PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Barcelona vs Bilbao Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game94.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game92.6
SpainACBRound 23· Palau Blaugrana
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Barcelona v Bilbao
07 Mar 2027
BAR v BIL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
BAR90
BIL61
19 Jan 2025
BAR97
BIL84
22 Oct 2023
BAR91
BIL82
22 Jan 2023
BAR88
BIL78
10 May 2022
BAR84
BIL62
27 Sep 2020
BAR82
BIL64
11 Feb 2018
BAR90
BIL58
05 Feb 2017
BAR68
BIL76
18 Feb 2016
BAR72
BIL73
23 Dec 2015
BAR66
BIL57
09 May 2015
BAR80
BIL73
30 Mar 2014
BAR104
BIL75
28 May 2013
BAR79
BIL70
23 May 2013
BAR88
BIL62
27 Jan 2013
BAR87
BIL85
23 Oct 2011
BAR91
BIL72
11 Jun 2011
BAR74
BIL67
09 Jun 2011
BAR74
BIL64
02 Apr 2011
BAR78
BIL83
29 Apr 2010
BAR86
BIL55
09 May 2009
BAR88
BIL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
W
90-87
90
87
+3
90avg 82
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
92avg 82
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 82
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 82
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 82
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#17
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
19-21
27-25
27-18
20-26
23-20
16-20
30-30
30-21
185.2Avg total
93.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)97.394.4191.7+2.971%
Season at home (4)101.589.8191.2+11.8100%
Season away (3)91.7100.7192.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)93.791.5185.2+2.280%
Last 5 (5)94.089.6183.6+4.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.098.9186.9-10.943%
vs Similar ◀ (11)92.589.5182.1+3.055%
vs Weaker (12)95.786.8182.4+8.992%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
90avg 82
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 82
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 82
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 82
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
75avg 82
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
88-76
88
76
+12
83avg 82
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
L
100-103
100
103
-3
98avg 82
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 82
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
26-24
22-19
24-31
28-29
27-23
11-21
29-17
14-17
25-19
19-27
23-20
20-26
22-18
23-21
19-14
19-22
180.8Avg total
90.9Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.092.6184.6-0.657%
Season at home (3)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Season away (4)88.298.2186.5-10.025%
Last 10 (10)90.989.9180.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)87.884.8172.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.392.9171.1-14.614%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.283.7172.9+5.678%
vs Weaker (14)91.684.4176.1+7.271%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
BarcelonaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#17
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/11
ACB
89.1Avg total
43.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.986.2+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.842.183.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.788.5+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.289.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.044.682.6-6.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.244.288.4+0.036%-
vs Weaker (12)45.640.886.4+4.867%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/11
Champions League
86.8Avg total
43.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.384.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.383.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.385.0-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.586.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.146.481.6-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.641.083.6+1.656%-
vs Weaker (14)45.441.186.4+4.364%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
55.8%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
36.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
76.0%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
55.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.8
36.8%
36.2%35.4
🏀 Free throws26.619.3
72.6%
76.0%19.3
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWWWWLLW
Bilbao
WLWLWLWWWL
#6
League position
#8
-0.3
Net rating
+0.5
104.9
Offensive rating
99.9
105.3
Defensive rating
99.4
58.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
39.2%
3-point %
36.8%
50.9%
Assist %
66.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 99.9Defence105.3 · 99.4Shooting58.1% · 53.8%3-point %39.2% · 36.8%Ball care14.9% · 13.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Barcelona   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Barcelona wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Barcelona v Bilbao90-61
28/12/25Bilbao v Barcelona66-71
30/05/25Bilbao v Barcelona68-85
19/01/25Barcelona v Bilbao97-84
12/05/24Bilbao v Barcelona68-72
22/10/23Barcelona v Bilbao91-82
09/04/23Bilbao v Barcelona82-80
22/01/23Barcelona v Bilbao88-78
10/05/22Barcelona v Bilbao84-62
03/10/21Bilbao v Barcelona68-84
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBreogan99-91
05/11/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-90
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HAlba Berlin83-75
07/11/26ABasquet Girona87-92
01/11/26AJoventut Badalona81-78
28/10/26AAlba Berlin100-103
25/10/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-76
18/10/26AReal Madrid84-119
14/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK97-86
11/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos96-87
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game97.3101.591.7
Allowed / game94.489.8100.7
Point differential+2.9+11.8-9.0
Avg total191.7191.2192.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game92.097.088.2
Allowed / game92.685.098.2
Point differential-0.6+12.0-10.0
Avg total184.6182.0186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia75271%99.188.0+11.1
3 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
4 Tenerife75271%86.779.0+7.7
5 Basket Zaragoza75271%92.687.7+4.9
6 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
7 Breogan74357%102.798.7+4.0
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-8.0
14 Joventut Badalona72529%89.389.9-0.6
15 San Pablo Burgos72529%88.789.3-0.6
16 MoraBanc Andorra71614%86.797.4-10.7
17 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-12.7
18 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.