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Bars Petropavlovsk vs Arlans Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 118-59
32-13 40-19 31-14 15-13
Position#3
Record18-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game60.0
vs
Position#11
Record8-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game81.7
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bars Petropavlovsk v Arlans
17 Mar 2026
BARS118
ARLA59
15 Mar 2026
BARS92
ARLA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arlans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bars PetropavlovskKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPetropavlovsk
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
68avg 78
H16/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
71avg 78
A17/12
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
72avg 78
H18/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
81-67
81
67
+14
76avg 78
A10/02
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
93-26
93
26
+67
88avg 78
H11/02
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
72-68
72
68
+4
53avg 78
A12/02
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
75-38
75
38
+37
66avg 78
H13/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
90-51
90
51
+39
91avg 78
A14/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
92-61
92
61
+31
94avg 78
H15/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
105-48
105
48
+57
103avg 78
A16/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
15-20
21-21
18-19
20-30
14-23
23-22
19-19
16-22
30-21
9-24
21-19
27-25
20-14
15-15
19-13
20-11
20-6
38-7
15-2
11-22
23-9
20-22
18-15
24-4
13-8
16-15
22-11
33-10
21-13
21-10
15-18
26-6
16-21
30-12
20-22
36-15
25-6
22-15
22-12
145.3Avg total
83.2Scored
62.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.560.0144.5+24.478%
Season at home (12)86.256.8142.9+29.483%
Season away (11)82.663.6146.3+19.073%
Last 10 (10)83.262.1145.3+21.170%
Last 5 (5)86.853.2140.0+33.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.583.5149.0-18.00%
vs Similar (3)72.789.7162.3-17.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.553.9138.4+30.796%
This opponent (Arlans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArlans
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-57
86
57
+29
no box
A12/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
86-97
86
97
-11
77avg 62
H13/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
54-93
54
93
-39
33avg 62
A09/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
74-102
74
102
-28
no box
H10/03
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
65avg 62
A11/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
67-103
67
103
-36
54avg 62
H12/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
79-85
79
85
-6
66avg 62
A13/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
69-82
69
82
-13
54avg 62
H14/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
61-92
61
92
-31
45avg 62
A15/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 62
H16/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
15-11
23-15
18-17
17-31
22-16
21-20
26-30
19-22
7-28
12-22
16-21
17-30
22-35
16-20
19-17
19-31
16-20
11-18
28-22
13-26
14-33
21-24
19-20
15-17
22-21
22-22
20-25
17-17
13-23
16-17
23-25
6-26
21-16
12-30
22-20
18-14
20-19
13-16
20-18
159.0Avg total
72.1Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.181.7155.9-7.630%
Season at home (13)72.083.6155.6-11.615%
Season away (14)76.179.9156.1-3.843%
Last 10 (10)72.186.9159.0-14.820%
Last 5 (5)69.485.8155.2-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.592.8165.3-20.28%
vs Similar (8)71.177.8148.9-6.625%
vs Weaker (6)81.763.0144.7+18.783%
This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
Bars PetropavlovskArlans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H16/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A17/12
Higher League
Turan
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H18/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A10/02
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
40-17
40
17
+23
H11/02
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/02
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
37-12
37
12
+25
H13/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
54-23
54
23
+31
A14/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H15/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
61-21
61
21
+40
A16/03
Higher League
73.6Avg total
42.8Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.931.074.9+12.977%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.928.373.2+16.587%-
Last 30 away (15)42.933.776.6+9.367%-
Last 10 (10)42.830.873.6+12.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.622.868.4+22.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.042.078.0-6.025%-
vs Similar (3)37.351.388.7-14.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.126.472.6+19.796%-
This opponent (Arlans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A12/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H13/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A09/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
39-65
39
65
-26
H10/03
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A11/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
27-59
27
59
-32
H12/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H14/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A15/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H16/03
Higher League
79.3Avg total
34.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.141.077.1-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.842.174.8-9.323%-
Last 30 away (14)39.240.179.3-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)34.345.079.3-10.720%-
Last 5 (5)31.842.474.2-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.149.581.5-17.40%-
vs Similar (8)37.137.975.0-0.850%-
vs Weaker (6)43.527.070.5+16.583%-
This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bars Petropavlovsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bars Petropavlovsk: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.3 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.3 pts a game · 7% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.728.7
60.1%
49.5%57.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.7
33.3%
28.5%32.0
🏀 Free throws11.76.3
54.3%
63.9%6.3
They take 79.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arlanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arlans: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.316.9
44.1%
49.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.2
26.8%
28.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.010.9
60.6%
63.9%10.9
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bars Petropavlovsk
WWWWWWWLLL
Arlans
WLLLLLLLLW
#3
League position
#11
+55.5
Net rating
-24.0
125.5
Offensive rating
85.7
69.9
Defensive rating
109.7
56.1%
Effective FG%
42.5%
36.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.15
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.3%
3-point %
26.8%
63.6%
Assist %
58.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence125.5 · 85.7Defence69.9 · 109.7Shooting56.1% · 42.5%3-point %33.3% · 26.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.15 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Bars Petropavlovsk   ■ Arlans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bars Petropavlovsk wins
0
Arlans wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Bars Petropavlovsk v Arlans92-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26AAiRom105-48
15/03/26HArlans92-61
14/03/26AAiRom90-51
13/02/26HKaspiy Aktau 275-38
12/02/26AAtyrau 272-68
11/02/26HKaspiy Aktau 293-26
10/02/26AAtyrau 281-67
18/12/25HTuran76-86
17/12/25AShymkent76-94
16/12/25HTuran72-82
Arlanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26HTigers-KazATU71-67
15/03/26ABars Petropavlovsk61-92
14/03/26HTigers-KazATU69-82
13/03/26AAiRom79-85
12/03/26HShymkent67-103
11/03/26ATuran74-91
10/03/26HShymkent74-102
09/03/26ATuran54-93
13/02/26HKaraganda86-97
12/02/26APavlodar86-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bars Petropavlovsk
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLLWWW83%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%83%73%
Points / game84.586.282.6
Allowed / game60.056.863.6
Point differential+24.4+29.4+19.0
Avg total144.5142.9146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%75%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arlans
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLLLLW15%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %30%15%43%
Points / game74.172.076.1
Allowed / game81.783.679.9
Point differential-7.6-11.6-3.8
Avg total155.9155.6156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%8%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2420483%83.866.0+17.8
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2318578%84.560.0+24.4
5 Atyrau 22216673%77.767.9+9.9
6 BC Almaty 22012860%80.873.3+7.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
8 CHAMP1ON20101050%73.872.8+0.9
9 Karaganda2091145%80.278.0+2.2
10 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
11 Arlans2781930%74.181.7-7.6
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar2021810%53.389.8-36.5
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bars Petropavlovsk32403115118
Arlans1319141359
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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