Baloncesto Valladolid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 91-57

28-12 16-15 23-12 24-18

Position#16

Record10-16

FormLWLWL

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game83.0

Baloncesto Valladolid 🏆

Murcia

Position#13

Record11-15

FormLLLLW

Points / game77.1

Allowed / game81.8

ACBRound 27

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Baloncesto Valladolid v Murcia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baloncesto Valladolid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Murcia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baloncesto Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

93-88 OT

H13/01

ACB

Barcelona

82-88

-6

H20/01

ACB

Real Madrid

75-87

-12

A27/01

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

69-67

H02/02

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

78-94

-16

A16/02

ACB

Unicaja

84-89

-5

H23/02

ACB

Estudiantes

#12

80-77

A03/03

ACB

Bilbao

81-87

-6

A09/03

ACB

Manresa

#18

86-73

+13

H16/03

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

74-84

-10

A23/03

ACB

16-21

20-23

24-10

19-25

22-21

23-20

21-20

16-27

22-25

24-24

12-15

17-23

18-23

18-16

22-12

11-16

15-25

15-18

20-23

28-28

26-23

21-16

12-23

25-27

17-21

22-11

16-17

25-28

22-18

19-21

16-29

24-19

18-13

14-19

27-10

27-31

15-26

15-14

19-18

25-26

163.6Avg total

80.2Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	76.8	83.0	159.8	-6.2	38%
Season at home (13)	80.1	82.3	162.4	-2.2	46%
Season away (13)	73.5	83.7	157.2	-10.2	31%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	83.4	163.6	-3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	82.0	163.0	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	74.5	82.2	156.7	-7.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	75.3	81.8	157.1	-6.5	30%
vs Weaker (2)	84.5	77.0	161.5	+7.5	100%

This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#15

81-75

A12/01

ACB

Real Betis

#14

73-81

-8

H20/01

ACB

Valencia

96-94

A26/01

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

83-77

H03/02

ACB

Gran Canaria

78-68

+10

A17/02

ACB

Barcelona

62-79

-17

H24/02

ACB

Real Madrid

69-86

-17

A03/03

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

79-80

-1

H10/03

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

78-86

-8

A17/03

ACB

Unicaja

76-68

H24/03

ACB

22-18

17-23

13-21

29-13

29-23

15-17

14-21

15-20

15-22

20-21

30-23

31-28

15-19

21-14

19-24

28-20

16-15

12-10

29-26

21-17

20-21

12-21

13-18

17-19

5-19

22-24

15-18

27-25

19-20

23-21

17-23

20-16

13-28

25-10

19-15

21-33

18-15

15-20

29-14

14-19

156.9Avg total

77.5Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	77.1	81.8	158.9	-4.7	42%
Season at home (13)	78.1	80.2	158.3	-2.2	46%
Season away (13)	76.2	83.4	159.5	-7.2	38%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	79.4	156.9	-1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	79.8	152.6	-7.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	75.1	82.2	157.3	-7.2	33%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	80.0	79.0	159.0	+1.0	55%
vs Weaker (1)	95.0	80.0	175.0	+15.0	100%

This opponent (Baloncesto Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Baloncesto ValladolidMurcia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.0	39.3	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	21.6	38.5	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.4	39.2	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.7	37.9	-3.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	20.6	35.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.4	19.8	37.3	-2.4	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.5	21.5	41.9	-1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	20.2	37.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.2	34.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	15.6	19.3	34.9	-3.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.5	39.1	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.1	36.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.7	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	27.0	61.0	+7.0	100%	-

Baloncesto ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

36-44

-8

H13/01

ACB

Barcelona

45-41

H20/01

ACB

Real Madrid

46-49

-3

A27/01

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

36-39

-3

H02/02

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

30-43

-13

A16/02

ACB

Unicaja

47-39

H23/02

ACB

Estudiantes

#12

39-32

A03/03

ACB

Bilbao

41-39

A09/03

ACB

Manresa

#18

32-32

H16/03

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

30-40

-10

A23/03

ACB

78.0Avg total

38.2Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	40.7	77.7	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.9	41.3	76.2	-6.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	39.8	78.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	36.4	74.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.2	40.5	77.7	-3.3	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	33.3	41.3	74.6	-8.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.5	44.0	82.5	-5.5	0%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#15

39-41

-2

A12/01

ACB

Real Betis

#14

44-40

H20/01

ACB

Valencia

35-43

-8

A26/01

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

36-33

H03/02

ACB

Gran Canaria

28-25

A17/02

ACB

Barcelona

32-42

-10

H24/02

ACB

Real Madrid

27-43

-16

A03/03

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

42-41

H10/03

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

38-38

A17/03

ACB

Unicaja

33-35

-2

H24/03

ACB

73.5Avg total

35.4Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	40.9	78.3	-3.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	41.5	81.0	-1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	40.3	75.6	-5.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	38.1	73.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	39.8	74.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	34.2	40.3	74.6	-6.1	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.8	41.3	82.1	-0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (1)	57.0	47.0	104.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Baloncesto Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.0	36.7	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.9	36.3	-1.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.3	18.7	35.9	-1.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	9.5	33.0	+14.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.7	39.4	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.3	40.9	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.1	18.5	37.5	+0.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.1	39.5	-2.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	25.0	46.7	-3.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	26.2	51.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.3	22.6	41.8	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	23.5	46.0	-1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.3	43.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	39.8	78.0	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	39.5	80.2	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	40.0	75.8	-4.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	42.7	83.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	45.6	88.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	36.6	41.2	77.8	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.7	38.5	78.2	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	33.0	79.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	39.8	79.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	37.0	75.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	42.6	84.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	41.3	83.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	40.5	41.4	81.9	-0.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.2	37.7	76.9	+1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	33.0	71.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Baloncesto Valladolid wins

Murcia wins

Date	Game	Score
25/11/12	Murcia v Baloncesto Valladolid	87-81
18/03/12	Murcia v Baloncesto Valladolid	85-56
26/11/11	Baloncesto Valladolid v Murcia	65-76
09/05/10	Baloncesto Valladolid v Murcia	83-82
03/01/10	Murcia v Baloncesto Valladolid	96-101 OT

Baloncesto Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/13	A	Fuenlabrada	74-84
16/03/13	H	Manresa	86-73
09/03/13	A	Bilbao	81-87
03/03/13	A	Estudiantes	80-77
23/02/13	H	Unicaja	84-89
16/02/13	A	Gipuzkoa	78-94
02/02/13	H	Joventut Badalona	69-67
27/01/13	A	Real Madrid	75-87
20/01/13	H	Barcelona	82-88
13/01/13	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	93-88 OT

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/13	H	Unicaja	76-68
17/03/13	A	Gipuzkoa	78-86
10/03/13	H	Joventut Badalona	79-80
03/03/13	A	Real Madrid	69-86
24/02/13	H	Barcelona	62-79
17/02/13	A	Gran Canaria	78-68
03/02/13	H	Obradoiro CAB	83-77
26/01/13	A	Valencia	96-94
20/01/13	H	Real Betis	73-81
12/01/13	A	Fuenlabrada	81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baloncesto Valladolid

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	38%
Home	WLWLW	46%
Away	LLWLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	38%	46%	31%
Points / game	76.8	80.1	73.5
Allowed / game	83.0	82.3	83.7
Point differential	-6.2	-2.2	-10.2
Avg total	159.8	162.4	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	15%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	60% (5)	100% (3)
Overtime %	12%	15%	8%

Murcia

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	42%
Home	LWLLW	46%
Away	WWWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	42%	46%	38%
Points / game	77.1	78.1	76.2
Allowed / game	81.8	80.2	83.4
Point differential	-4.7	-2.2	-7.2
Avg total	158.9	158.3	159.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	8%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	40% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	26	24	2	92%	89.6	76.3	+13.2
2	Baskonia	26	20	6	77%	81.8	77.3	+4.5
3	Barcelona	26	17	9	65%	79.7	72.3	+7.5
4	Valencia	26	16	10	62%	80.8	76.2	+4.6
5	Bilbao	26	16	10	62%	81.1	76.9	+4.2
6	Gran Canaria	26	15	11	58%	73.2	71.1	+2.1
7	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	26	14	12	54%	76.2	72.3	+3.9
8	Obradoiro CAB	26	13	13	50%	74.8	73.6	+1.2
9	Unicaja	26	13	13	50%	72.5	73.0	-0.4
10	Joventut Badalona	26	13	13	50%	77.9	80.0	-2.1
11	Estudiantes	26	12	14	46%	80.1	78.3	+1.8
12	Tenerife	26	11	15	42%	76.7	80.1	-3.4
13	Murcia	26	11	15	42%	77.1	81.8	-4.7
14	Baloncesto Valladolid	26	10	16	38%	76.8	83.0	-6.2
15	Real Betis	26	9	17	35%	71.0	75.7	-4.8
16	Fuenlabrada	26	8	18	31%	74.1	80.4	-6.3
17	Gipuzkoa	26	7	19	27%	73.0	80.2	-7.2
18	Manresa	26	5	21	19%	76.6	84.6	-8.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Baloncesto Valladolid	28	16	23	24	91
Murcia	12	15	12	18	57

← all games of the day

Baloncesto Valladolid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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