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Barcelona vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 101-102
28-30 27-26 22-20 24-26
Position#6
Record17-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#7
Record17-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game87.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2024
Meetings · Barcelona v Bayern
06 Apr 2027
BAR v BAY
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
BAR95
BAY69
25 Mar 2025
BAR101
BAY102
20 Oct 2023
BAR98
BAY59
02 Feb 2023
BAR72
BAY70
03 May 2022
BAR81
BAY72
21 Apr 2022
BAR75
BAY90
19 Apr 2022
BAR77
BAY67
01 Feb 2022
BAR71
BAY66
09 Apr 2021
BAR72
BAY82
18 Oct 2018
BAR83
BAY73
17 Oct 2014
BAR83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
100-86
100
86
+14
95avg 82
A09/02
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
no box
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#8
L
91-96
91
96
-5
78avg 82
A27/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
102-79
102
79
+23
97avg 82
H02/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-85
99
85
+14
104avg 82
A07/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 82
H09/03
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
87avg 82
H14/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
113-91
113
91
+22
114avg 82
A16/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 82
H21/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 82
H23/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
27-18
30-28
18-21
33-23
21-24
19-19
13-25
25-23
18-17
24-30
24-26
21-33
27-11
24-15
30-20
18-20
23-19
25-25
33-21
19-19
21-20
25-26
27-30
25-32
29-9
19-26
14-13
29-23
29-20
34-29
21-19
16-20
20-11
23-20
23-19
20-27
22-25
26-25
29-18
181.7Avg total
94.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.483.9171.4+3.557%
Season at home (15)87.179.6166.7+7.567%
Season away (15)87.888.3176.1-0.547%
Last 10 (10)94.986.8181.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)94.286.2180.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.579.5165.0+6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.584.6173.1+3.846%
vs Weaker (14)94.885.9180.7+8.971%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
85avg 79
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 79
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
88avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 79
H06/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 79
H09/03
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
68-69
68
69
-1
59avg 79
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
88avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
70-62
70
62
+8
60avg 79
H17/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
89-112
89
112
-23
82avg 79
A20/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
89avg 79
H22/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
23-26
30-25
20-22
15-23
23-24
30-24
20-22
12-17
30-25
29-14
23-16
20-22
32-15
25-18
23-27
26-19
22-19
22-15
17-25
15-13
22-23
16-17
15-16
17-26
20-25
30-14
25-32
10-11
18-19
19-17
23-15
21-25
27-25
23-33
18-29
29-13
27-14
18-13
17-26
169.8Avg total
87.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.987.6174.5-0.757%
Season at home (15)91.084.1175.1+6.980%
Season away (15)82.891.1173.9-8.333%
Last 10 (10)87.282.6169.8+4.650%
Last 5 (5)82.081.2163.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.895.2175.0-15.420%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.283.5168.6+1.754%
vs Weaker (12)83.872.8156.6+10.983%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.9-2.9
BarcelonaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A09/02
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H02/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A07/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/03
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H14/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A16/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H23/03
ACB
88.1Avg total
46.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.283.2+2.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.582.8+1.967%-
Last 30 away (15)43.740.083.7+3.773%-
Last 10 (10)46.841.388.1+5.590%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.287.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.536.578.0+5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.540.282.6+2.377%-
vs Weaker (14)42.940.483.3+2.664%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H06/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/03
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H17/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A20/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H22/03
BBL
83.5Avg total
42.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.480.9+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.178.3+4.060%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.783.6+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.683.5+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.880.0+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.644.084.6-3.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.739.178.8+0.646%-
vs Weaker (12)43.837.981.8+5.967%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.725.1
61.7%
54.5%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.1
40.2%
36.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.9
76.8%
78.0%13.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.616.6
58.0%
54.5%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.012.9
36.9%
36.2%38.7
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
78.0%14.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWLWWLLW
Bayern
WLWLLWWWLL
#6
League position
#7
+11.3
Net rating
+6.5
126.0
Offensive rating
116.9
114.6
Defensive rating
110.5
61.2%
Effective FG%
56.5%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.2%
3-point %
36.9%
54.0%
Assist %
66.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence126.0 · 116.9Defence114.6 · 110.5Shooting61.2% · 56.5%3-point %40.2% · 36.9%Ball care14.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.6% · 29.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Barcelona   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Barcelona wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
22/11/24Bayern v Barcelona100-78
28/03/24Bayern v Barcelona79-87
20/10/23Barcelona v Bayern98-59
02/02/23Barcelona v Bayern72-70
18/10/22Bayern v Barcelona73-84
03/05/22Barcelona v Bayern81-72
29/04/22Bayern v Barcelona59-52
27/04/22Bayern v Barcelona66-75
21/04/22Barcelona v Bayern75-90
19/04/22Barcelona v Bayern77-67
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HBasket Zaragoza97-95
21/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas82-70
16/03/25AMoraBanc Andorra113-91
14/03/25HPartizan87-80
09/03/25HTenerife92-95
07/03/25AAlba Berlin99-85
02/03/25HBreogan102-79
27/02/25AReal Madrid91-96
13/02/25ATenerife86-91
09/02/25AValencia100-86
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HRostock91-66
20/03/25ABaskonia89-112
17/03/25HUlm70-62
14/03/25HAnadolu Efes92-97
11/03/25ABamberg68-69
09/03/25HHeidelberg87-78
06/03/25HCrvena zvezda100-82
02/03/25AChemnitz94-72
27/02/25AParis88-93
15/02/25HSyntainics MBC93-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%67%47%
Points / game87.487.187.8
Allowed / game83.979.688.3
Point differential+3.5+7.5-0.5
Avg total171.4166.7176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%80%33%
Points / game86.991.082.8
Allowed / game87.684.191.1
Point differential-0.7+6.9-8.3
Avg total174.5175.1173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)83% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3022873%86.981.2+5.7
2 Fenerbahce31211068%83.381.4+1.9
3 Panathinaikos30191163%87.082.6+4.4
4 Monaco31191261%87.083.1+3.9
5 Barcelona30171357%87.483.9+3.5
6 Crvena zvezda30171357%81.880.7+1.1
7 Bayern30171357%86.987.6-0.7
8 Paris31171455%85.985.3+0.6
9 Anadolu Efes30161453%86.182.0+4.2
10 Real Madrid30161453%84.182.0+2.1
11 Olimpia Milano30161453%84.985.8-0.9
12 Partizan30151550%82.280.1+2.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas31141745%77.678.8-1.2
14 Baskonia30131743%81.882.8-1.0
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne30111937%81.085.3-4.3
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv30102033%85.289.1-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna3072323%78.584.4-5.9
18 Alba Berlin3052517%79.591.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona28272224101
Bayern30262026102
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