Baloncesto Valladolid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 May 2012

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 68-79

18-20 10-20 15-22 25-17

Position#18

Record8-24

FormWLLLW

Points / game69.4

Allowed / game76.2

Baloncesto Valladolid

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#17

Record10-22

FormWWLWL

Points / game69.8

Allowed / game75.6

ACBRound 33

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Baloncesto Valladolid v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baloncesto Valladolid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baloncesto Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manresa

#12

79-70

H10/03

ACB

Real Madrid

55-76

-21

A13/03

ACB

Murcia

#13

56-85

-29

A18/03

ACB

Barcelona

86-92 OT

-6

H24/03

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

73-83

-10

A01/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

69-66

H07/04

ACB

Bilbao

77-89

-12

A15/04

ACB

Real Betis

72-77

-5

H21/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

59-64

-5

A25/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

81-75

H29/04

ACB

25-19

15-17

16-19

23-15

10-21

12-13

15-27

18-15

14-18

12-22

10-26

20-19

23-20

15-15

11-18

25-21

16-19

19-17

18-20

20-27

17-15

19-18

19-8

14-25

26-12

15-24

17-35

19-18

22-22

19-23

19-17

12-15

22-17

16-17

16-16

5-14

18-20

18-18

21-14

24-23

148.4Avg total

70.7Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	69.4	76.2	145.6	-6.7	25%
Season at home (16)	73.9	76.1	150.0	-2.1	44%
Season away (16)	64.9	76.2	141.2	-11.3	6%
Last 10 (10)	70.7	77.7	148.4	-7.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	74.2	145.8	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	70.2	76.8	147.0	-6.6	22%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	63.9	71.6	135.4	-7.7	29%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

74-67

A11/03

ACB

Bilbao

69-71

-2

H17/03

ACB

Baskonia

74-89

-15

A25/03

ACB

Real Betis

64-77

-13

H01/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

72-76

-4

H03/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

61-52

H15/04

ACB

Alicante

83-65

+18

A19/04

ACB

Real Madrid

80-85

-5

A22/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

79-62

+17

H25/04

ACB

Manresa

#12

75-78

-3

A29/04

ACB

19-16

21-16

17-12

17-23

26-18

7-17

19-20

17-16

17-22

28-22

12-15

17-30

11-23

19-13

9-30

25-11

19-18

20-14

22-24

11-20

15-14

8-12

20-9

18-17

23-12

22-16

21-13

17-24

24-9

15-23

20-26

21-27

23-25

24-12

20-7

12-18

14-20

20-12

23-25

18-21

145.3Avg total

73.1Scored

72.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	69.8	75.6	145.4	-5.8	31%
Season at home (16)	68.6	70.6	139.2	-2.0	50%
Season away (16)	71.1	80.6	151.6	-9.5	12%
Last 10 (10)	73.1	72.2	145.3	+0.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	68.4	144.0	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	69.8	80.7	150.4	-10.9	17%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	70.9	71.4	142.3	-0.5	39%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Baloncesto Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Baloncesto ValladolidEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.7	36.4	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.5	18.9	35.4	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.0	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	15.0	18.7	33.7	-3.7	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.8	19.7	35.5	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.5	21.8	38.2	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.5	18.7	36.2	-1.2	39%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	19.1	37.6	-0.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	18.4	34.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	14.3	19.6	33.9	-5.3	14%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	17.7	35.1	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.6	15.6	32.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	15.7	34.1	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	15.0	32.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.9	19.7	36.6	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.8	16.3	34.1	+1.4	61%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Baloncesto ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manresa

#12

40-36

H10/03

ACB

Real Madrid

22-34

-12

A13/03

ACB

Murcia

#13

26-40

-14

A18/03

ACB

Barcelona

38-35

H24/03

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

35-36

-1

A01/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

36-33

H07/04

ACB

Bilbao

41-36

A15/04

ACB

Real Betis

41-45

-4

H21/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

38-34

A25/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

36-38

-2

H29/04

ACB

72.0Avg total

35.3Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	37.7	72.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	37.6	75.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.5	37.9	70.4	-5.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	36.7	72.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.2	75.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	36.6	37.6	74.2	-1.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	29.3	38.3	67.6	-9.0	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

40-32

A11/03

ACB

Bilbao

33-35

-2

H17/03

ACB

Baskonia

45-44

A25/03

ACB

Real Betis

30-36

-6

H01/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

39-32

H03/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

23-26

-3

H15/04

ACB

Alicante

45-28

+17

A19/04

ACB

Real Madrid

39-32

A22/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

47-37

+10

H25/04

ACB

Manresa

#12

34-32

A29/04

ACB

70.9Avg total

37.5Scored

33.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.5	37.6	72.1	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.4	35.3	67.7	-2.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	39.9	76.5	-3.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	33.4	70.9	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	31.0	68.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	33.4	41.4	74.8	-8.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	35.3	35.0	70.3	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Baloncesto Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.4	19.1	34.4	-3.7	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.1	17.5	33.6	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.7	20.4	35.1	-5.8	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	20.0	36.2	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	15.2	20.5	35.7	-5.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	15.9	14.3	30.1	+1.6	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	16.4	33.8	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	19.7	37.1	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.0	36.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.3	19.8	37.1	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.4	16.9	34.3	+0.6	39%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	18.4	36.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	17.9	35.7	-0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	19.0	33.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	17.8	17.9	35.7	-0.1	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.9	38.3	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.6	19.1	36.7	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.4	37.2	70.6	-3.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.5	35.9	70.4	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.4	38.4	70.8	-5.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	39.2	73.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	37.0	70.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	33.0	38.4	71.5	-5.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	34.6	33.3	67.9	+1.3	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	37.3	72.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.3	35.0	70.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	39.6	75.3	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	38.8	74.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	37.4	75.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.3	39.2	75.6	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	35.0	36.0	71.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Baloncesto Valladolid wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
03/01/12	Estudiantes v Baloncesto Valladolid	69-62
29/01/11	Estudiantes v Baloncesto Valladolid	77-60
09/10/10	Baloncesto Valladolid v Estudiantes	79-66
28/02/10	Estudiantes v Baloncesto Valladolid	89-86 OT
08/11/09	Baloncesto Valladolid v Estudiantes	83-89

Baloncesto Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/12	H	Obradoiro CAB	81-75
25/04/12	A	Gran Canaria	59-64
21/04/12	H	Real Betis	72-77
15/04/12	A	Bilbao	77-89
07/04/12	H	Fuenlabrada	69-66
01/04/12	A	Joventut Badalona	73-83
24/03/12	H	Barcelona	86-92 OT
18/03/12	A	Murcia	56-85
13/03/12	A	Real Madrid	55-76
10/03/12	H	Manresa	79-70

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/12	A	Manresa	75-78
25/04/12	H	Obradoiro CAB	79-62
22/04/12	A	Real Madrid	80-85
19/04/12	A	Alicante	83-65
15/04/12	H	Gran Canaria	61-52
03/04/12	H	Fuenlabrada	72-76
01/04/12	H	Real Betis	64-77
25/03/12	A	Baskonia	74-89
17/03/12	H	Bilbao	69-71
11/03/12	A	Unicaja	74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baloncesto Valladolid

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	25%
Home	WLWLW	44%
Away	LLLLL	6%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	25%	44%	6%
Points / game	69.4	73.9	64.9
Allowed / game	76.2	76.1	76.2
Point differential	-6.7	-2.1	-11.3
Avg total	145.6	150.0	141.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	67% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Estudiantes

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	31%
Home	LLLWW	50%
Away	WLWLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	31%	50%	12%
Points / game	69.8	68.6	71.1
Allowed / game	75.6	70.6	80.6
Point differential	-5.8	-2.0	-9.5
Avg total	145.4	139.2	151.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	6%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	67% (6)	0% (5)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	32	27	5	84%	77.4	64.9	+12.4
2	Real Madrid	32	25	7	78%	82.8	73.3	+9.6
3	Baskonia	33	22	11	67%	74.1	70.1	+4.0
4	Valencia	33	19	14	58%	74.4	71.0	+3.4
5	Bilbao	33	19	14	58%	77.9	76.2	+1.7
6	Real Betis	32	18	14	56%	74.9	72.5	+2.4
7	Gipuzkoa	32	17	15	53%	78.3	76.2	+2.1
8	Alicante	33	17	16	52%	69.3	72.2	-3.0
9	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	32	16	16	50%	70.6	71.7	-1.1
10	Joventut Badalona	33	16	17	48%	73.1	74.8	-1.7
11	Unicaja	33	16	17	48%	73.8	75.6	-1.9
12	Manresa	33	15	18	45%	73.5	75.2	-1.7
13	Gran Canaria	32	12	20	38%	66.2	70.0	-3.8
14	Murcia	33	12	21	36%	71.2	73.6	-2.4
15	Obradoiro CAB	33	12	21	36%	70.2	72.6	-2.5
16	Fuenlabrada	33	12	21	36%	71.4	76.3	-4.8
17	Estudiantes	32	10	22	31%	69.8	75.6	-5.8
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	32	8	24	25%	69.4	76.2	-6.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Baloncesto Valladolid	18	10	15	25	68
Estudiantes	20	20	22	17	79

← all games of the day

Baloncesto Valladolid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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