PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Arlans vs Karaganda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 86-97
17-31 22-16 21-20 26-30
Position#11
Record7-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#7
Record7-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game79.9
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arlans v Karaganda
05 May 2026
ARLA39
KARA94
13 Feb 2026
ARLA86
KARA97
11 Feb 2026
ARLA80
KARA91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arlans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karaganda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArlansKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArlans
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 65
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
57-104
57
104
-47
41avg 65
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
63-77
63
77
-14
48avg 65
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H18/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
93-66
93
66
+27
no box
A19/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 65
H20/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
56-88
56
88
-32
49avg 65
A21/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
93-55
93
55
+38
93avg 65
A10/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
64avg 65
H11/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-57
86
57
+29
no box
A12/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
24-28
16-17
17-21
15-34
14-30
18-27
10-13
18-13
19-17
14-25
12-22
17-16
19-12
17-22
20-27
20-20
30-13
27-27
16-6
15-19
15-16
20-18
19-18
19-25
15-23
9-22
13-18
28-7
21-13
25-17
19-18
16-22
20-24
15-19
29-26
30-14
15-11
23-15
18-17
152.5Avg total
74.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.977.4153.4-1.539%
Season at home (8)71.179.5150.6-8.412%
Season away (10)79.875.8155.6+4.060%
Last 10 (10)74.578.0152.5-3.530%
Last 5 (5)76.872.4149.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.389.7165.0-14.414%
vs Similar (6)71.578.8150.3-7.317%
vs Weaker (5)82.258.6140.8+23.6100%
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaraganda
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
59-84
59
84
-25
45avg 64
A30/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
112-72
112
72
+40
112avg 64
A15/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
55avg 64
H16/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
86-63
86
63
+23
84avg 64
A17/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
89avg 64
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
58-95
58
95
-37
no box
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
no box
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
84-58
84
58
+26
75avg 64
H10/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
91-80
91
80
+11
84avg 64
A11/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
101-63
101
63
+38
95avg 64
H12/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
12-25
19-20
9-14
25-12
31-19
33-22
23-19
20-23
25-9
13-26
14-22
15-12
35-21
14-17
22-13
18-26
27-17
24-11
19-34
10-19
11-32
21-22
16-22
13-18
22-14
15-15
26-29
24-14
22-17
19-12
19-15
22-16
24-20
19-15
26-29
29-7
15-23
29-17
28-16
161.1Avg total
83.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.179.9159.0-0.839%
Season at home (9)84.879.8164.6+5.033%
Season away (9)73.480.0153.4-6.644%
Last 10 (10)83.777.4161.1+6.350%
Last 5 (5)82.675.6158.2+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)51.674.6126.2-23.06%
vs Similar (4)59.065.2124.2-6.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.867.9157.6+21.988%
This opponent (Arlans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
ArlansKaraganda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArlansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
29-64
29
64
-35
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H18/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A19/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A21/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A10/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A12/02
Higher League
77.3Avg total
38.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)37.637.975.6-0.344%-
Last 30 at home (8)31.637.969.5-6.225%-
Last 30 away (10)42.438.080.4+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.577.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.873.6+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.047.079.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (6)38.238.376.5-0.250%-
vs Weaker (5)44.824.869.6+20.0100%-
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A30/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A15/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H16/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A17/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H12/02
Higher League
78.8Avg total
41.9Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)35.339.474.7-4.238%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.737.174.8+0.654%-
Last 30 away (13)32.841.874.6-8.923%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.978.8+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.074.4+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)28.443.772.1-15.37%-
vs Similar (3)42.031.773.7+10.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.634.279.9+11.475%-
This opponent (Arlans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arlanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arlans: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.5
48.0%
49.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.36.0
23.7%
28.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.712.5
60.5%
63.9%12.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karagandatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arlans wins
1
Karaganda wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26Arlans v Karaganda80-91
Arlanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26APavlodar86-57
11/02/26HKaraganda80-91
10/02/26APavlodar93-55
21/01/26ATobol Kostanay 256-88
20/01/26HChelSU Kostanay69-71
19/01/26ATobol Kostanay 293-66
18/01/26HChelSU Kostanay73-77
09/01/26HCHAMP1ON63-77
08/01/26ABC Almaty 257-104
07/01/26HCHAMP1ON75-94
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HAiRom101-63
11/02/26AArlans91-80
10/02/26HAiRom84-58
17/01/26HAktobe79-82 OT
16/01/26AAktobe58-95
18/12/25HAtyrau 295-97 OT
17/12/25AKaspiy Aktau 286-63
16/12/25HAtyrau 272-80
15/12/25AKaspiy Aktau 2112-72
30/11/25ATuran59-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arlans
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW39%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%12%60%
Points / game75.971.179.8
Allowed / game77.479.575.8
Point differential-1.5-8.4+4.0
Avg total153.4150.6155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%12%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karaganda
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW39%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%33%44%
Points / game79.184.873.4
Allowed / game79.979.880.0
Point differential-0.8+5.0-6.6
Avg total159.0164.6153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%33%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %11%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan19190100%89.160.2+28.9
2 Shymkent1917289%95.969.2+26.7
3 Aktobe1815383%83.667.4+16.2
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2015575%82.861.0+21.8
5 Atyrau 22115671%77.768.9+8.9
6 ChelSU Kostanay1812667%75.775.9-0.2
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Karaganda1871139%79.179.9-0.8
10 Arlans1871139%75.977.4-1.5
11 Tigers-KazATU1971237%66.977.2-10.3
12 Tobol Kostanay 21841422%71.681.0-9.4
13 AiRom1831517%63.478.8-15.4
14 Pavlodar1821611%53.889.6-35.8
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arlans1722212686
Karaganda3116203097
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.