Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 85-80

9-24 23-15 26-20 27-21

Position#2

Record22-7

FormWLWLW

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game72.2

Real Madrid 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#17

Record9-20

FormLLLWW

Points / game69.0

Allowed / game75.7

ACBRound 30

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Real Madrid v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

#15

90-72

+18

H26/02

ACB

Siena

102-90

102

+12

A01/03

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#14

83-69

+14

A04/03

ACB

Valencia

66-83

-17

A11/03

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

76-55

+21

H13/03

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

85-71

+14

H18/03

ACB

Gipuzkoa

90-98

-8

A25/03

ACB

Unicaja

64-51

+13

H01/04

ACB

Baskonia

66-67

-1

A09/04

ACB

Alicante

91-87

H15/04

ACB

18-9

30-25

20-21

22-17

26-28

26-25

24-22

26-15

24-13

16-19

20-12

23-25

22-26

14-23

18-15

12-19

21-10

13-12

27-15

15-18

19-19

25-13

20-16

21-23

15-27

26-23

29-24

20-24

17-13

13-13

16-11

18-14

7-14

19-20

24-14

16-19

32-13

15-18

20-24

24-32

155.6Avg total

81.3Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	82.4	72.2	154.6	+10.2	76%
Season at home (14)	82.2	69.8	152.0	+12.4	93%
Season away (15)	82.6	74.4	157.0	+8.2	60%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	74.3	155.6	+7.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	74.8	154.0	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	83.0	84.0	167.0	-1.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	83.5	74.3	157.8	+9.2	73%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

72-75

-3

A12/02

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

56-71

-15

H25/02

ACB

Gipuzkoa

81-103

103

-22

A04/03

ACB

Unicaja

74-67

A11/03

ACB

Bilbao

69-71

-2

H17/03

ACB

Baskonia

74-89

-15

A25/03

ACB

Real Betis

64-77

-13

H01/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

72-76

-4

H03/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

61-52

H15/04

ACB

Alicante

83-65

+18

A19/04

ACB

16-24

18-15

14-14

24-22

14-20

15-15

14-24

13-12

17-32

16-19

25-30

23-22

19-16

21-16

17-12

17-23

26-18

7-17

19-20

17-16

17-22

28-22

12-15

17-30

11-23

19-13

9-30

25-11

19-18

20-14

22-24

11-20

15-14

8-12

20-9

18-17

23-12

22-16

21-13

17-24

145.2Avg total

70.6Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	69.0	75.7	144.7	-6.7	31%
Season at home (15)	67.9	71.2	139.1	-3.3	47%
Season away (14)	70.1	80.4	150.6	-10.3	14%
Last 10 (10)	70.6	74.6	145.2	-4.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	71.8	142.6	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	67.6	80.5	148.1	-12.9	21%
vs Similar (16)	70.1	71.6	141.7	-1.4	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	16.5	37.1	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.2	37.3	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.7	25.0	44.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.8	19.1	34.8	-3.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.8	34.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.5	22.7	39.2	-6.2	14%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	25.0	20.3	45.3	+4.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.8	19.0	38.7	+0.8	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.1	16.4	32.5	-0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	15.9	33.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	15.4	34.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.9	19.3	36.1	-2.4	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.2	16.9	34.1	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

#15

48-34

+14

H26/02

ACB

Siena

52-53

-1

A01/03

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#14

40-32

A04/03

ACB

Valencia

36-49

-13

A11/03

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

34-22

+12

H13/03

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

44-32

+12

H18/03

ACB

Gipuzkoa

41-50

-9

A25/03

ACB

Unicaja

30-26

H01/04

ACB

Baskonia

26-34

-8

A09/04

ACB

Alicante

47-31

+16

H15/04

ACB

76.1Avg total

39.8Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	37.3	77.9	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	34.7	76.9	+7.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	39.9	78.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	36.3	76.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	34.6	72.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	44.7	45.3	90.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	40.3	36.6	76.9	+3.8	65%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

34-39

-5

A12/02

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

29-35

-6

H25/02

ACB

Gipuzkoa

33-51

-18

A04/03

ACB

Unicaja

40-32

A11/03

ACB

Bilbao

33-35

-2

H17/03

ACB

Baskonia

45-44

A25/03

ACB

Real Betis

30-36

-6

H01/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

39-32

H03/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

23-26

-3

H15/04

ACB

Alicante

45-28

+17

A19/04

ACB

70.9Avg total

35.1Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.0	38.3	72.3	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	31.8	35.5	67.3	-3.7	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	41.5	78.1	-4.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	35.8	70.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	33.2	69.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	33.4	42.0	75.4	-8.6	14%	-
vs Similar (16)	34.6	35.1	69.7	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.5	39.1	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	17.9	41.0	+5.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.5	17.7	40.2	+4.8	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.2	35.1	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	17.1	34.5	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.1	36.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.2	35.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.9	19.5	36.4	-2.6	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	16.9	17.0	33.9	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.0	36.7	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	19.5	36.7	-2.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.9	19.1	36.9	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	37.7	80.3	+4.9	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	38.4	79.7	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	37.1	80.9	+6.8	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	38.0	79.5	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	40.2	81.8	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	38.3	38.7	77.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.2	37.7	80.9	+5.5	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.6	37.2	71.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.4	35.7	71.1	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.6	38.9	72.5	-5.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	38.8	74.3	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	38.6	73.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.3	38.5	72.8	-4.2	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	34.8	36.1	70.9	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
11/12/11	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	90-85
22/01/11	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	82-61
30/09/10	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	79-84
03/04/10	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	101-77
29/12/09	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	82-80 OT
25/04/09	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	71-63
06/12/08	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	98-81

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/12	H	Alicante	91-87
09/04/12	A	Baskonia	66-67
01/04/12	H	Unicaja	64-51
25/03/12	A	Gipuzkoa	90-98
18/03/12	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	85-71
13/03/12	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	76-55
11/03/12	A	Valencia	66-83
04/03/12	A	Obradoiro CAB	83-69
01/03/12	A	Siena	102-90
26/02/12	H	Gran Canaria	90-72

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/04/12	A	Alicante	83-65
15/04/12	H	Gran Canaria	61-52
03/04/12	H	Fuenlabrada	72-76
01/04/12	H	Real Betis	64-77
25/03/12	A	Baskonia	74-89
17/03/12	H	Bilbao	69-71
11/03/12	A	Unicaja	74-67
04/03/12	A	Gipuzkoa	81-103
25/02/12	H	Joventut Badalona	56-71
12/02/12	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	76%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	WWLLL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	76%	93%	60%
Points / game	82.4	82.2	82.6
Allowed / game	72.2	69.8	74.4
Point differential	+10.2	+12.4	+8.2
Avg total	154.6	152.0	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	71%	47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	67% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	31%
Home	LLLLW	47%
Away	LLWLW	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	31%	47%	14%
Points / game	69.0	67.9	70.1
Allowed / game	75.7	71.2	80.4
Point differential	-6.7	-3.3	-10.3
Avg total	144.7	139.1	150.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	3%	0%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	67% (6)	0% (3)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	29	24	5	83%	76.1	64.7	+11.4
2	Real Madrid	29	22	7	76%	82.4	72.2	+10.2
3	Baskonia	30	21	9	70%	73.3	68.7	+4.5
4	Valencia	29	17	12	59%	75.6	71.6	+4.0
5	Bilbao	29	17	12	59%	78.8	77.0	+1.8
6	Real Betis	30	17	13	57%	75.7	73.2	+2.5
7	Gipuzkoa	29	16	13	55%	78.5	76.1	+2.4
8	Alicante	29	15	14	52%	69.2	71.7	-2.4
9	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	30	15	15	50%	71.2	72.2	-1.0
10	Unicaja	29	14	15	48%	74.2	75.2	-1.1
11	Manresa	29	14	15	48%	73.3	74.4	-1.1
12	Joventut Badalona	29	13	16	45%	72.6	75.3	-2.8
13	Obradoiro CAB	30	11	19	37%	70.1	72.5	-2.4
14	Murcia	30	11	19	37%	70.5	73.6	-3.1
15	Gran Canaria	30	11	19	37%	66.4	70.1	-3.7
16	Fuenlabrada	30	11	19	37%	71.1	76.1	-5.0
17	Estudiantes	29	9	20	31%	69.0	75.7	-6.7
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	30	7	23	23%	69.4	76.6	-7.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	9	23	26	27	85
Estudiantes	24	15	20	21	80

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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