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NW Tasmania vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 71-74 (OT)
14-14 14-18 21-21 18-14 4-7
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game77.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · NW Tasmania v Ballarat
11 Apr 2025
NW T88
BALL94
26 Apr 2024
NW T98
BALL95
22 Apr 2023
NW T84
BALL94
24 Apr 2021
NW T71
BALL74
02 Jun 2017
NW T85
BALL78
23 Apr 2016
NW T95
BALL92
30 May 2015
NW T85
BALL101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H01/06
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H15/06
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A21/06
NBL 1
Knox
#13
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H22/06
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
H28/06
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H06/07
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A13/07
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
L
90-104
90
104
-14
A14/07
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
W
103-95
103
95
+8
H20/07
NBL 1
Hobart Chargers
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A17/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
18-17
16-24
30-24
13-9
17-10
26-13
19-22
25-14
11-25
18-20
20-20
16-16
11-21
20-24
14-13
12-19
21-18
19-15
23-23
23-21
22-21
16-22
20-22
26-9
22-22
9-26
19-33
29-29
14-21
20-23
27-31
31-23
25-19
29-22
18-31
21-23
19-11
23-28
22-16
165.6Avg total
82.0Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.083.6165.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)87.090.6177.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.793.1171.8-14.49%
vs Similar (17)90.285.3175.5+4.965%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)94.573.5168.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H23/06
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H29/06
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
W
97-69
97
69
+28
H03/07
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H06/07
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H13/07
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H20/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H10/08
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A17/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A23/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
31-34
25-17
25-19
24-22
18-28
19-18
18-5
23-17
24-12
20-19
30-21
28-18
17-14
19-15
25-13
18-23
21-21
23-23
15-23
14-27
24-25
17-16
23-18
22-21
23-12
20-21
15-12
18-26
16-15
15-16
19-18
23-21
21-20
27-20
10-12
12-17
17-15
29-31
19-18
159.5Avg total
82.9Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.077.0156.0+2.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)79.077.0156.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)82.976.6159.5+6.360%
Last 5 (5)76.876.2153.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)79.079.0158.0+0.050%
vs Similar (1)94.0102.0196.0-8.00%
vs Weaker (27)88.476.6165.0+11.878%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
NW TasmaniaBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H01/06
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H15/06
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/06
NBL 1
Knox
#13
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H22/06
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/06
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H06/07
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A13/07
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A14/07
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H20/07
NBL 1
Hobart Chargers
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/04
NBL1 South
77.4Avg total
39.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.584.3+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.240.480.6-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)45.142.587.6+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.777.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.886.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.946.383.2-9.40%-
vs Similar (17)45.538.684.1+6.871%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)53.039.592.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H23/06
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H29/06
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H03/07
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H06/07
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H13/07
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H20/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H10/08
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A17/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A23/04
NBL1 South
82.7Avg total
41.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.584.0+4.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.039.482.4+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)46.139.785.9+6.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.182.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.037.070.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (1)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (27)45.639.785.3+5.963%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
NW Tasmania wins
3
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
25/05/19Ballarat v NW Tasmania94-67
30/07/17Ballarat v NW Tasmania98-79
02/06/17NW Tasmania v Ballarat85-78
23/04/16NW Tasmania v Ballarat95-92
30/05/15NW Tasmania v Ballarat85-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/21AHobart Chargers85-78
20/07/19HWaverley103-95
14/07/19ADiamond Valley90-104
13/07/19ARingwood76-90
06/07/19HKilsyth81-86
28/06/19HMelbourne Tigers90-82 OT
22/06/19HKnox61-74
21/06/19AGeelong74-79
15/06/19HHobart Huskies75-54
01/06/19HGeelong85-94
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/21AHobart Chargers77-81
17/04/21AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits81-73
10/08/19HNunawading68-75
27/07/19HKilsyth80-66
20/07/19HMelbourne Tigers78-86
13/07/19HWaverley77-90
06/07/19HHobart Huskies89-60
03/07/19HGeelong97-69
29/06/19HDiamond Valley79-73
23/06/19HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits103-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total163.0-163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total156.0-156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Valley110100%90.067.0+23.0
2 Nunawading110100%94.083.0+11.0
3 Geelong110100%78.068.0+10.0
4 NW Tasmania110100%85.078.0+7.0
5 Ringwood110100%93.088.0+5.0
6 Sandringham Sabres110100%97.094.0+3.0
7 Kilsyth110100%69.068.0+1.0
8 Frankston21150%88.583.5+5.0
9 Ballarat21150%79.077.0+2.0
10 Hobart Chargers21150%79.581.0-1.5
11 Bendigo Braves21150%84.088.0-4.0
12 Waverley1010%68.069.0-1.0
13 Melbourne Tigers1010%94.097.0-3.0
14 Eltham1010%88.093.0-5.0
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1010%73.081.0-8.0
16 Knox1010%68.078.0-10.0
17 Mt Gambier1010%82.095.0-13.0
18 Dandenong1010%67.090.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
NW Tasmania14142118471
Ballarat14182114774
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