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Panathinaikos vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 96-103
17-26 28-25 24-24 27-28
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#8
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game103.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2025
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Barcelona
13 Nov 2026
PAO v BAR
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
PAO96
BAR103
03 Dec 2024
PAO90
BAR89
22 Mar 2024
PAO89
BAR81
23 Mar 2023
PAO74
BAR88
16 Dec 2021
PAO82
BAR85
02 Mar 2021
PAO77
BAR85
21 Nov 2018
PAO76
BAR70
11 Jan 2018
PAO84
BAR75
24 Jan 2017
PAO71
BAR65
04 Dec 2015
PAO93
BAR86
05 Mar 2015
PAO77
BAR81
19 Dec 2014
PAO67
BAR80
31 Jan 2014
PAO56
BAR63
18 Apr 2013
PAO60
BAR70
16 Apr 2013
PAO65
BAR63
13 May 2012
PAO69
BAR74
31 Mar 2011
PAO78
BAR67
29 Mar 2011
PAO76
BAR74
25 Feb 2010
PAO67
BAR70
11 Dec 2008
PAO76
BAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
75-67
75
67
+8
73avg 87
H06/05
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
W
101-69
101
69
+32
107avg 87
H12/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
97-59
97
59
+38
101avg 87
A14/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 87
A23/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
94avg 87
A25/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
75avg 87
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
80avg 87
A01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
88-99
88
99
-11
79avg 87
H06/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 87
A08/06
Basket League
Bayern
#14
W
87-79
87
79
+8
87avg 87
H30/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
23-20
12-16
22-21
29-19
29-26
19-13
24-11
24-18
18-20
31-13
24-8
14-22
19-16
15-17
28-27
20-33
26-24
18-18
29-22
20-19
22-15
16-16
22-18
18-23
13-18
24-25
28-25
28-30
17-14
22-34
21-21
15-19
23-23
14-22
19-21
23-22
24-19
21-20
19-18
164.7Avg total
85.1Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.179.6164.7+5.550%
Last 5 (5)81.884.4166.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.283.8168.0+0.544%
vs Weaker (14)93.376.8170.1+16.5100%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
78avg 85
A06/05
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
92-93
92
93
-1
82avg 85
A08/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
98-72
98
72
+26
102avg 85
H11/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
98-110
98
110
-12
94avg 85
A18/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
97-74
97
74
+23
100avg 85
H25/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
85avg 85
A30/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
91avg 85
A03/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
59-81
59
81
-22
40avg 85
H06/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
86avg 85
A08/06
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
87-103
87
103
-16
82avg 85
A30/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
20-30
23-20
22-20
27-23
18-34
22-18
25-18
31-18
22-17
29-17
16-20
23-19
21-38
31-26
23-27
32-19
21-16
26-21
18-18
26-14
19-16
20-18
20-20
16-21
21-25
25-14
23-25
17-26
18-18
13-21
11-16
18-24
24-19
22-12
20-29
26-26
19-25
25-31
17-21
177.6Avg total
89.6Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.0103.0190.0-16.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.0103.0190.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)89.688.0177.6+1.640%
Last 5 (5)85.489.2174.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.091.0180.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.988.8175.7-1.947%
vs Weaker (14)96.484.9181.2+11.586%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
PanathinaikosBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H06/05
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H12/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A14/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A25/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A08/06
Basket League
Bayern
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H30/09
Euroleague
83.3Avg total
42.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.183.4+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.939.183.9+5.873%-
Last 30 away (15)41.641.282.8+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.083.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.481.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.441.581.9-1.144%-
vs Weaker (14)46.438.685.0+7.986%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A06/05
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A08/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H11/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A18/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A30/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H06/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A08/06
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A30/09
Euroleague
88.1Avg total
43.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.088.1+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.141.186.3+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)45.044.989.9+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.844.388.1-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.883.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.943.686.5-0.733%-
vs Weaker (14)47.942.590.4+5.479%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.0
58.5%
60.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.6
37.8%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.215.3
79.7%
78.2%15.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.3
52.0%
60.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.211.6
42.6%
35.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.7%
78.2%14.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLLLWLLWWW
Barcelona
LLLWWWLWLL
#7
League position
#8
+7.8
Net rating
+0.9
118.9
Offensive rating
114.4
111.1
Defensive rating
113.5
57.7%
Effective FG%
57.1%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.0%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.8%
3-point %
42.6%
68.6%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 114.4Defence111.1 · 113.5Shooting57.7% · 57.1%3-point %37.8% · 42.6%Ball care16.8% · 19.0%Off. rebounds29.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Panathinaikos wins
8
Barcelona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/25HBayern87-79
08/06/25AOlympiacos71-85
06/06/25HOlympiacos88-99
01/06/25AOlympiacos83-91
30/05/25HOlympiacos80-68
25/05/25AOlympiacos93-97
23/05/25AFenerbahce76-82
14/05/25APromitheas97-59
12/05/25HPromitheas101-69
06/05/25HAnadolu Efes75-67
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv87-103
08/06/25AUnicaja95-97 OT
06/06/25HUnicaja59-81
03/06/25AUnicaja101-97 OT
30/05/25ABilbao85-68
25/05/25HBasquet Girona97-74
18/05/25ABaskonia98-110
11/05/25HForca Lleida98-72
08/05/25ALeyma Coruna92-93
06/05/25AMonaco84-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total166.0166.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Barcelona
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game103.0-103.0
Point differential-16.0--16.0
Avg total190.0-190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv220100%95.084.0+11.0
2 Panathinaikos110100%87.079.0+8.0
3 Virtus Bologna110100%74.068.0+6.0
4 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%86.582.5+4.0
5 Valencia110100%80.077.0+3.0
6 Monaco21150%93.585.0+8.5
7 Fenerbahce21150%88.580.5+8.0
8 Olimpia Milano21150%85.081.0+4.0
9 Real Madrid21150%78.575.5+3.0
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%89.587.5+2.0
11 Anadolu Efes21150%83.082.5+0.5
12 Bayern21150%88.087.5+0.5
13 Olympiacos21150%89.592.5-3.0
14 Dubai21150%85.089.5-4.5
15 Partizan21150%78.083.5-5.5
16 Baskonia2020%95.5102.0-6.5
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv1010%78.085.0-7.0
18 Crvena zvezda2020%85.094.5-9.5
19 Barcelona1010%87.0103.0-16.0
20 Paris1010%77.096.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1728242796
Barcelona26252428103
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