Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 11:40

Final 86-69

19-5 24-22 18-15 25-27

Position#1

Record21-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game89.8

Allowed / game75.1

Real Madrid 🏆

Murcia

Position#13

Record10-12

FormLWWWL

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game82.1

ACBRound 23

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Real Madrid v Murcia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Murcia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

58-54

A25/01

Euroleague

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

87-75

+12

H27/01

ACB

CSKA Moscow

86-78 OT

H31/01

Euroleague

Bilbao

94-74

+20

A03/02

ACB

Barcelona

108-111 OT

108

111

-3

H07/02

Spanish Cup

Anadolu Efes

#10

72-74

-2

A14/02

Euroleague

Manresa

#18

104-70

104

+34

H17/02

ACB

Alba Berlin

#17

77-72

H22/02

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#15

88-65

+23

A24/02

ACB

Bamberg

#27

76-73

H28/02

Euroleague

11-20

16-17

17-12

14-5

25-22

24-24

15-12

23-17

14-15

19-12

10-17

23-22

20-16

23-19

26-19

25-20

18-25

28-24

14-15

17-13

19-23

17-23

18-13

18-15

34-19

29-11

23-19

18-21

20-14

14-19

14-17

29-22

13-21

29-13

22-14

24-17

21-20

18-21

18-19

19-13

159.6Avg total

85.0Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	89.8	75.1	165.0	+14.7	95%
Season at home (10)	91.0	74.7	165.7	+16.3	100%
Season away (12)	88.8	75.5	164.3	+13.3	92%
Last 10 (10)	85.0	74.6	159.6	+10.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	70.8	154.2	+12.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	88.3	77.7	166.0	+10.7	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	83.4	71.7	155.1	+11.8	85%

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

75-98

-23

A19/12

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

77-75

H23/12

ACB

Estudiantes

#12

68-91

-23

H30/12

ACB

Tenerife

#10

68-80

-12

A04/01

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

81-75

A12/01

ACB

Real Betis

#14

73-81

-8

H20/01

ACB

Valencia

96-94

A26/01

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

83-77

H03/02

ACB

Gran Canaria

78-68

+10

A17/02

ACB

Barcelona

62-79

-17

H24/02

ACB

15-30

20-19

20-28

20-21

22-20

15-16

20-22

20-17

15-25

21-27

19-15

13-24

20-19

8-12

21-21

19-28

22-18

17-23

13-21

29-13

29-23

15-17

14-21

15-20

15-22

20-21

30-23

31-28

15-19

21-14

19-24

28-20

16-15

12-10

29-26

21-17

20-21

12-21

13-18

17-19

157.9Avg total

76.1Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	77.4	82.1	159.5	-4.7	45%
Season at home (11)	78.2	81.4	159.5	-3.2	45%
Season away (11)	76.6	82.9	159.5	-6.3	45%
Last 10 (10)	76.1	81.8	157.9	-5.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	79.8	158.2	-1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	74.8	82.2	156.9	-7.4	29%
vs Similar (12)	79.7	75.8	155.4	+3.9	75%
vs Weaker (1)	95.0	80.0	175.0	+15.0	100%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridMurcia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.8	39.3	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	18.2	38.9	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.8	18.4	39.3	+2.4	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.7	40.5	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.2	20.7	38.9	-2.5	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.4	20.3	40.8	+0.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	17.1	39.6	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	18.0	34.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	16.6	32.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.5	19.7	36.2	-3.2	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	19.7	38.8	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	27.0	61.0	+7.0	100%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

27-37

-10

A25/01

Euroleague

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

49-46

H27/01

ACB

CSKA Moscow

33-27

H31/01

Euroleague

Bilbao

43-35

A03/02

ACB

Barcelona

46-49

-3

H07/02

Spanish Cup

Anadolu Efes

#10

36-46

-10

A14/02

Euroleague

Manresa

#18

63-30

+33

H17/02

ACB

Alba Berlin

#17

34-33

H22/02

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#15

42-34

A24/02

ACB

Bamberg

#27

39-41

-2

H28/02

Euroleague

79.0Avg total

41.2Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	38.0	80.7	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.2	35.4	78.6	+7.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.1	40.4	82.5	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	37.8	79.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	36.8	79.6	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	39.7	37.3	77.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.8	37.7	80.5	+5.2	69%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

35-49

-14

A19/12

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

37-36

H23/12

ACB

Estudiantes

#12

36-52

-16

H30/12

ACB

Tenerife

#10

28-31

-3

A04/01

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

39-41

-2

A12/01

ACB

Real Betis

#14

44-40

H20/01

ACB

Valencia

35-43

-8

A26/01

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

36-33

H03/02

ACB

Gran Canaria

28-25

A17/02

ACB

Barcelona

32-42

-10

H24/02

ACB

74.2Avg total

35.0Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	40.5	77.9	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.0	41.1	80.1	-2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	39.8	75.7	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	39.2	74.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	36.6	71.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	34.8	40.4	75.2	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.6	40.0	79.6	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	57.0	47.0	104.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	17.2	36.5	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	15.7	33.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.5	39.2	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.7	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	16.4	37.9	+5.1	83%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	18.3	41.7	+5.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	14.8	34.5	+5.0	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	23.0	20.3	43.3	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.5	16.1	37.5	+5.4	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.1	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	34.0	74.4	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	36.3	78.3	+5.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	32.0	71.0	+7.0	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	32.2	70.9	+6.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	34.0	74.6	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	42.0	36.3	78.3	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	40.6	34.0	74.5	+6.6	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	38.8	78.6	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	36.7	75.9	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	40.9	81.3	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	42.6	83.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	43.2	86.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.6	41.3	80.9	-1.6	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.1	35.8	75.8	+4.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	33.0	71.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Murcia wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/12	Murcia v Real Madrid	64-79
29/04/12	Real Madrid v Murcia	80-79
08/01/12	Murcia v Real Madrid	60-91
07/02/10	Murcia v Real Madrid	67-96
25/10/09	Real Madrid v Murcia	73-66
15/03/09	Murcia v Real Madrid	77-88
14/12/08	Real Madrid v Murcia	70-61

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/13	H	Bamberg	76-73
24/02/13	A	Fuenlabrada	88-65
22/02/13	H	Alba Berlin	77-72
17/02/13	H	Manresa	104-70
14/02/13	A	Anadolu Efes	72-74
07/02/13	H	Barcelona	108-111 OT
03/02/13	A	Bilbao	94-74
31/01/13	H	CSKA Moscow	86-78 OT
27/01/13	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	87-75
25/01/13	A	Panathinaikos	58-54

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/02/13	H	Barcelona	62-79
17/02/13	A	Gran Canaria	78-68
03/02/13	H	Obradoiro CAB	83-77
26/01/13	A	Valencia	96-94
20/01/13	H	Real Betis	73-81
12/01/13	A	Fuenlabrada	81-75
04/01/13	A	Tenerife	68-80
30/12/12	H	Estudiantes	68-91
23/12/12	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	77-75
19/12/12	A	Bilbao	75-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	95%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWWW	92%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	95%	100%	92%
Points / game	89.8	91.0	88.8
Allowed / game	75.1	74.7	75.5
Point differential	+14.7	+16.3	+13.3
Avg total	165.0	165.7	164.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	77%	80%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Murcia

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	45%
Home	WLLWL	45%
Away	LLWWW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	45%	45%	45%
Points / game	77.4	78.2	76.6
Allowed / game	82.1	81.4	82.9
Point differential	-4.7	-3.2	-6.3
Avg total	159.5	159.5	159.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	9%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	50% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	22	21	1	95%	89.8	75.1	+14.7
2	Baskonia	23	19	4	83%	81.2	75.7	+5.5
3	Barcelona	23	14	9	61%	78.4	71.5	+6.9
4	Bilbao	23	14	9	61%	80.7	76.4	+4.2
5	Gran Canaria	22	13	9	59%	75.0	72.4	+2.6
6	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	23	13	10	57%	76.3	71.9	+4.4
7	Valencia	23	13	10	57%	81.4	77.4	+4.0
8	Estudiantes	22	12	10	55%	81.1	77.5	+3.6
9	Obradoiro CAB	23	11	12	48%	74.7	73.9	+0.8
10	Unicaja	23	11	12	48%	72.6	73.7	-1.1
11	Joventut Badalona	23	11	12	48%	77.8	80.5	-2.7
12	Murcia	22	10	12	45%	77.4	82.1	-4.7
13	Tenerife	22	9	13	41%	76.2	80.2	-4.0
14	Real Betis	23	9	14	39%	72.2	75.7	-3.5
15	Baloncesto Valladolid	22	8	14	36%	76.1	83.5	-7.4
16	Fuenlabrada	23	7	16	30%	74.2	80.9	-6.7
17	Gipuzkoa	23	5	18	22%	71.6	80.3	-8.7
18	Manresa	23	4	19	17%	77.1	85.0	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	19	24	18	25	86
Murcia	5	22	15	27	69

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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