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Melbourne Tigers vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Jun 2021
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 77-92
18-16 21-26 22-21 16-29
Position#17
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game101.7
vs
Position#9
Record3-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game79.1
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat
26 Jul 2025
MELB89
BALL77
18 May 2024
MELB80
BALL78
04 Jun 2023
MELB106
BALL88
07 Aug 2022
MELB86
BALL78
27 Jun 2021
MELB77
BALL92
20 May 2017
MELB55
BALL86
08 May 2016
MELB82
BALL103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H28/07
NBL 1
Sandringham Sabres
#18
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H17/04
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
107-102
107
102
+5
A24/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A01/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
85-108
85
108
-23
H02/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
62-100
62
100
-38
A08/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
95-123
95
123
-28
H09/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A15/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H16/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
69-105
69
105
-36
H23/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
23-22
17-29
15-20
16-23
22-27
25-19
31-28
26-26
21-31
32-24
28-21
14-20
16-29
25-19
18-29
25-30
20-25
14-25
26-28
18-26
16-20
12-27
16-27
19-35
27-33
19-37
30-18
22-30
15-18
15-28
14-14
28-23
14-24
19-28
24-18
14-21
22-25
18-25
15-34
181.3Avg total
81.2Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.8101.7183.4-19.911%
Season at home (5)85.6105.2190.8-19.60%
Season away (4)77.097.2174.2-20.225%
Last 10 (10)81.2100.1181.3-18.910%
Last 5 (5)75.4102.2177.6-26.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.897.7178.5-16.920%
vs Similar (12)82.288.4170.6-6.233%
vs Weaker (8)94.481.5175.9+12.988%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H10/08
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A17/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A23/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
H01/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A15/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H26/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
23-12
20-21
15-12
18-26
16-15
15-16
19-18
23-21
21-20
27-20
10-12
12-17
17-15
29-31
19-18
14-14
18-14
21-21
14-18
15-16
8-30
21-12
25-11
20-17
24-29
18-20
15-23
22-20
17-22
27-20
19-25
18-19
15-21
25-12
10-16
9-12
16-10
13-20
12-19
153.4Avg total
76.0Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.579.1155.6-2.638%
Season at home (3)69.078.3147.3-9.30%
Season away (5)81.079.6160.6+1.460%
Last 10 (10)76.077.4153.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)76.081.6157.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.3156.3-4.333%
vs Similar (3)72.777.3150.0-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.276.0164.3+12.275%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
Melbourne TigersBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H28/07
NBL 1
Sandringham Sabres
#18
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H17/04
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A24/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A01/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H02/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
46-68
46
68
-22
H09/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H16/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H23/05
NBL1 South
90.2Avg total
39.9Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.844.786.5-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.143.486.5-0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)40.246.486.5-6.223%-
Last 10 (10)39.950.390.2-10.410%-
Last 5 (5)39.051.090.0-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.949.690.5-8.710%-
vs Similar (12)39.144.483.5-5.325%-
vs Weaker (8)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H10/08
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A17/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A23/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H01/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H26/06
NBL1 South
71.9Avg total
34.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.881.6+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.981.3+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)44.137.881.9+6.360%-
Last 10 (10)34.837.171.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.272.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.035.370.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (3)27.036.063.0-9.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.739.685.3+6.162%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Melbourne Tigers wins
4
Ballarat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/21HNunawading69-105
16/05/21HDandenong85-93
15/05/21AGeelong66-90
09/05/21HMt Gambier95-123
08/05/21ABendigo Braves62-100
02/05/21HHobart Chargers85-108
01/05/21ADiamond Valley73-97
24/04/21AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits107-102
17/04/21HSandringham Sabres94-97
28/07/19HBendigo Braves76-86
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/06/21HKilsyth50-61
22/05/21AMt Gambier88-86 OT
15/05/21ARingwood85-87
08/05/21HFrankston77-89
01/05/21HBendigo Braves80-85 OT
24/04/21ANW Tasmania74-71 OT
23/04/21AHobart Chargers77-81
17/04/21AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits81-73
10/08/19HNunawading68-75
27/07/19HKilsyth80-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%0%25%
Points / game81.885.677.0
Allowed / game101.7105.297.2
Point differential-19.9-19.6-20.2
Avg total183.4190.8174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%0%60%
Points / game76.569.081.0
Allowed / game79.178.379.6
Point differential-2.6-9.3+1.4
Avg total155.6147.3160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %38%33%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NW Tasmania119282%87.974.9+13.0
2 Frankston108280%98.682.9+15.7
3 Geelong108280%87.778.8+8.9
4 Mt Gambier96367%100.994.0+6.9
5 Waverley96367%86.681.9+4.7
6 Hobart Chargers117464%93.587.6+5.9
7 Kilsyth85362%72.273.5-1.2
8 Ringwood74357%88.986.7+2.1
9 Nunawading95456%84.073.3+10.7
10 Diamond Valley105550%87.688.1-0.5
11 Bendigo Braves105550%87.289.6-2.4
12 Knox73443%79.085.6-6.6
13 Ballarat83538%76.579.1-2.6
14 Dandenong82625%87.294.4-7.1
15 Eltham102820%80.988.0-7.1
16 Albury-Wodonga Bandits81712%78.991.6-12.8
17 Sandringham Sabres81712%81.4100.6-19.2
18 Melbourne Tigers91811%81.8101.7-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers1821221677
Ballarat1626212992
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