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Barcelona vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 98-59
27-11 16-16 27-13 28-19
Position#5
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game75.0
Barcelona 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#15
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game71.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2023
Meetings · Barcelona v Bayern
06 Apr 2027
BAR v BAY
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
BAR95
BAY69
25 Mar 2025
BAR101
BAY102
20 Oct 2023
BAR98
BAY59
02 Feb 2023
BAR72
BAY70
03 May 2022
BAR81
BAY72
21 Apr 2022
BAR75
BAY90
19 Apr 2022
BAR77
BAY67
01 Feb 2022
BAR71
BAY66
09 Apr 2021
BAR72
BAY82
18 Oct 2018
BAR83
BAY73
17 Oct 2014
BAR83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
W
93-82
93
82
+11
93avg 80
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 80
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
95-79
95
79
+16
93avg 80
H24/09
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
no box
A29/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
69avg 80
A01/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 80
H05/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
91-87
91
87
+4
86avg 80
H08/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
77-68
77
68
+9
80avg 80
A13/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
76avg 80
A15/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
92-83
92
83
+9
92avg 80
A17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
18-20
29-25
26-16
25-22
15-20
19-25
21-23
22-20
22-20
24-17
27-22
19-18
15-7
16-23
22-24
13-14
20-23
17-22
29-27
22-19
18-15
29-30
22-10
16-24
21-23
27-18
27-22
23-16
17-18
16-20
21-14
18-14
14-23
24-22
27-14
23-16
21-18
25-26
23-23
167.0Avg total
86.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.775.0161.7+11.7100%
Season at home (1)91.074.0165.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)84.575.5160.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.580.5167.0+6.080%
Last 5 (5)86.877.0163.8+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)79.086.0165.0-7.00%
vs Similar (14)84.479.7164.1+4.779%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.272.3159.5+14.9100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
61avg 73
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 73
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
no box
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 73
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 73
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 73
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 73
H08/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 73
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
101-73
101
73
+28
103avg 73
H15/10
German Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 73
A17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
21-24
17-23
11-22
20-27
19-17
17-27
32-22
22-29
21-17
19-28
30-18
22-22
28-18
23-23
23-24
26-21
13-24
15-13
13-19
19-17
17-27
25-7
19-17
28-31
26-10
15-17
21-21
11-23
19-14
18-17
23-24
32-20
23-15
25-17
21-21
20-22
21-20
16-20
19-6
165.4Avg total
84.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.771.3147.0+4.367%
Season at home (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)73.573.0146.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)84.081.4165.4+2.650%
Last 5 (5)83.673.2156.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.080.3153.3-7.30%
vs Similar (9)79.885.2165.0-5.422%
vs Weaker (17)82.173.2155.4+8.982%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
BarcelonaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H24/09
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A29/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A01/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H05/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H08/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A15/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A17/10
Euroleague
75.3Avg total
38.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.635.876.4+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.937.280.1+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)37.934.372.1+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.175.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.275.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.037.070.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (14)40.639.179.6+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.132.173.2+9.193%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H08/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H15/10
German Cup
Baskonia
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/10
Euroleague
84.4Avg total
42.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.079.9+1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.538.883.3+5.756%-
Last 30 away (14)36.839.175.9-2.414%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.684.4+1.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.883.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.340.776.0-5.30%-
vs Similar (9)38.841.980.7-3.122%-
vs Weaker (17)42.237.479.5+4.847%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.5
52.8%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.211.2
46.3%
36.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.513.1
74.9%
77.4%13.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.0
54.4%
53.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.1
32.2%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.416.2
83.5%
77.4%16.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWWLWWLW
Bayern
WWLWWLWLLL
#5
League position
#15
+8.4
Net rating
+5.7
120.6
Offensive rating
111.4
112.2
Defensive rating
105.6
59.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
46.3%
3-point %
32.2%
61.6%
Assist %
55.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.6 · 111.4Defence112.2 · 105.6Shooting59.4% · 51.5%3-point %46.3% · 32.2%Ball care17.0% · 19.0%Off. rebounds33.4% · 36.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Barcelona   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Barcelona wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
02/02/23Barcelona v Bayern72-70
18/10/22Bayern v Barcelona73-84
03/05/22Barcelona v Bayern81-72
29/04/22Bayern v Barcelona59-52
27/04/22Bayern v Barcelona66-75
21/04/22Barcelona v Bayern75-90
19/04/22Barcelona v Bayern77-67
01/02/22Barcelona v Bayern71-66
07/10/21Bayern v Barcelona72-80
09/04/21Barcelona v Bayern72-82
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23APartizan92-83
15/10/23AGran Canaria83-73
13/10/23AOlympiacos77-68
08/10/23HMoraBanc Andorra91-87
05/10/23HAnadolu Efes91-74
01/10/23AReal Madrid79-86
29/09/23APalencia84-83 OT
24/09/23HJoventut Badalona95-79
16/09/23HReal Madrid80-90
20/06/23AReal Madrid93-82
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23ABaskonia76-68
15/10/23HOldenburg101-73
12/10/23APanathinaikos71-78
08/10/23HHamburg90-79
05/10/23HAlba Berlin80-68
02/10/23AOldenburg67-77
29/09/23HSyntainics MBC96-87
02/06/23AUlm102-104 OT
30/05/23HUlm88-93
28/05/23HUlm69-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.791.084.5
Allowed / game75.074.075.5
Point differential+11.7+17.0+9.0
Avg total161.7165.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game75.780.073.5
Allowed / game71.368.073.0
Point differential+4.3+12.0+0.5
Avg total147.0148.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid440100%90.876.8+14.0
2 Barcelona330100%86.775.0+11.7
3 Fenerbahce43175%85.878.5+7.2
4 Valencia43175%73.870.5+3.2
5 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%84.882.0+2.8
6 Virtus Bologna32167%83.072.3+10.7
7 Bayern32167%75.771.3+4.3
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv32167%82.779.0+3.7
9 Olympiacos42250%76.878.5-1.8
10 Monaco42250%73.076.0-3.0
11 Anadolu Efes42250%80.087.8-7.8
12 Crvena zvezda31233%81.378.0+3.3
13 Olimpia Milano31233%72.775.3-2.7
14 Partizan41325%86.587.0-0.5
15 Baskonia41325%79.585.0-5.5
16 Panathinaikos41325%76.582.0-5.5
17 Alba Berlin4040%76.286.0-9.8
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne4040%76.293.0-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona2716272898
Bayern1116131959
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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