PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bars Petropavlovsk vs Atyrau 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 76-53
13-10 15-8 27-23 21-12
Position#3
Record25-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game63.2
vs
Position#6
Record19-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game71.3
KazakhstanHigher LeagueHigher League - 3rd place· Olympic Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bars Petropavlovsk v Atyrau 2
02 May 2026
BARS76
ATYR53
15 Dec 2023
BARS89
ATYR75
17 Mar 2023
BARS90
ATYR85
18 Feb 2023
BARS90
ATYR53
08 Dec 2022
BARS80
ATYR45
23 Mar 2021
BARS v ATYR
upcoming
24 Feb 2021
BARS81
ATYR53
30 Jan 2021
BARS90
ATYR56
28 Oct 2020
BARS72
ATYR52
24 Oct 2020
BARS79
ATYR60
28 Feb 2020
BARS79
ATYR47
31 Jan 2020
BARS85
ATYR65
18 Nov 2019
BARS86
ATYR48
16 Oct 2019
BARS91
ATYR52
18 Apr 2018
BARS92
ATYR85
20 Mar 2018
BARS51
ATYR75
19 Feb 2018
BARS75
ATYR67
22 Jan 2018
BARS93
ATYR63
31 Mar 2017
BARS93
ATYR82
15 Nov 2015
BARS58
ATYR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bars PetropavlovskKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
105-48
105
48
+57
A16/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
118-59
118
59
+59
H17/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H14/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A15/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H16/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A17/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H26/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A27/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A29/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H30/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-15
25-6
22-15
22-12
32-13
40-19
31-14
15-13
28-12
24-19
20-17
10-21
19-30
26-27
23-8
24-19
26-19
25-17
23-11
14-12
22-23
23-9
16-23
19-16
15-23
24-16
26-24
29-15
18-18
19-20
28-6
23-18
12-16
17-17
15-17
19-26
16-21
10-25
24-19
22-19
157.2Avg total
88.2Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.063.2148.2+21.878%
Season at home (17)87.560.6148.1+26.982%
Season away (15)82.166.2148.3+15.973%
Last 10 (10)88.269.0157.2+19.280%
Last 5 (5)79.474.2153.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.882.0152.8-11.20%
vs Similar (2)67.095.0162.0-28.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.957.9146.8+31.096%
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
A01/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H02/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H13/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A14/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H15/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A16/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A26/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H27/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A29/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H30/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
26-19
31-16
18-17
23-31
11-28
27-17
18-20
17-15
15-21
16-23
19-12
16-21
6-28
26-23
20-17
12-11
15-16
12-21
15-20
15-19
20-21
14-26
15-19
22-13
14-17
21-19
17-16
20-10
15-23
10-12
23-14
24-24
30-20
8-30
21-20
18-20
21-29
20-24
21-15
152.6Avg total
73.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.471.3147.8+5.159%
Season at home (16)73.267.1140.4+6.156%
Season away (16)79.675.6155.2+4.162%
Last 10 (10)73.679.0152.6-5.430%
Last 5 (5)73.878.2152.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.976.6147.5-5.829%
vs Similar (2)88.583.5172.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker (14)80.664.1144.7+16.486%
This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
Bars PetropavlovskAtyrau 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
61-21
61
21
+40
A16/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
72-32
72
32
+40
H17/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H14/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A15/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H16/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A17/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H26/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A29/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H30/04
Higher League
82.2Avg total
45.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.532.777.2+11.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.430.475.8+15.181%-
Last 30 away (14)43.435.478.7+8.057%-
Last 10 (10)45.736.582.2+9.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.672.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.541.074.5-7.525%-
vs Similar (2)33.554.588.0-21.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)47.229.576.7+17.783%-
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H02/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A14/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H15/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A16/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A26/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H27/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A29/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H30/04
Higher League
77.3Avg total
36.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.475.1+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.335.372.6+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.137.577.7+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)36.440.977.3-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.279.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.939.275.1-3.343%-
vs Similar (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker (14)41.632.474.1+9.264%-
This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bars Petropavlovsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bars Petropavlovsk: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.925.6
57.0%
49.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
28.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.210.9
71.7%
63.9%10.9
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atyrau 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau 2: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.8
53.1%
49.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.7
30.7%
28.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws11.67.9
68.1%
63.9%7.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bars Petropavlovsk
LLWWWWWWWW
Atyrau 2
LLWWLLLLLW
#3
League position
#6
+26.0
Net rating
-7.1
119.4
Offensive rating
97.0
93.4
Defensive rating
104.1
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.1%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.18
34.4%
3-point %
30.7%
64.4%
Assist %
65.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 97.0Defence93.4 · 104.1Shooting55.1% · 50.1%3-point %34.4% · 30.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Bars Petropavlovsk   ■ Atyrau 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Bars Petropavlovsk wins
0
Atyrau 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26HTuran72-84
29/04/26ATuran63-76
27/04/26ABC Almaty 288-62
26/04/26HBC Almaty 294-78
17/04/26ABC Almaty 280-71
16/04/26HCHAMP1ON88-59
15/04/26ABC Almaty 292-84
14/04/26HCHAMP1ON82-69
17/03/26HArlans118-59
16/03/26AAiRom105-48
Atyrau 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26HShymkent80-88
29/04/26AShymkent83-94
27/04/26HAktobe68-59
26/04/26AAktobe74-65
16/04/26AShymkent64-85
15/04/26HTuran54-68
14/04/26AShymkent68-89
13/04/26HTuran67-71
02/04/26HAktobe79-96
01/04/26AAktobe99-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bars Petropavlovsk
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %78%82%73%
Points / game85.087.582.1
Allowed / game63.260.666.2
Point differential+21.8+26.9+15.9
Avg total148.2148.1148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%76%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atyrau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL59%
HomeLLLWL56%
AwayWLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %59%56%62%
Points / game76.473.279.6
Allowed / game71.367.175.6
Point differential+5.1+6.1+4.1
Avg total147.8140.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan32320100%86.959.5+27.4
2 Shymkent3229391%94.969.6+25.3
3 Bars Petropavlovsk3225778%85.063.2+21.8
4 Aktobe3325876%81.868.7+13.0
5 BC Almaty 233201361%83.874.5+9.2
6 Atyrau 232191359%76.471.3+5.1
7 ChelSU Kostanay33161748%74.979.7-4.8
8 Karaganda28131546%80.278.5+1.7
9 CHAMP1ON33141942%72.277.7-5.5
10 Tigers-KazATU28111739%68.576.4-7.9
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 Tobol Kostanay 22872125%69.781.6-11.9
13 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
14 Pavlodar282267%56.587.2-30.8
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2281274%55.783.1-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bars Petropavlovsk1315272176
Atyrau 2108231253
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.