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Mt Gambier vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 May 2021
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 86-88 (OT)
19-18 21-15 12-25 16-10 18-20
Position#5
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Position#9
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game81.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Ballarat
14 Apr 2024
MT G94
BALL105
12 Aug 2022
MT G102
BALL70
22 May 2021
MT G86
BALL88
01 Jul 2017
MT G100
BALL75
29 Jul 2016
MT G91
BALL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#9
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A05/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H11/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H25/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H02/09
SEABL
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H17/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
122-90
122
90
+32
A24/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H01/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
A08/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
123-95
123
95
+28
A09/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
118-93
118
93
+25
H15/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
25-22
22-12
19-20
27-22
22-20
23-19
20-20
14-15
24-17
20-25
21-19
26-23
15-19
28-11
23-32
21-28
15-22
22-21
24-24
37-28
27-17
39-26
19-19
27-21
26-24
22-25
22-23
24-27
23-29
22-19
28-16
35-19
33-27
37-19
18-30
28-13
32-26
29-24
29-30
186.6Avg total
99.4Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)106.592.8199.3+13.783%
Season at home (3)99.093.7192.7+5.367%
Season away (3)114.092.0206.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)99.487.2186.6+12.290%
Last 5 (5)111.492.4203.8+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)89.588.5178.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (28)95.781.7177.4+14.089%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H13/07
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H20/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H10/08
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A17/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A23/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
H01/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A15/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
21-21
23-23
15-23
14-27
24-25
17-16
23-18
22-21
23-12
20-21
15-12
18-26
16-15
15-16
19-18
23-21
21-20
27-20
10-12
12-17
17-15
29-31
19-18
14-14
18-14
21-21
14-18
15-16
8-30
21-12
25-11
20-17
24-29
18-20
15-23
22-20
17-22
27-20
19-25
158.0Avg total
77.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.081.0160.0-2.033%
Season at home (2)78.587.0165.5-8.50%
Season away (4)79.278.0157.2+1.250%
Last 10 (10)77.780.3158.0-2.630%
Last 5 (5)78.682.6161.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.279.5156.8-2.250%
vs Similar ◀ (2)87.093.5180.5-6.50%
vs Weaker (24)88.276.0164.3+12.275%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
Mt GambierBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A05/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H11/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/09
SEABL
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H17/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A24/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H01/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A08/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
68-46
68
46
+22
A09/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H15/05
NBL1 South
94.5Avg total
50.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.340.989.3+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.139.588.6+9.681%-
Last 30 away (14)47.442.690.0+4.964%-
Last 10 (10)50.743.894.5+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)58.446.2104.6+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)43.551.094.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker (28)48.740.288.9+8.579%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H13/07
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H20/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H10/08
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A17/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A23/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H01/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/05
NBL1 South
77.2Avg total
36.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.582.8+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.941.283.1+0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)44.937.682.6+7.364%-
Last 10 (10)36.740.577.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.872.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.537.072.5-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)30.043.573.5-13.50%-
vs Weaker (24)45.739.685.3+6.162%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mt Gambier wins
0
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
01/07/17Mt Gambier v Ballarat100-75
22/04/17Ballarat v Mt Gambier79-91
06/08/16Ballarat v Mt Gambier89-90
29/07/16Mt Gambier v Ballarat91-79
21/06/15Ballarat v Mt Gambier73-91
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/21HKnox118-93
09/05/21AMelbourne Tigers123-95
08/05/21ADandenong97-91
01/05/21HRingwood97-93
24/04/21ASandringham Sabres122-90
17/04/21HBendigo Braves82-95
02/09/17HDandenong92-85
25/08/17HNunawading79-76
11/08/17HNunawading92-81
05/08/17AKilsyth92-73
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/21ARingwood85-87
08/05/21HFrankston77-89
01/05/21HBendigo Braves80-85 OT
24/04/21ANW Tasmania74-71 OT
23/04/21AHobart Chargers77-81
17/04/21AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits81-73
10/08/19HNunawading68-75
27/07/19HKilsyth80-66
20/07/19HMelbourne Tigers78-86
13/07/19HWaverley77-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game106.599.0114.0
Allowed / game92.893.792.0
Point differential+13.7+5.3+22.0
Avg total199.3192.7206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game79.078.579.2
Allowed / game81.087.078.0
Point differential-2.0-8.5+1.2
Avg total160.0165.5157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %33%50%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NW Tasmania76186%85.672.3+13.3
2 Mt Gambier65183%106.592.8+13.7
3 Frankston86275%95.082.0+13.0
4 Bendigo Braves75271%88.385.1+3.1
5 Geelong75271%81.078.4+2.6
6 Ringwood64267%90.384.0+6.3
7 Kilsyth64267%75.773.3+2.3
8 Diamond Valley85362%88.181.8+6.4
9 Nunawading74357%81.771.9+9.9
10 Hobart Chargers74357%87.186.7+0.4
11 Waverley63350%80.579.2+1.3
12 Ballarat62433%79.081.0-2.0
13 Knox62433%75.086.5-11.5
14 Eltham82625%78.884.9-6.1
15 Dandenong82625%87.294.4-7.1
16 Sandringham Sabres61517%81.098.5-17.5
17 Albury-Wodonga Bandits71614%78.788.3-9.6
18 Melbourne Tigers81712%83.4101.2-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mt Gambier192112161886
Ballarat181525102088
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