PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Melbourne Tigers vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 80-78
14-24 22-20 20-23 24-11
Position#13
Record4-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#5
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game83.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat
26 Jul 2025
MELB89
BALL77
18 May 2024
MELB80
BALL78
04 Jun 2023
MELB106
BALL88
07 Aug 2022
MELB86
BALL78
27 Jun 2021
MELB77
BALL92
20 May 2017
MELB55
BALL86
08 May 2016
MELB82
BALL103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H04/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H07/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H13/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
55-87
55
87
-32
H14/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A20/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A21/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H27/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A04/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A10/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A11/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
19-30
19-24
20-18
18-18
21-29
21-16
14-26
14-23
16-21
20-19
24-17
6-24
15-19
21-18
13-26
29-27
17-21
25-29
23-16
30-17
18-20
26-17
15-25
24-22
24-13
17-24
24-22
22-20
19-15
15-25
15-25
15-17
18-20
22-25
8-19
28-19
21-17
16-10
19-28
161.2Avg total
77.5Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.583.7161.2-6.240%
Season at home (5)74.885.0159.8-10.220%
Season away (5)80.282.4162.6-2.260%
Last 10 (10)77.583.7161.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)79.280.0159.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.987.2166.1-8.238%
vs Similar (10)85.483.2168.6+2.250%
vs Weaker (4)82.278.5160.8+3.875%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A15/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H03/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H07/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
105-94
105
94
+11
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
112-81
112
81
+31
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
113-83
113
83
+30
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A12/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
19-27
25-24
26-21
20-20
22-18
22-22
33-26
18-18
25-18
19-23
17-22
30-28
23-26
26-20
26-20
32-14
28-23
24-31
28-13
26-29
27-31
23-17
19-21
19-14
21-23
23-25
25-17
33-21
22-15
28-20
30-27
20-24
32-19
17-23
26-16
22-16
20-19
17-19
21-14
180.8Avg total
95.7Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)96.083.6179.6+12.478%
Season at home (4)95.882.5178.2+13.275%
Season away (5)96.284.4180.6+11.880%
Last 10 (10)95.785.1180.8+10.670%
Last 5 (5)94.282.0176.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.694.6183.2-6.038%
vs Similar (9)95.495.9191.3-0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)97.487.3184.7+10.169%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +5.4+5.4
Melbourne TigersBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H04/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H13/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H14/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A20/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H27/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A04/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A10/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A11/05
NBL1 South
80.6Avg total
39.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.483.9-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.242.985.1-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.982.7-1.053%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.880.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.079.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.843.684.4-2.938%-
vs Similar (10)44.442.586.9+1.960%-
vs Weaker (4)37.537.274.8+0.250%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A15/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A12/05
NBL1 South
91.2Avg total
48.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.446.795.1+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.746.196.8+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)46.447.293.6-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)48.243.091.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.290.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)49.648.698.2+1.038%-
vs Similar (9)47.045.692.6+1.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.646.294.8+2.454%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Melbourne Tigers wins
7
Ballarat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24ANW Tasmania84-74
10/05/24AHobart Chargers63-81
04/05/24ASandringham Sabres71-85
27/04/24HEltham89-81
21/04/24ADiamond Valley89-79
20/04/24AWaverley94-93
14/04/24HKnox55-87
13/04/24HRingwood74-80
07/04/24HNunawading74-89
04/04/24HDandenong82-88
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24AKilsyth80-68
11/05/24HEltham95-82
04/05/24AKeilor Thunder113-83
27/04/24AHobart Chargers88-79
26/04/24ANW Tasmania95-98
20/04/24HRingwood112-81
14/04/24AMt Gambier105-94
07/04/24HGeelong79-81
03/04/24HBendigo Braves97-86
15/07/23ABendigo Braves93-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW40%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%20%60%
Points / game77.574.880.2
Allowed / game83.785.082.4
Point differential-6.2-10.2-2.2
Avg total161.2159.8162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game96.095.896.2
Allowed / game83.682.584.4
Point differential+12.4+13.2+11.8
Avg total179.6178.2180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ballarat97278%96.083.6+12.4
2 Mt Gambier97278%89.383.1+6.2
3 Hobart Chargers96367%81.378.6+2.8
4 Waverley106460%91.385.1+6.2
5 Keilor Thunder106460%95.3100.3-5.0
6 Knox95456%95.984.6+11.3
7 Sandringham Sabres95456%91.981.7+10.2
8 Eltham95456%90.682.4+8.1
9 Frankston95456%90.883.9+6.9
10 Dandenong116555%85.982.9+3.0
11 Nunawading105550%84.884.2+0.6
12 Ringwood126650%87.088.2-1.2
13 Bendigo Braves115645%80.286.7-6.5
14 Geelong104640%79.584.0-4.5
15 Melbourne Tigers104640%77.583.7-6.2
16 NW Tasmania93633%82.890.9-8.1
17 Kilsyth103730%79.090.7-11.7
18 Diamond Valley82625%84.298.0-13.8
19 Casey Cavaliers102820%78.786.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers1422202480
Ballarat2420231178
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.