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Shymkent vs Atyrau 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 89-68
21-16 28-6 23-26 17-20
Position#2
Record22-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game68.3
Shymkent 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Atyrau 2
Kazakhstan
Position#6
Record17-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game69.4
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shymkent v Atyrau 2
29 Apr 2026
SHYM94
ATYR83
16 Apr 2026
SHYM85
ATYR64
14 Apr 2026
SHYM89
ATYR68
25 Feb 2024
SHYM96
ATYR86
23 Feb 2024
SHYM75
ATYR66
23 Jan 2024
SHYM88
ATYR54
12 Nov 2023
SHYM90
ATYR49
10 Apr 2023
SHYM74
ATYR66
19 Nov 2022
SHYM77
ATYR63
24 Oct 2022
SHYM82
ATYR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Shymkent
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 95.6
99.8▲ 4.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 68.3
63.0▼ 5.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
59%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 26.8
26.8▲ 0.0
🔥 Form · Atyrau 2
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.2
78.2▲ 0.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 69.4
72.2▲ 2.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
57%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.2
16.2▲ 0.0
ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
110-65
110
65
+45
A16/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A12/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H14/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
93-55
93
55
+38
H09/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
102-74
102
74
+28
A10/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
96-46
96
46
+50
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
A12/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
105-73
105
73
+32
A13/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-20
20-16
32-15
22-14
30-20
23-14
22-23
19-19
28-14
21-17
20-12
6-17
19-9
10-10
17-28
20-11
20-15
20-18
20-22
10-22
22-9
29-20
24-7
18-19
30-17
35-22
20-16
17-19
29-14
21-16
24-11
22-5
26-13
33-14
24-21
20-19
24-18
30-18
26-12
25-25
156.5Avg total
91.4Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)95.668.3163.9+27.488%
Season at home (13)94.167.1161.2+27.077%
Season away (12)97.369.6166.9+27.8100%
Last 10 (10)91.465.1156.5+26.390%
Last 5 (5)99.863.0162.8+36.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.090.0143.0-37.00%
vs Similar (5)82.077.2159.2+4.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)94.563.2157.7+31.296%
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A16/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H17/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
A18/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H10/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
90-38
90
38
+52
A11/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H12/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
78-47
78
47
+31
H12/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
A01/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H02/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H13/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
9-25
26-13
22-14
27-7
20-17
20-14
19-17
26-18
17-27
11-24
34-19
25-27
14-20
15-15
13-19
25-15
20-4
26-9
19-10
22-11
9-23
22-20
15-18
19-8
19-13
26-16
14-10
24-23
26-19
31-16
18-17
23-31
11-28
27-17
18-20
17-15
15-21
16-23
19-12
151.3Avg total
81.1Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.269.4147.6+8.868%
Season at home (13)74.666.1140.7+8.562%
Season away (12)82.173.0155.1+9.175%
Last 10 (10)81.170.2151.3+10.960%
Last 5 (5)78.272.2150.4+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)60.664.2124.8-3.527%
vs Similar (3)59.062.3121.3-3.367%
vs Weaker (16)79.865.2145.0+14.681%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +11.5+11.5Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
ShymkentAtyrau 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A16/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A12/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H09/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A10/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
59-27
59
27
+32
A12/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A13/04
Higher League
82.0Avg total
50.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)50.633.684.2+17.086%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.633.983.5+15.780%-
Last 30 away (14)51.633.485.0+18.393%-
Last 10 (10)50.631.482.0+19.2100%-
Last 5 (5)55.832.288.0+23.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.038.062.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (5)45.640.285.8+5.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)52.832.084.8+20.8100%-
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H17/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A18/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H10/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
45-19
45
19
+26
A11/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H12/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H12/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H02/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/04
Higher League
76.3Avg total
39.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)39.035.174.1+3.956%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.333.371.6+5.057%-
Last 30 away (13)39.837.176.9+2.854%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.276.3+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.475.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.640.376.9-3.844%-
vs Similar (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker (16)40.630.971.6+9.769%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shymkenttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shymkent: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.826.8
61.1%
49.5%53.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.5
36.5%
28.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws26.514.2
53.8%
63.9%14.2
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atyrau 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau 2: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.5 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.2
59.9%
49.5%42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.8
32.8%
28.5%29.2
🏀 Free throws14.09.0
64.3%
63.9%9.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shymkent
WWWWWLWWWW
Atyrau 2
LLWWLWLWWW
#2
League position
#6
+50.8
Net rating
+11.6
129.3
Offensive rating
110.3
78.5
Defensive rating
98.7
58.6%
Effective FG%
55.0%
41.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.5%
3-point %
32.8%
71.8%
Assist %
52.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence129.3 · 110.3Defence78.5 · 98.7Shooting58.6% · 55.0%3-point %36.5% · 32.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Shymkent   ■ Atyrau 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Shymkent wins
0
Atyrau 2 wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24Shymkent v Atyrau 296-86
23/02/24Shymkent v Atyrau 275-66
23/01/24Shymkent v Atyrau 288-54
12/11/23Shymkent v Atyrau 290-49
10/04/23Shymkent v Atyrau 274-66
19/11/22Shymkent v Atyrau 277-63
24/10/22Shymkent v Atyrau 282-68
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/26AKaspiy Aktau 2105-73
12/03/26AArlans103-67
11/03/26HAiRom96-46
10/03/26AArlans102-74
09/03/26HAiRom93-55
14/02/26HAktobe70-77
12/02/26AAktobe66-58
18/12/25ATigers-KazATU75-60
17/12/25HBars Petropavlovsk94-76
16/12/25ATigers-KazATU110-65
Atyrau 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/26HTuran67-71
02/04/26HAktobe79-96
01/04/26AAktobe99-75
12/03/26HTigers-KazATU78-47
12/02/26HBars Petropavlovsk68-72
11/02/26ATigers-KazATU90-38
10/02/26HBars Petropavlovsk67-81
18/12/25AKaraganda97-95 OT
17/12/25HPavlodar86-55
16/12/25AKaraganda80-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %88%77%100%
Points / game95.694.197.3
Allowed / game68.367.169.6
Point differential+27.4+27.0+27.8
Avg total163.9161.2166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%77%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atyrau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL68%
HomeLLWLL62%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%62%75%
Points / game78.274.682.1
Allowed / game69.466.173.0
Point differential+8.8+8.5+9.1
Avg total147.6140.7155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%46%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan26260100%88.960.0+28.9
2 Shymkent2522388%95.668.3+27.4
3 Aktobe2823582%83.067.5+15.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2419579%85.960.0+25.9
5 Atyrau 22517868%78.269.4+8.8
6 BC Almaty 22416867%83.573.1+10.5
7 ChelSU Kostanay25141156%75.978.5-2.6
8 CHAMP1ON24131154%74.773.3+1.4
9 Karaganda25111444%79.979.2+0.8
10 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22542116%68.283.1-14.9
14 Pavlodar252238%55.688.5-32.9
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2261254%54.583.6-29.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shymkent2128231789
Atyrau 2166262068
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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