
08/07/23ANunawading107-97
30/06/23AMt Gambier65-94
25/06/23AKeilor Thunder89-88
23/06/23HMelbourne Tigers82-83 OT
18/06/23HEltham91-84 OT
04/06/23HCasey Cavaliers78-65
03/06/23HWaverley80-97
28/05/23ARingwood107-93
27/05/23HGeelong109-97
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/23HDiamond Valley105-87
08/07/23AGeelong107-104
02/07/23HEltham82-68
30/06/23HRingwood110-113 OT
24/06/23AKilsyth97-96
18/06/23HMt Gambier85-105
17/06/23HNW Tasmania102-81
04/06/23AMelbourne Tigers88-106
03/06/23HSandringham Sabres87-99
27/05/23ACasey Cavaliers94-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game86.988.485.4
Allowed / game94.090.997.0
Point differential-7.0-2.5-11.6
Avg total180.8179.3182.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game93.896.890.4
Allowed / game93.992.495.6
Point differential-0.1+4.5-5.2
Avg total187.7189.2186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2016480%89.876.0+13.8
2 Frankston2115671%93.384.4+8.9
3 Sandringham Sabres2014670%93.085.0+8.0
4 Mt Gambier2014670%93.886.0+7.7
5 Eltham2012860%88.283.2+4.9
6 Waverley2012860%87.085.2+1.9
7 Nunawading2112957%91.386.6+4.7
8 Diamond Valley2112957%87.488.3-0.9
9 Hobart Chargers22121055%86.185.9+0.2
10 Ballarat21111052%93.893.9-0.1
11 Geelong21101148%89.988.3+1.5
12 Melbourne Tigers21101148%83.585.9-2.4
13 Bendigo Braves2091145%86.994.0-7.0
14 Kilsyth2191243%87.288.9-1.7
15 Ringwood2181338%89.693.1-3.5
16 Keilor Thunder2181338%87.394.3-7.0
17 NW Tasmania2271532%80.888.5-7.6
18 Casey Cavaliers2031715%74.587.5-13.0
19 Dandenong2131814%85.893.0-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo Braves2727242199
Ballarat2319252693
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