PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pavlodar vs Arlans Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 57-86
14-30 11-15 15-23 17-18
Position#14
Record2-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game53.6
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#11
Record6-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game78.6
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pavlodar v Arlans
12 Feb 2026
PAVL57
ARLA86
10 Feb 2026
PAVL55
ARLA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arlans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
35-94
35
94
-59
15avg 47
H29/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
63-111
63
111
-48
53avg 47
A30/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
35-92
35
92
-57
25avg 47
A15/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
93-63
93
63
+30
89avg 47
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
55-86
55
86
-31
54avg 47
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
47avg 47
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
52-112
52
112
-60
no box
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
52-86
52
86
-34
no box
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
55-93
55
93
-38
30avg 47
H10/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
55-101
55
101
-46
45avg 47
A11/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-22
7-22
14-28
7-22
15-31
11-26
13-31
24-23
11-27
11-23
8-20
5-22
21-17
26-14
22-14
24-18
7-27
17-20
14-20
17-19
12-15
9-21
23-11
16-11
15-35
2-27
23-26
12-24
17-16
13-28
8-23
14-19
7-28
13-21
17-25
18-19
8-31
12-27
12-23
23-20
145.1Avg total
55.5Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)53.689.8143.5-36.212%
Season at home (9)55.185.9141.0-30.822%
Season away (8)52.094.2146.2-42.20%
Last 10 (10)55.589.6145.1-34.120%
Last 5 (5)54.890.0144.8-35.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)61.892.5154.2-30.74%
vs Similar (2)76.560.5137.0+16.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arlans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArlans
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
97-113
97
113
-16
79avg 65
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 65
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
57-104
57
104
-47
41avg 65
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
63-77
63
77
-14
48avg 65
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H18/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
93-66
93
66
+27
no box
A19/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 65
H20/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
56-88
56
88
-32
49avg 65
A21/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
93-55
93
55
+38
93avg 65
A10/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
64avg 65
H11/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-32
16-33
24-24
28-24
18-28
24-28
16-17
17-21
15-34
14-30
18-27
10-13
18-13
19-17
14-25
12-22
17-16
19-12
17-22
20-27
20-20
30-13
27-27
16-6
15-19
15-16
20-18
19-18
19-25
15-23
9-22
13-18
28-7
21-13
25-17
19-18
16-22
20-24
15-19
29-26
159.2Avg total
75.6Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.478.6154.0-3.335%
Season at home (8)71.179.5150.6-8.412%
Season away (9)79.177.9157.0+1.256%
Last 10 (10)75.683.6159.2-8.020%
Last 5 (5)78.274.2152.4+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.389.7165.0-14.414%
vs Similar (6)71.578.8150.3-7.317%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.259.0140.2+22.2100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -12.9-12.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -10.8-10.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -12.9-12.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -10.8-10.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
PavlodarArlans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
14-44
14
44
-30
H29/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A30/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A15/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
17-62
17
62
-45
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
20-49
20
49
-29
H10/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
20-58
20
58
-38
A11/02
Higher League
71.9Avg total
24.1Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.647.377.9-16.717%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.644.576.2-12.936%-
Last 30 away (19)30.048.878.8-18.85%-
Last 10 (10)24.147.871.9-23.710%-
Last 5 (5)21.649.871.4-28.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)30.448.278.6-17.914%-
vs Similar (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arlans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
29-64
29
64
-35
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H18/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A19/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A21/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A10/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/02
Higher League
81.3Avg total
38.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)37.238.775.9-1.541%-
Last 30 at home (8)31.637.969.5-6.225%-
Last 30 away (9)42.139.481.6+2.756%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.581.3-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.476.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.047.079.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (6)38.238.376.5-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.824.869.5+20.0100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pavlodartheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Arlanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arlans: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.5
48.0%
49.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.36.0
23.7%
28.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.712.5
60.5%
63.9%12.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
1
Arlans wins
DateGameScore
10/02/26Pavlodar v Arlans55-93
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AAiRom55-101
10/02/26HArlans55-93
19/01/26HAktobe52-86
18/01/26AAktobe52-112
18/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 260-58
17/12/25AAtyrau 255-86
16/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 293-63
15/12/25AAtyrau 235-92
30/11/25AShymkent63-111
29/11/25HTuran35-94
Arlanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HKaraganda80-91
10/02/26APavlodar93-55
21/01/26ATobol Kostanay 256-88
20/01/26HChelSU Kostanay69-71
19/01/26ATobol Kostanay 293-66
18/01/26HChelSU Kostanay73-77
09/01/26HCHAMP1ON63-77
08/01/26ABC Almaty 257-104
07/01/26HCHAMP1ON75-94
06/01/26ABC Almaty 297-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLWWLL22%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %12%22%0%
Points / game53.655.152.0
Allowed / game89.885.994.2
Point differential-36.2-30.8-42.2
Avg total143.5141.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arlans
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL35%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%12%56%
Points / game75.471.179.1
Allowed / game78.679.577.9
Point differential-3.3-8.4+1.2
Avg total154.0150.6157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%12%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan19190100%89.160.2+28.9
2 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
3 Aktobe1715288%85.167.5+17.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk1914574%83.262.3+20.9
5 Atyrau 22115671%77.768.9+8.9
6 ChelSU Kostanay1812667%75.775.9-0.2
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Karaganda1871139%79.179.9-0.8
10 Tigers-KazATU1971237%66.977.2-10.3
11 Arlans1761135%75.478.6-3.3
12 Tobol Kostanay 21841422%71.681.0-9.4
13 AiRom1831517%63.478.8-15.4
14 Pavlodar1721512%53.689.8-36.2
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2211205%53.784.0-30.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar1411151757
Arlans3015231886
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.