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Ballarat vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Jun 2021
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 50-61
9-12 16-10 13-20 12-19
Position#9
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Kilsyth 🏆
Australia
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game76.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Ballarat v Kilsyth
05 Jul 2025
BALL82
KILS85
26 Jun 2021
BALL50
KILS61
27 Jul 2019
BALL80
KILS66
21 May 2017
BALL81
KILS76
26 Apr 2015
BALL78
KILS100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kilsyth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H20/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H10/08
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A17/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A23/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
H01/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A15/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
A22/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
24-25
17-16
23-18
22-21
23-12
20-21
15-12
18-26
16-15
15-16
19-18
23-21
21-20
27-20
10-12
12-17
17-15
29-31
19-18
14-14
18-14
21-21
14-18
15-16
8-30
21-12
25-11
20-17
24-29
18-20
15-23
22-20
17-22
27-20
19-25
18-19
15-21
25-12
10-16
158.7Avg total
78.8Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.381.7162.0-1.443%
Season at home (2)78.587.0165.5-8.50%
Season away (5)81.079.6160.6+1.460%
Last 10 (10)78.879.9158.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)80.883.6164.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.3156.3-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (3)87.391.0178.3-3.733%
vs Weaker (24)88.276.0164.3+12.275%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H20/07
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A27/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
104-115
104
115
-11
H04/08
NBL 1
Waverley
#4
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H17/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A24/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H01/05
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
98-69
98
69
+29
A08/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H15/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A22/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
63-98
63
98
-35
H23/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
22-25
27-17
20-20
21-22
12-23
21-20
12-15
18-33
27-22
18-25
41-35
19-13
19-22
14-15
17-18
24-24
15-16
15-13
9-19
20-14
18-25
29-17
19-20
18-17
24-21
26-17
30-14
16-15
17-10
21-17
18-19
16-23
18-28
13-29
19-14
18-26
12-17
20-25
13-30
160.0Avg total
78.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.976.9150.7-3.057%
Season at home (4)72.575.8148.2-3.275%
Season away (3)75.778.3154.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)78.181.9160.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)77.079.6156.6-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.784.8159.4-10.144%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.782.7167.4+2.056%
vs Weaker (5)89.884.2174.0+5.660%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
BallaratKilsyth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#6
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H20/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H10/08
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A17/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A23/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H01/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A22/05
NBL1 South
76.2Avg total
36.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.582.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.241.183.3+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)44.137.881.9+6.360%-
Last 10 (10)36.140.176.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.474.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.035.370.3-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)31.042.373.3-11.30%-
vs Weaker (24)45.739.685.3+6.162%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H20/07
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A27/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H04/08
NBL 1
Waverley
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H17/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A24/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H01/05
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A08/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H15/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A22/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H23/05
NBL1 South
79.9Avg total
37.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.884.6-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.044.185.1-3.144%-
Last 30 away (14)42.641.484.0+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.942.079.9-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.274.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.442.679.0-6.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.943.186.0-0.244%-
vs Weaker (5)47.642.490.0+5.260%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ballarat wins
2
Kilsyth wins
DateGameScore
27/07/19Ballarat v Kilsyth80-66
11/05/19Kilsyth v Ballarat71-87
21/05/17Ballarat v Kilsyth81-76
08/04/17Kilsyth v Ballarat63-69
23/07/16Kilsyth v Ballarat95-79
15/08/15Kilsyth v Ballarat69-76 OT
26/04/15Ballarat v Kilsyth78-100
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/21AMt Gambier88-86 OT
15/05/21ARingwood85-87
08/05/21HFrankston77-89
01/05/21HBendigo Braves80-85 OT
24/04/21ANW Tasmania74-71 OT
23/04/21AHobart Chargers77-81
17/04/21AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits81-73
10/08/19HNunawading68-75
27/07/19HKilsyth80-66
20/07/19HMelbourne Tigers78-86
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/21HNW Tasmania63-98
22/05/21ADiamond Valley66-94
15/05/21HNunawading72-61
08/05/21AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits98-69
01/05/21HHobart Chargers86-76
24/04/21AKnox63-72
17/04/21HWaverley69-68
04/08/19HBendigo Braves104-115
27/07/19ABallarat66-80
20/07/19HDandenong94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%0%60%
Points / game80.378.581.0
Allowed / game81.787.079.6
Point differential-1.4-8.5+1.4
Avg total162.0165.5160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %43%50%40%
Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game73.972.575.7
Allowed / game76.975.878.3
Point differential-3.0-3.2-2.7
Avg total150.7148.2154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NW Tasmania119282%87.974.9+13.0
2 Frankston108280%98.682.9+15.7
3 Geelong86275%83.578.1+5.4
4 Mt Gambier96367%100.994.0+6.9
5 Hobart Chargers117464%93.587.6+5.9
6 Waverley85362%83.980.4+3.5
7 Ringwood74357%88.986.7+2.1
8 Kilsyth74357%73.976.9-3.0
9 Nunawading95456%84.073.3+10.7
10 Diamond Valley95456%88.785.0+3.7
11 Bendigo Braves105550%87.289.6-2.4
12 Ballarat73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Knox73443%79.085.6-6.6
14 Eltham82625%78.884.9-6.1
15 Dandenong82625%87.294.4-7.1
16 Albury-Wodonga Bandits81712%78.991.6-12.8
17 Sandringham Sabres81712%81.4100.6-19.2
18 Melbourne Tigers91811%81.8101.7-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat916131250
Kilsyth1210201961
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