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Barcelona vs Bilbao Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game96.2
vs
Position#9
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game95.6
SpainACBRound 23· Palau Blaugrana
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Barcelona v Bilbao
07 Mar 2027
BAR v BIL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
BAR90
BIL61
19 Jan 2025
BAR97
BIL84
22 Oct 2023
BAR91
BIL82
22 Jan 2023
BAR88
BIL78
10 May 2022
BAR84
BIL62
27 Sep 2020
BAR82
BIL64
11 Feb 2018
BAR90
BIL58
05 Feb 2017
BAR68
BIL76
18 Feb 2016
BAR72
BIL73
23 Dec 2015
BAR66
BIL57
09 May 2015
BAR80
BIL73
30 Mar 2014
BAR104
BIL75
28 May 2013
BAR79
BIL70
23 May 2013
BAR88
BIL62
27 Jan 2013
BAR87
BIL85
23 Oct 2011
BAR91
BIL72
11 Jun 2011
BAR74
BIL67
09 Jun 2011
BAR74
BIL64
02 Apr 2011
BAR78
BIL83
29 Apr 2010
BAR86
BIL55
09 May 2009
BAR88
BIL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
L
94-100
94
100
-6
A04/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
89-113
89
113
-24
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
99-81
99
81
+18
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
28-28
27-24
21-30
18-23
23-16
24-16
16-33
19-26
20-14
29-20
21-26
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
183.6Avg total
91.7Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)98.096.2194.2+1.860%
Season at home (3)102.389.3191.7+13.0100%
Season away (2)91.5106.5198.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)91.791.9183.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)92.690.6183.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.3100.4188.7-12.129%
vs Similar ◀ (9)91.987.3179.2+4.656%
vs Weaker (14)95.485.9181.3+9.693%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
107-92
107
92
+15
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#37
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
A28/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
16-17
27-20
18-28
16-22
21-25
12-24
22-17
19-18
25-20
32-27
31-27
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
26-24
22-19
24-31
28-29
183.3Avg total
91.6Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)95.295.6190.8-0.460%
Season at home (3)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)92.5111.5204.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)91.691.7183.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)93.094.2187.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.094.1175.1-13.112%
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.686.2176.9+4.475%
vs Weaker (14)90.982.8173.7+8.179%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
BarcelonaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A04/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
87.2Avg total
43.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.785.5+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.384.5+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)44.542.286.7+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.787.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.446.785.1-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.041.286.2+3.867%-
vs Weaker (14)45.739.685.3+6.171%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#37
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/10
Champions League
84.8Avg total
42.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.183.8-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.540.483.9+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.043.783.7-3.731%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.684.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.087.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.846.082.8-9.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.141.582.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker (14)44.740.385.0+4.464%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
55.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
36.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
75.7%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.2
51.3%
55.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.2
37.7%
36.2%36.6
🏀 Free throws25.118.6
74.1%
75.7%18.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWLLWWLL
Bilbao
LWLWWWLWLL
#7
League position
#9
-0.3
Net rating
-0.1
104.9
Offensive rating
100.2
105.3
Defensive rating
100.3
58.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.2%
3-point %
37.7%
50.9%
Assist %
66.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 100.2Defence105.3 · 100.3Shooting58.1% · 53.8%3-point %39.2% · 37.7%Ball care14.9% · 13.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Barcelona   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Barcelona wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Barcelona v Bilbao90-61
28/12/25Bilbao v Barcelona66-71
30/05/25Bilbao v Barcelona68-85
19/01/25Barcelona v Bilbao97-84
12/05/24Bilbao v Barcelona68-72
22/10/23Barcelona v Bilbao91-82
09/04/23Bilbao v Barcelona82-80
22/01/23Barcelona v Bilbao88-78
10/05/22Barcelona v Bilbao84-62
03/10/21Bilbao v Barcelona68-84
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87
11/10/26HValencia89-86
09/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas81-88
04/10/26AMurcia94-100
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26AAlba Berlin100-103
25/10/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-76
18/10/26AReal Madrid84-119
14/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK97-86
11/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos96-87
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT
26/09/26HManresa107-92
05/06/26HValencia71-88
03/06/26AValencia80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game98.0102.391.5
Allowed / game96.289.3106.5
Point differential+1.8+13.0-15.0
Avg total194.2191.7198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game95.297.092.5
Allowed / game95.685.0111.5
Point differential-0.4+12.0-19.0
Avg total190.8182.0204.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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