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Barcelona vs Panathinaikos Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 02 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
3.8/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record8-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game78.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 35· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2026
Meetings · Barcelona v Panathinaikos
02 Apr 2027
BAR v PAO
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
BAR79
PAO93
15 Jan 2025
BAR82
PAO73
03 Nov 2023
BAR80
PAO72
16 Dec 2022
BAR74
PAO68
03 Feb 2022
BAR86
PAO60
15 Oct 2020
BAR97
PAO89
11 Jan 2019
BAR79
PAO68
13 Oct 2017
BAR98
PAO71
02 Dec 2016
BAR72
PAO57
29 Oct 2015
BAR77
PAO52
09 Jan 2015
BAR80
PAO76
14 Nov 2014
BAR78
PAO69
28 Mar 2014
BAR84
PAO62
25 Apr 2013
BAR64
PAO53
11 Apr 2013
BAR65
PAO66
09 Apr 2013
BAR72
PAO70
24 Mar 2011
BAR71
PAO75
22 Mar 2011
BAR83
PAO82
11 Feb 2010
BAR83
PAO71
30 Oct 2008
BAR90
PAO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#12
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 84
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 84
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 84
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 84
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 84
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#8
W
92-89
92
89
+3
84avg 84
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H08/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
W
76-74
76
74
+2
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
108-83
108
83
+25
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
19-21
27-25
27-18
20-26
23-20
16-20
30-30
30-21
17-17
15-16
11-24
33-17
25-18
26-22
22-22
35-21
181.1Avg total
93.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.687.4177.0+2.373%
Season at home (5)91.691.2182.8+0.460%
Season away (6)88.084.2172.2+3.883%
Last 10 (10)93.188.0181.1+5.190%
Last 5 (5)93.685.4179.0+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)88.096.8184.8-8.844%
vs Similar (10)91.884.9176.7+6.970%
vs Weaker (11)95.887.5183.4+8.382%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 83
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 83
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 83
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
no box
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H13/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H15/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
15-18
29-28
24-33
23-22
24-18
27-30
23-25
27-28
14-19
23-21
21-15
25-19
17-17
16-15
24-11
17-33
26-15
19-20
21-13
12-25
165.9Avg total
84.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.478.5164.8+7.973%
Season at home (8)86.976.6163.5+10.275%
Season away (3)85.083.3168.3+1.767%
Last 10 (10)84.781.2165.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)88.287.2175.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar (6)89.291.3180.5-2.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.875.9163.8+11.984%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
BarcelonaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#8
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A13/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H15/11
ACB
86.1Avg total
43.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.685.4+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.442.084.4+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)43.243.486.6-0.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.686.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.685.2+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.344.783.0-6.311%-
vs Similar (10)43.942.486.3+1.550%-
vs Weaker (11)45.441.286.5+4.255%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H13/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H15/11
Basket League
80.4Avg total
41.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.1+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.237.180.3+6.167%-
Last 30 away (12)39.040.879.8-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.180.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.282.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar (6)40.044.384.3-4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.536.479.9+7.168%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.9
58.4%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
77.1%14.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.6
56.6%
55.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
77.1%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWL
Panathinaikos
WLWWLLWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+0.7
Net rating
+8.3
105.6
Offensive rating
97.5
104.9
Defensive rating
89.3
58.8%
Effective FG%
54.5%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
39.5%
3-point %
34.4%
51.5%
Assist %
65.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 97.5Defence104.9 · 89.3Shooting58.8% · 54.5%3-point %39.5% · 34.4%Ball care15.3% · 16.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Barcelona   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Barcelona wins
3
Panathinaikos wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HObradoiro CAB108-83
13/11/26APanathinaikos76-74
08/11/26HBreogan99-91
05/11/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-90
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HKolossos Rhodes78-73
13/11/26HBarcelona74-76
08/11/26AAEK Athens83-74
04/11/26AReal Madrid115-112 OT
01/11/26AAris91-101
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game89.691.688.0
Allowed / game87.491.284.2
Point differential+2.3+0.4+3.8
Avg total177.0182.8172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %73%75%67%
Points / game86.486.985.0
Allowed / game78.576.683.3
Point differential+7.9+10.2+1.7
Avg total164.8163.5168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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