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Ballarat vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 89-86 (OT)
13-20 16-17 27-21 20-18 13-10
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#7
Record6-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game85.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Ballarat v Knox
25 May 2024
BALL89
KNOX86
13 May 2023
BALL92
KNOX99
10 Jul 2021
BALL83
KNOX77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H03/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H07/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
105-94
105
94
+11
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
112-81
112
81
+31
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
113-83
113
83
+30
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A12/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A18/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
22-18
22-22
33-26
18-18
25-18
19-23
17-22
30-28
23-26
26-20
26-20
32-14
28-23
24-31
28-13
26-29
27-31
23-17
19-21
19-14
21-23
23-25
25-17
33-21
22-15
28-20
30-27
20-24
32-19
17-23
26-16
22-16
20-19
17-19
21-14
24-14
20-22
23-20
11-24
177.4Avg total
94.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)94.283.2177.4+11.070%
Season at home (4)95.882.5178.2+13.275%
Season away (6)93.283.7176.8+9.567%
Last 10 (10)94.283.2177.4+11.070%
Last 5 (5)90.878.4169.2+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)88.694.6183.2-6.038%
vs Similar (9)95.495.9191.3-0.456%
vs Weaker (13)94.385.8180.1+8.562%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#16
W
109-83
109
83
+26
A06/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
99-103
99
103
-4
A11/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
87-55
87
55
+32
A14/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A20/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
101-72
101
72
+29
A27/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
107-83
107
83
+24
H04/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
H11/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
A12/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
H18/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H19/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
26-27
24-14
32-22
34-30
28-16
15-29
22-28
24-6
19-15
18-21
26-13
26-23
24-19
12-23
12-14
22-18
23-15
31-22
25-17
24-21
23-20
24-20
36-22
19-30
25-12
19-21
20-20
27-23
17-20
21-14
17-25
13-32
17-19
31-22
16-25
12-19
25-21
31-17
23-23
176.8Avg total
92.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)93.785.4179.1+8.455%
Season at home (4)91.589.8181.2+1.850%
Season away (7)95.082.9177.9+12.157%
Last 10 (10)92.284.6176.8+7.650%
Last 5 (5)90.490.8181.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)90.795.3186.0-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)94.379.4173.7+14.981%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
BallaratKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A12/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/05
NBL1 South
89.6Avg total
48.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.846.093.8+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.845.395.1+4.569%-
Last 30 away (17)46.246.592.8-0.341%-
Last 10 (10)48.441.289.6+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.637.484.0+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)49.648.698.2+1.038%-
vs Similar (9)47.045.692.6+1.467%-
vs Weaker (13)47.244.791.8+2.554%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#16
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A06/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A11/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A14/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A20/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H04/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H11/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A12/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H18/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H19/05
NBL1 South
86.1Avg total
45.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.939.286.1+7.880%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.639.284.9+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)48.439.187.5+9.493%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.686.1+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.483.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.347.092.3-1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.138.385.4+8.881%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ballarat wins
2
Knox wins
DateGameScore
13/05/23Ballarat v Knox92-99
02/07/22Knox v Ballarat81-62
10/07/21Ballarat v Knox83-77
27/04/19Knox v Ballarat68-90
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24AMelbourne Tigers78-80
12/05/24AKilsyth80-68
11/05/24HEltham95-82
04/05/24AKeilor Thunder113-83
27/04/24AHobart Chargers88-79
26/04/24ANW Tasmania95-98
20/04/24HRingwood112-81
14/04/24AMt Gambier105-94
07/04/24HGeelong79-81
03/04/24HBendigo Braves97-86
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24HHobart Chargers91-80
18/05/24HMt Gambier77-98
12/05/24AEltham86-95 OT
11/05/24HWaverley91-98 OT
04/05/24HCasey Cavaliers107-83
27/04/24ADiamond Valley101-72
20/04/24ADandenong74-79
14/04/24AMelbourne Tigers87-55
11/04/24ARingwood99-103
06/04/24AKilsyth109-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game94.295.893.2
Allowed / game83.282.583.7
Point differential+11.0+13.2+9.5
Avg total177.4178.2176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Knox
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW55%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%50%57%
Points / game93.791.595.0
Allowed / game85.489.882.9
Point differential+8.4+1.8+12.1
Avg total179.1181.2177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %18%25%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier129375%89.482.2+7.2
2 Ballarat107370%94.283.2+11.0
3 Waverley117464%90.984.8+6.1
4 Dandenong138562%85.581.6+3.9
5 Sandringham Sabres106460%91.782.0+9.7
6 Frankston106460%93.283.8+9.4
7 Keilor Thunder127558%92.297.5-5.2
8 Knox116555%93.785.4+8.4
9 Eltham116555%90.183.7+6.4
10 Nunawading116555%86.083.5+2.5
11 Hobart Chargers116555%80.179.5+0.5
12 NW Tasmania126650%83.588.4-4.9
13 Ringwood136746%86.688.2-1.5
14 Bendigo Braves136746%80.986.0-5.1
15 Melbourne Tigers115645%77.783.2-5.5
16 Geelong124833%79.987.0-7.1
17 Kilsyth123925%79.389.6-10.2
18 Diamond Valley102820%83.697.0-13.4
19 Casey Cavaliers112918%77.986.2-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ballarat131627201389
Knox201721181086
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