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Bilbao vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 66-71
25-16 8-18 13-15 20-22
Position#7
Record5-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game85.1
Bilbao
Spain
vs
Barcelona 🏆
Spain
Position#5
Record7-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game80.0
SpainACBRound 12· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bilbao v Barcelona
20 Dec 2026
BIL v BAR
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
BIL66
BAR71
30 May 2025
BIL68
BAR85
12 May 2024
BIL68
BAR72
09 Apr 2023
BIL82
BAR80
03 Oct 2021
BIL68
BAR84
06 Feb 2021
BIL73
BAR90
05 Nov 2017
BIL83
BAR104
16 Oct 2016
BIL92
BAR79
01 May 2016
BIL55
BAR77
04 Jan 2015
BIL73
BAR67
17 Nov 2013
BIL80
BAR72
26 May 2013
BIL90
BAR89
07 Oct 2012
BIL78
BAR77
04 Mar 2012
BIL65
BAR72
14 Jun 2011
BIL55
BAR64
02 Jan 2011
BIL63
BAR65
02 Jan 2010
BIL65
BAR87
28 Dec 2008
BIL59
BAR66
07 Feb 2008
BIL70
BAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
106-75
106
75
+31
102avg 78
H09/11
ACB
Brno
#28
W
115-100
115
100
+15
120avg 78
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 78
A16/11
ACB
Kutaisi
#39
W
117-54
117
54
+63
125avg 78
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
L
91-110
91
110
-19
87avg 78
A23/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 78
H07/12
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 78
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 78
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
83-46
83
46
+37
86avg 78
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
99-100
99
100
-1
95avg 78
A21/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
23-11
28-11
28-30
37-25
28-21
23-31
27-23
16-23
27-16
19-24
8-19
25-17
41-3
25-18
26-16
23-33
23-38
22-14
23-25
14-16
20-18
21-21
24-17
26-23
23-15
25-25
20-16
15-17
17-14
32-26
29-18
27-12
16-18
16-9
24-7
23-21
24-24
22-26
30-29
174.0Avg total
94.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.485.1169.5-0.745%
Season at home (5)90.875.6166.4+15.2100%
Season away (6)79.093.0172.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)94.779.3174.0+15.470%
Last 5 (5)89.674.4164.0+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.494.8170.2-19.40%
vs Similar (11)86.887.7174.5-0.927%
vs Weaker (14)93.469.8163.1+23.686%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#15
W
72-61
72
61
+11
68avg 83
A23/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 83
H26/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
89-79
89
79
+10
84avg 83
A05/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
102-71
102
71
+31
101avg 83
H07/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
98-85
98
85
+13
90avg 83
H12/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
87avg 83
A14/12
ACB
Paris
#16
W
85-69
85
69
+16
82avg 83
A16/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
W
134-124 OT
134
124
+10
119avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
90-80
90
80
+10
81avg 83
H21/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
71-72
71
72
-1
62avg 83
A23/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
18-12
14-17
26-15
20-19
25-25
23-21
20-13
21-17
25-22
17-18
26-22
16-14
22-16
35-21
29-20
21-22
21-17
30-17
26-29
28-21
22-16
21-17
18-8
30-13
22-16
16-23
17-17
17-26
30-27
23-22
27-22
26-17
8-23
31-15
25-25
13-17
20-18
19-18
19-19
169.9Avg total
91.8Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.480.0166.4+6.464%
Season at home (6)91.281.8173.0+9.367%
Season away (5)80.677.8158.4+2.860%
Last 10 (10)91.878.1169.9+13.790%
Last 5 (5)93.881.4175.2+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)90.393.0183.3-2.733%
vs Similar (15)85.983.3169.3+2.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.281.3170.6+7.975%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
BilbaoBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H09/11
ACB
Brno
#28
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/11
ACB
Kutaisi
#39
W
66-20
66
20
+46
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
L
46-71
46
71
-25
A23/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/12
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A21/12
ACB
86.3Avg total
47.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.438.983.2+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.935.881.7+10.180%-
Last 30 away (15)42.941.984.8+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)47.538.886.3+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.676.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.849.886.6-13.020%-
vs Similar (11)42.142.084.1+0.145%-
vs Weaker (14)48.932.581.4+16.4100%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#15
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A23/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H26/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A05/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H12/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A14/12
ACB
Paris
#16
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A16/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H19/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H21/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/12
Euroleague
79.4Avg total
41.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.583.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.145.587.6-3.436%-
Last 30 away (16)42.038.080.0+4.062%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.579.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.882.0+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.047.788.7-6.733%-
vs Similar (15)42.941.384.3+1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.240.281.4+1.167%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 93.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.1
57.3%
50.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.9
40.1%
42.2%35.7
🏀 Free throws23.418.0
76.9%
74.7%18.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.5
55.6%
50.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.0
38.8%
42.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.515.8
81.0%
74.7%15.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LWWWWLWLWW
Barcelona
LWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#5
+19.9
Net rating
+18.3
118.5
Offensive rating
121.0
98.6
Defensive rating
102.8
58.6%
Effective FG%
56.6%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.1%
3-point %
38.8%
67.8%
Assist %
53.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 121.0Defence98.6 · 102.8Shooting58.6% · 56.6%3-point %40.1% · 38.8%Ball care17.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 35.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Bilbao   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bilbao wins
9
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
30/05/25Bilbao v Barcelona68-85
19/01/25Barcelona v Bilbao97-84
12/05/24Bilbao v Barcelona68-72
22/10/23Barcelona v Bilbao91-82
09/04/23Bilbao v Barcelona82-80
22/01/23Barcelona v Bilbao88-78
10/05/22Barcelona v Bilbao84-62
03/10/21Bilbao v Barcelona68-84
06/02/21Bilbao v Barcelona73-90
27/09/20Barcelona v Bilbao82-64
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ABreogan99-100
17/12/25ABC Prievidza83-46
14/12/25HForca Lleida93-75
10/12/25HSporting CP94-79
07/12/25HGran Canaria79-72
23/11/25ABaskonia91-110
19/11/25HKutaisi117-54
16/11/25AReal Madrid70-82
11/11/25HBrno115-100
09/11/25HBasket Zaragoza106-75
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25AFenerbahce71-72
21/12/25HJoventut Badalona90-80
19/12/25HBaskonia134-124 OT
16/12/25AParis85-69
14/12/25AManresa89-62
12/12/25HOlympiacos98-85
07/12/25HMoraBanc Andorra102-71
05/12/25ACrvena zvezda89-79
26/11/25HLyon-Villeurbanne88-78
23/11/25AGran Canaria72-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL45%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%100%0%
Points / game84.490.879.0
Allowed / game85.175.693.0
Point differential-0.7+15.2-14.0
Avg total169.5166.4172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelona
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game86.491.280.6
Allowed / game80.081.877.8
Point differential+6.4+9.3+2.8
Avg total166.4173.0158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%90.680.5+10.1
2 Murcia1210283%90.079.1+10.9
3 Valencia108280%95.183.8+11.3
4 Tenerife128467%89.883.4+6.4
5 Joventut Badalona128467%85.279.8+5.3
6 Barcelona117464%86.480.0+6.4
7 Unicaja117464%87.483.6+3.7
8 Baskonia116555%90.389.2+1.1
9 Bilbao115645%84.485.1-0.7
10 Gran Canaria115645%79.781.0-1.3
11 Breogan125742%88.292.0-3.8
12 Manresa125742%82.887.8-4.9
13 Basquet Girona125742%86.792.2-5.6
14 Basket Zaragoza114736%88.590.2-1.6
15 MoraBanc Andorra114736%82.992.7-9.8
16 Forca Lleida124833%83.090.3-7.3
17 Granada121118%81.389.4-8.1
18 San Pablo Burgos121118%87.597.1-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao258132066
Barcelona1618152271
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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