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Barcelona vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 06 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:45
Scheduled
Position#4
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#18
Record3-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game95.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 36· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2026
Meetings · Barcelona v Bayern
06 Apr 2027
BAR v BAY
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
BAR95
BAY69
25 Mar 2025
BAR101
BAY102
20 Oct 2023
BAR98
BAY59
02 Feb 2023
BAR72
BAY70
03 May 2022
BAR81
BAY72
21 Apr 2022
BAR75
BAY90
19 Apr 2022
BAR77
BAY67
01 Feb 2022
BAR71
BAY66
09 Apr 2021
BAR72
BAY82
18 Oct 2018
BAR83
BAY73
17 Oct 2014
BAR83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
92avg 84
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 84
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 84
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 84
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 84
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 84
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
92-89
92
89
+3
84avg 84
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H08/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
W
76-74
76
74
+2
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
19-21
27-25
27-18
20-26
23-20
16-20
30-30
30-21
17-17
15-16
11-24
33-17
182.5Avg total
92.3Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.687.4177.0+2.373%
Season at home (5)91.691.2182.8+0.460%
Season away (6)88.084.2172.2+3.883%
Last 10 (10)92.390.2182.5+2.180%
Last 5 (5)91.687.6179.2+4.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)88.096.8184.8-8.844%
vs Similar (11)91.587.5179.0+4.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.786.2181.9+9.590%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 84
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 84
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 84
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 84
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 84
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#4
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 84
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
26-21
23-18
33-7
12-27
19-29
22-23
24-21
22-29
176.1Avg total
88.6Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.895.2182.0-8.427%
Season at home (4)86.593.8180.2-7.20%
Season away (7)87.096.0183.0-9.043%
Last 10 (10)88.687.5176.1+1.140%
Last 5 (5)91.081.0172.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.495.3180.8-9.922%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (19)90.873.2163.9+17.679%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
BarcelonaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A13/11
Euroleague
87.4Avg total
43.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.685.0-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.842.183.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)43.143.186.1+0.033%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.387.4-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.084.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.344.783.0-6.311%-
vs Similar (11)44.043.087.0+1.045%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.440.384.7+4.160%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A12/11
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
41.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.885.5+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.639.085.6+7.681%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.985.5-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.887.6-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.488.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.148.788.8-8.644%-
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker (19)47.036.383.3+10.789%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.9
58.4%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
77.1%14.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.3
56.5%
55.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
77.1%15.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWLL
Bayern
LWWWLLLWLL
#4
League position
#18
+0.7
Net rating
+2.0
105.6
Offensive rating
101.7
104.9
Defensive rating
99.7
58.8%
Effective FG%
55.8%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.5%
3-point %
36.5%
51.5%
Assist %
66.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 101.7Defence104.9 · 99.7Shooting58.8% · 55.8%3-point %39.5% · 36.5%Ball care15.3% · 15.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Barcelona   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Barcelona wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
27/10/26Bayern v Barcelona84-88
17/04/26Barcelona v Bayern95-69
12/11/25Bayern v Barcelona74-75
25/03/25Barcelona v Bayern101-102
22/11/24Bayern v Barcelona100-78
28/03/24Bayern v Barcelona79-87
20/10/23Barcelona v Bayern98-59
02/02/23Barcelona v Bayern72-70
18/10/22Bayern v Barcelona73-84
03/05/22Barcelona v Bayern81-72
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26APanathinaikos76-74
08/11/26HBreogan99-91
05/11/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-90
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AValencia87-102
08/11/26AWurzburg94-73
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game89.691.688.0
Allowed / game87.491.284.2
Point differential+2.3+0.4+3.8
Avg total177.0182.8172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %27%0%43%
Points / game86.886.587.0
Allowed / game95.293.896.0
Point differential-8.4-7.2-9.0
Avg total182.0180.2183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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