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Aktobe vs Atyrau 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 65-74
13-22 17-14 19-21 16-17
Position#4
Record23-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#6
Record17-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game70.6
KazakhstanHigher LeagueHigher League - Quarter-finals· Olympic Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aktobe v Atyrau 2
26 Apr 2026
AKTO65
ATYR74
01 Apr 2026
AKTO75
ATYR99
15 Apr 2018
AKTO83
ATYR86
21 Feb 2018
AKTO69
ATYR75
24 Jan 2018
AKTO57
ATYR84
21 Dec 2017
AKTO59
ATYR52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A14/02
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
95-46
95
46
+49
H09/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
110-61
110
61
+49
A10/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-56
85
56
+29
H11/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A12/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
75-99
75
99
-24
H01/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
96-79
96
79
+17
A02/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H03/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A04/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
18-20
15-17
8-10
15-20
18-20
22-20
22-10
32-8
19-13
23-8
21-17
27-15
23-22
32-6
28-18
20-13
21-18
22-8
22-17
20-19
18-17
21-20
27-20
23-24
19-26
16-31
17-18
31-23
28-11
17-27
20-18
20-14
19-7
17-24
15-14
19-14
21-14
16-20
15-20
149.5Avg total
82.0Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.067.5150.5+15.682%
Season at home (14)83.166.5149.6+16.679%
Season away (14)82.968.4151.4+14.586%
Last 10 (10)82.067.5149.5+14.580%
Last 5 (5)79.876.2156.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.255.1101.4-8.925%
vs Similar (2)93.086.5179.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.565.8154.2+22.795%
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H10/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
90-38
90
38
+52
A11/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H12/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
78-47
78
47
+31
H12/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
A01/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H02/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H13/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A14/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H15/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A16/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
14-20
15-15
13-19
25-15
20-4
26-9
19-10
22-11
9-23
22-20
15-18
19-8
19-13
26-16
14-10
24-23
26-19
31-16
18-17
23-31
11-28
27-17
18-20
17-15
15-21
16-23
19-12
16-21
6-28
26-23
20-17
12-11
15-16
12-21
15-20
15-19
20-21
14-26
15-19
145.6Avg total
73.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.570.6147.1+5.961%
Season at home (14)73.166.2139.4+6.957%
Season away (14)79.875.0154.8+4.864%
Last 10 (10)73.472.2145.6+1.230%
Last 5 (5)66.481.8148.2-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)62.571.5134.0-9.118%
vs Similar (3)59.062.3121.3-3.367%
vs Weaker (16)79.865.2145.0+14.681%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
AktobeAtyrau 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/02
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H09/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A10/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A12/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H01/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A02/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H03/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A04/04
Higher League
75.6Avg total
42.4Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.631.973.5+9.771%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.929.771.6+12.279%-
Last 30 away (14)41.334.175.4+7.264%-
Last 10 (10)42.433.275.6+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.877.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.534.563.0-6.017%-
vs Similar (2)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.530.275.7+15.390%-
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H10/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
45-19
45
19
+26
A11/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H12/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H12/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H02/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A14/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H15/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A16/04
Higher League
72.7Avg total
35.3Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.034.972.9+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.333.370.6+4.050%-
Last 30 away (14)38.736.675.3+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.472.7-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)30.042.272.2-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.939.373.2-5.430%-
vs Similar (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker (16)40.630.971.6+9.769%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aktobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aktobe: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.023.7
50.5%
49.5%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.6
29.4%
28.5%22.7
🏀 Free throws17.612.6
71.5%
63.9%12.6
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atyrau 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau 2: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.1 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.7
56.3%
49.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.7
30.3%
28.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws11.77.1
61.0%
63.9%7.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aktobe
WWWLWWWWWL
Atyrau 2
LLLLLWWLWL
#4
League position
#6
+18.0
Net rating
-4.3
108.5
Offensive rating
99.1
90.5
Defensive rating
103.4
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.18
29.4%
3-point %
30.3%
56.2%
Assist %
54.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 99.1Defence90.5 · 103.4Shooting48.2% · 51.5%3-point %29.4% · 30.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Aktobe   ■ Atyrau 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aktobe wins
5
Atyrau 2 wins
DateGameScore
02/04/26Atyrau 2 v Aktobe79-96
01/04/26Aktobe v Atyrau 275-99
15/04/18Aktobe v Atyrau 283-86
14/04/18Atyrau 2 v Aktobe82-74
21/02/18Aktobe v Atyrau 269-75
24/01/18Aktobe v Atyrau 257-84
21/12/17Aktobe v Atyrau 259-52
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26AKaspiy Aktau 271-68
03/04/26HKaspiy Aktau 271-59
02/04/26AAtyrau 296-79
01/04/26HAtyrau 275-99
12/03/26AChelSU Kostanay86-76
11/03/26HChelSU Kostanay85-56
10/03/26ATobol Kostanay 2110-61
09/03/26HTobol Kostanay 295-46
14/02/26AShymkent77-70
13/02/26ATuran54-61
Atyrau 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/26AShymkent64-85
15/04/26HTuran54-68
14/04/26AShymkent68-89
13/04/26HTuran67-71
02/04/26HAktobe79-96
01/04/26AAktobe99-75
12/03/26HTigers-KazATU78-47
12/02/26HBars Petropavlovsk68-72
11/02/26ATigers-KazATU90-38
10/02/26HBars Petropavlovsk67-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeLWWLW79%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %82%79%86%
Points / game83.083.182.9
Allowed / game67.566.568.4
Point differential+15.6+16.6+14.5
Avg total150.5149.6151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Atyrau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL61%
HomeLWLLL57%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%57%64%
Points / game76.573.179.8
Allowed / game70.666.275.0
Point differential+5.9+6.9+4.8
Avg total147.1139.4154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%43%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan28280100%87.459.6+27.8
2 Shymkent2926390%95.468.6+26.8
3 Bars Petropavlovsk2823582%85.861.5+24.3
4 Aktobe2823582%83.067.5+15.6
5 BC Almaty 228181064%82.973.8+9.1
6 Atyrau 228171161%76.570.6+5.9
7 ChelSU Kostanay29151452%74.779.7-5.0
8 CHAMP1ON28141450%74.574.7-0.2
9 Karaganda28131546%80.278.5+1.7
10 Tigers-KazATU28111739%68.576.4-7.9
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 Tobol Kostanay 22872125%69.781.6-11.9
13 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
14 Pavlodar282267%56.587.2-30.8
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2281274%55.783.1-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe1317191665
Atyrau 22214211774
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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