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Ballarat vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 83-77
32-20 19-22 17-15 15-20
Position#9
Record6-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#11
Record5-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game86.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Ballarat v Knox
25 May 2024
BALL89
KNOX86
13 May 2023
BALL92
KNOX99
10 Jul 2021
BALL83
KNOX77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A23/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
H01/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A15/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H26/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A27/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H03/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A04/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
17-15
29-31
19-18
14-14
18-14
21-21
14-18
15-16
8-30
21-12
25-11
20-17
24-29
18-20
15-23
22-20
17-22
27-20
19-25
18-19
15-21
25-12
10-16
9-12
16-10
13-20
12-19
16-18
26-21
21-22
29-16
26-15
27-17
21-21
20-14
29-14
18-23
23-12
18-20
157.8Avg total
80.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.576.9157.5+3.655%
Season at home (4)75.275.5150.8-0.225%
Season away (7)83.677.7161.3+5.971%
Last 10 (10)80.577.3157.8+3.250%
Last 5 (5)82.472.0154.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.3156.3-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.074.8152.8+3.250%
vs Weaker (23)88.375.0163.3+13.374%
This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
99-96
99
96
+3
A20/07
NBL 1
Geelong
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H17/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H24/04
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H01/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A08/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
93-118
93
118
-25
A15/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A22/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
103-80
103
80
+23
H26/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
W
101-100
101
100
+1
H03/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
94-80
94
80
+14
A04/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
28-29
17-19
21-22
14-16
10-16
14-24
30-22
24-24
16-15
13-15
19-9
15-22
20-13
16-24
27-14
18-21
20-32
21-14
14-25
13-28
26-32
24-29
30-29
15-19
11-32
24-24
16-20
29-15
16-24
30-26
28-15
27-28
21-22
32-26
21-24
22-19
23-24
26-19
23-18
172.2Avg total
84.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.186.6169.7-3.456%
Season at home (5)84.478.8163.2+5.680%
Season away (4)81.596.2177.8-14.825%
Last 10 (10)84.787.5172.2-2.860%
Last 5 (5)91.494.6186.0-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.691.2170.8-11.617%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.681.2162.9+0.457%
vs Weaker (3)90.777.0167.7+13.7100%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
BallaratKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A23/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H01/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H26/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/07
NBL1 South
73.1Avg total
36.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.481.2+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.839.180.9+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)43.737.881.5+5.967%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.473.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.074.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.035.370.3-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.535.068.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (23)45.339.484.8+5.965%-
This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A20/07
NBL 1
Geelong
#7
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H17/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H24/04
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H01/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A15/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A22/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H26/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H03/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/07
NBL1 South
85.8Avg total
40.1Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.743.583.2-3.838%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.642.980.5-5.320%-
Last 30 away (14)41.944.186.1-2.257%-
Last 10 (10)40.145.785.8-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.648.689.2-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.747.484.1-10.88%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.441.382.6+0.157%-
vs Weaker (3)44.038.382.3+5.767%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ballarat wins
0
Knox wins
DateGameScore
27/04/19Knox v Ballarat68-90
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/21ADiamond Valley88-69
03/07/21HNunawading94-67
27/06/21AMelbourne Tigers92-77
26/06/21HKilsyth50-61
22/05/21AMt Gambier88-86 OT
15/05/21ARingwood85-87
08/05/21HFrankston77-89
01/05/21HBendigo Braves80-85 OT
24/04/21ANW Tasmania74-71 OT
23/04/21AHobart Chargers77-81
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/21AEltham94-80
03/07/21HWaverley101-100
26/06/21HRingwood103-80
22/05/21ANunawading66-95
15/05/21AMt Gambier93-118
08/05/21ARingwood73-92
01/05/21HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits78-73
24/04/21HKilsyth72-63
17/04/21HGeelong68-78
20/07/19AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits99-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%25%71%
Points / game80.575.283.6
Allowed / game76.975.577.7
Point differential+3.6-0.2+5.9
Avg total157.5150.8161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %27%25%29%
Knox
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game83.184.481.5
Allowed / game86.678.896.2
Point differential-3.4+5.6-14.8
Avg total169.7163.2177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston129375%99.585.0+14.5
2 NW Tasmania129375%86.476.8+9.6
3 Hobart Chargers139469%94.987.2+7.7
4 Geelong139469%89.381.8+7.5
5 Waverley128467%89.382.3+7.0
6 Mt Gambier128467%99.093.2+5.8
7 Kilsyth106460%73.374.9-1.6
8 Knox95456%83.186.6-3.4
9 Ballarat116555%80.576.9+3.6
10 Bendigo Braves116555%87.289.0-1.8
11 Nunawading126650%83.678.9+4.7
12 Ringwood105550%87.488.2-0.8
13 Diamond Valley126650%86.887.7-0.9
14 Dandenong103730%86.392.4-6.1
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits123925%82.190.2-8.2
16 Eltham1221017%79.987.9-8.0
17 Melbourne Tigers1221017%80.897.2-16.3
18 Sandringham Sabres111109%81.599.5-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat3219171583
Knox2022152077
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