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Bars Petropavlovsk vs Arlans Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 92-61
26-6 16-21 30-12 20-22
Position#3
Record16-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game60.6
vs
Position#11
Record7-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game81.9
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bars Petropavlovsk v Arlans
17 Mar 2026
BARS118
ARLA59
15 Mar 2026
BARS92
ARLA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arlans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bars PetropavlovskKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPetropavlovsk
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
58-66
58
66
-8
48avg 76
A28/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
58-96
58
96
-38
35avg 76
A15/12
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
68avg 76
H16/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
71avg 76
A17/12
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
72avg 76
H18/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
81-67
81
67
+14
76avg 76
A10/02
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
93-26
93
26
+67
88avg 76
H11/02
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
72-68
72
68
+4
53avg 76
A12/02
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
75-38
75
38
+37
66avg 76
H13/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
90-51
90
51
+39
91avg 76
A14/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-17
21-15
12-13
20-21
11-25
22-31
14-18
11-22
18-22
15-20
21-21
18-19
20-30
14-23
23-22
19-19
16-22
30-21
9-24
21-19
27-25
20-14
15-15
19-13
20-11
20-6
38-7
15-2
11-22
23-9
20-22
18-15
24-4
13-8
16-15
22-11
33-10
21-13
21-10
15-18
142.5Avg total
75.1Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.160.6143.7+22.676%
Season at home (11)85.656.4142.0+29.382%
Season away (10)80.465.2145.6+15.270%
Last 10 (10)75.167.4142.5+7.750%
Last 5 (5)82.250.0132.2+32.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.583.5149.0-18.00%
vs Similar (4)72.283.8156.0-11.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.355.1138.4+28.295%
This opponent (Arlans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArlans
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
93-55
93
55
+38
93avg 63
A10/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
64avg 63
H11/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-57
86
57
+29
no box
A12/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
86-97
86
97
-11
77avg 63
H13/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
54-93
54
93
-39
33avg 63
A09/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
74-102
74
102
-28
no box
H10/03
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
65avg 63
A11/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
67-103
67
103
-36
54avg 63
H12/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
79-85
79
85
-6
66avg 63
A13/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
69-82
69
82
-13
54avg 63
H14/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-7
21-13
25-17
19-18
16-22
20-24
15-19
29-26
30-14
15-11
23-15
18-17
17-31
22-16
21-20
26-30
19-22
7-28
12-22
16-21
17-30
22-35
16-20
19-17
19-31
16-20
11-18
28-22
13-26
14-33
21-24
19-20
15-17
22-21
22-22
20-25
17-17
13-23
16-17
23-25
161.8Avg total
76.2Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.881.9156.7-7.128%
Season at home (12)72.185.0157.1-12.98%
Season away (13)77.379.0156.3-1.746%
Last 10 (10)76.285.6161.8-9.420%
Last 5 (5)72.692.6165.2-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.592.8166.3-19.38%
vs Similar (7)71.179.3150.4-8.114%
vs Weaker (6)81.763.0144.7+18.783%
This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
Bars PetropavlovskArlans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A28/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A15/12
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H16/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A17/12
Higher League
Turan
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H18/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A10/02
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
40-17
40
17
+23
H11/02
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/02
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
37-12
37
12
+25
H13/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
54-23
54
23
+31
A14/03
Higher League
73.2Avg total
38.4Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.431.875.2+11.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.728.973.7+15.887%-
Last 30 away (15)42.134.776.8+7.567%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.873.2+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.424.466.8+18.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.042.078.0-6.025%-
vs Similar (4)38.047.585.5-9.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.827.172.9+18.795%-
This opponent (Arlans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A10/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A12/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H13/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A09/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
39-65
39
65
-26
H10/03
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A11/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
27-59
27
59
-32
H12/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H14/03
Higher League
80.4Avg total
36.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)36.441.377.7-4.932%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.342.875.2-10.517%-
Last 30 away (13)40.239.980.1+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)36.344.180.4-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.650.684.2-17.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.550.182.6-17.60%-
vs Similar (7)37.038.675.6-1.643%-
vs Weaker (6)43.527.070.5+16.583%-
This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bars Petropavlovsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bars Petropavlovsk: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀69%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 69% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.031.0
63.3%
49.5%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.0
26.9%
28.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws10.07.0
70.0%
63.9%7.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arlanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arlans: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.417.4
44.2%
49.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.16.7
25.7%
28.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.011.4
60.0%
63.9%11.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bars Petropavlovsk
WWWWWLLLLL
Arlans
LLLLLLLWLW
#3
League position
#11
+52.3
Net rating
-28.3
120.7
Offensive rating
83.5
68.4
Defensive rating
111.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
41.9%
35.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.29
26.9%
3-point %
25.7%
60.5%
Assist %
58.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence120.7 · 83.5Defence68.4 · 111.8Shooting55.3% · 41.9%3-point %26.9% · 25.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.13 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Bars Petropavlovsk   ■ Arlans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bars Petropavlovsk wins
0
Arlans wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AAiRom90-51
13/02/26HKaspiy Aktau 275-38
12/02/26AAtyrau 272-68
11/02/26HKaspiy Aktau 293-26
10/02/26AAtyrau 281-67
18/12/25HTuran76-86
17/12/25AShymkent76-94
16/12/25HTuran72-82
15/12/25AShymkent58-96
28/11/25AAktobe58-66
Arlanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HTigers-KazATU69-82
13/03/26AAiRom79-85
12/03/26HShymkent67-103
11/03/26ATuran74-91
10/03/26HShymkent74-102
09/03/26ATuran54-93
13/02/26HKaraganda86-97
12/02/26APavlodar86-57
11/02/26HKaraganda80-91
10/02/26APavlodar93-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bars Petropavlovsk
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWLLWW82%
AwayLLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %76%82%70%
Points / game83.185.680.4
Allowed / game60.656.465.2
Point differential+22.6+29.3+15.2
Avg total143.7142.0145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%73%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arlans
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLLLLL8%
AwayWWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %28%8%46%
Points / game74.872.177.3
Allowed / game81.985.079.0
Point differential-7.1-12.9-1.7
Avg total156.7157.1156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%8%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2420483%83.866.0+17.8
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2116576%83.160.6+22.6
5 Atyrau 22216673%77.767.9+9.9
6 BC Almaty 22012860%80.873.3+7.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
8 CHAMP1ON20101050%73.872.8+0.9
9 Karaganda2091145%80.278.0+2.2
10 Tigers-KazATU2291341%66.775.6-9.0
11 Arlans2571828%74.881.9-7.1
12 AiRom2652119%63.181.5-18.4
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar2021810%53.389.8-36.5
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bars Petropavlovsk2616302092
Arlans621122261
← all games of the day
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