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Barcelos vs Academica Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#16
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.3
PortugalProligaRound 22
Other2026-27
Meetings · Barcelos v Academica
06 Mar 2027
BARC v ACAD
upcoming
08 Dec 2012
BARC85
ACAD88
11 Feb 2012
BARC70
ACAD72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Academica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelosPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelos
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
W
71-62
71
62
+9
no box
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
no box
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
57avg 59
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
72avg 59
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
72-82
72
82
-10
59avg 59
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
47-69
47
69
-22
28avg 59
H24/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 59
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
55-87
55
87
-32
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
17-16
19-20
15-11
18-22
20-16
9-13
18-18
10-17
12-19
17-10
17-20
15-19
20-15
16-23
17-16
22-10
19-14
17-18
13-29
20-35
27-10
12-14
13-23
9-15
23-22
6-18
9-14
18-24
24-18
17-15
21-13
23-20
15-24
12-18
13-20
19-21
16-22
10-22
10-22
139.7Avg total
65.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.677.4144.0-10.929%
Season at home (3)63.776.7140.3-13.033%
Season away (4)68.878.0146.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)65.873.9139.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)63.478.0141.4-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)62.773.8136.5-11.118%
vs Similar (6)75.875.8151.7+0.067%
vs Weaker (2)66.056.0122.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Academica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
59-63
59
63
-4
52avg 61
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 61
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 61
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
50avg 61
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 61
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
69-74
69
74
-5
37avg 61
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 61
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
99-105
99
105
-6
94avg 61
A30/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
80-98
80
98
-18
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
87-55
87
55
+32
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
17-19
14-17
11-16
23-16
25-27
13-14
18-28
24-22
18-16
15-29
24-18
22-18
16-21
21-20
16-26
15-25
12-21
23-13
23-19
10-15
22-19
23-15
14-25
17-21
22-26
24-24
17-17
20-33
32-21
28-24
19-27
20-22
15-26
20-23
25-27
21-19
22-16
22-10
22-10
159.8Avg total
78.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.483.3163.7-2.914%
Season at home (3)76.369.0145.3+7.333%
Season away (4)83.594.0177.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)78.281.6159.8-3.410%
Last 5 (5)83.084.0167.0-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)67.880.8148.6-13.013%
vs Similar (6)75.282.7157.8-7.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)87.055.0142.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
BarcelosAcademica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H24/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H07/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/11
Proliga
74.1Avg total
36.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.772.1-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.439.774.1-5.320%-
Last 30 away (15)34.535.770.2-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.474.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.281.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.138.572.6-4.436%-
vs Similar (6)36.838.775.5-1.817%-
vs Weaker (2)31.026.057.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Academica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A30/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A07/11
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Proliga
80.4Avg total
39.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.341.076.3-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.139.474.5-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.578.1-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.683.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)34.141.175.3-7.030%-
vs Similar (6)38.541.379.8-2.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
52.5%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.07.4
23.9%
30.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.215.8
68.1%
67.3%15.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.7
52.3%
52.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.74.6
26.0%
30.6%13.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.1
66.5%
67.3%15.1
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelos
LLWLLWLLLW
Academica
WLLLLLLLLL
#14
League position
#16
-5.9
Net rating
-8.3
75.7
Offensive rating
83.4
81.7
Defensive rating
91.7
42.0%
Effective FG%
48.2%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
23.9%
3-point %
26.0%
57.4%
Assist %
50.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence75.7 · 83.4Defence81.7 · 91.7Shooting42.0% · 48.2%3-point %23.9% · 26.0%Ball care18.7% · 18.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Barcelos   ■ Academica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Barcelos wins
5
Academica wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Academica v Barcelos87-55
24/03/13Academica v Barcelos81-74
08/12/12Barcelos v Academica85-88
11/02/12Barcelos v Academica70-72
12/11/11Academica v Barcelos79-56
Barceloslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAcademica55-87
07/11/26HIlliabum63-82
01/11/26ABenfica Lisboa B80-70
24/10/26HSangalhos47-69
17/10/26AVasco Da Gama72-82
10/10/26HBarreirense81-79 OT
05/10/26ALusitania68-73
01/05/16HOvarense56-66
30/04/16HOvarense65-69
24/04/16AOvarense71-62
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBarcelos87-55
07/11/26AGalitos Aveiro80-98
30/10/26ASampaense99-105
24/10/26AGalitos Barreiro80-88
17/10/26HCB Queluz69-74
10/10/26HSanto Andre73-78
03/10/26AIlliabum75-85
02/05/26ASampaense81-85
26/04/26HLusitania79-85
19/04/26ABenfica Lisboa B59-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelos
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game66.663.768.8
Allowed / game77.476.778.0
Point differential-10.9-13.0-9.2
Avg total144.0140.3146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Academica
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game80.476.383.5
Allowed / game83.369.094.0
Point differential-2.9+7.3-10.5
Avg total163.7145.3177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
6 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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