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Atyrau 2 vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 80-88
18-20 21-29 20-24 21-15
Position#6
Record19-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#2
Record28-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game69.3
KazakhstanHigher LeagueHigher League - Semi-finals· Olympic Center
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atyrau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
78-47
78
47
+31
H12/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
A01/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H02/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H13/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A14/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H15/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A16/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A26/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H27/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A29/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-8
19-13
26-16
14-10
24-23
26-19
31-16
18-17
23-31
11-28
27-17
18-20
17-15
15-21
16-23
19-12
16-21
6-28
26-23
20-17
12-11
15-16
12-21
15-20
15-19
20-21
14-26
15-19
22-13
14-17
21-19
17-16
20-10
15-23
10-12
23-14
24-24
30-20
8-30
21-20
148.3Avg total
73.4Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.370.8147.1+5.561%
Season at home (15)72.865.7138.5+7.160%
Season away (16)79.675.6155.2+4.162%
Last 10 (10)73.474.9148.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)68.674.2142.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.275.8145.9-5.631%
vs Similar (2)88.583.5172.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker (15)80.463.9144.3+16.587%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arlans
#11
W
102-74
102
74
+28
A10/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
96-46
96
46
+50
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
A12/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
105-73
105
73
+32
A13/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H14/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A15/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H16/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
115-64
115
64
+51
H26/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A27/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H29/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
35-22
20-16
17-19
29-14
21-16
24-11
22-5
26-13
33-14
24-21
20-19
24-18
30-18
26-12
25-25
21-16
28-6
23-26
17-20
23-22
26-20
19-27
19-17
19-15
21-20
26-14
19-15
29-18
27-15
35-15
24-16
28-22
20-9
17-22
23-22
24-24
20-30
30-8
20-21
166.4Avg total
96.4Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)95.169.3164.4+25.990%
Season at home (17)94.567.7162.2+26.882%
Season away (14)95.971.1167.1+24.8100%
Last 10 (10)96.470.0166.4+26.4100%
Last 5 (5)93.874.4168.2+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)82.875.5158.2+7.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)96.768.3165.0+28.496%
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +7.4+7.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +9.1+9.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
Atyrau 2Shymkent
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atyrau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H12/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H02/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A14/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H15/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A16/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A26/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H27/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A29/04
Higher League
74.4Avg total
36.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.474.0+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.133.370.4+3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)40.137.577.7+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)36.338.174.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.738.574.2-2.846%-
vs Similar (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker (15)41.331.572.8+9.967%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arlans
#11
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A10/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
59-27
59
27
+32
A12/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A13/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H14/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H16/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H26/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A27/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H29/04
Higher League
86.3Avg total
51.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.334.185.3+17.290%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.534.685.1+15.982%-
Last 30 away (13)52.333.485.7+18.9100%-
Last 10 (10)51.434.986.3+16.590%-
Last 5 (5)47.439.086.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)45.839.084.8+6.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)52.133.385.4+18.896%-
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atyrau 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau 2: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.8
53.4%
49.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.6
30.3%
28.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws12.28.0
65.6%
63.9%8.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shymkenttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shymkent: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.726.5
59.3%
49.5%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.7
35.0%
28.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws25.313.4
53.0%
63.9%13.4
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atyrau 2
LWWLLLLLWW
Shymkent
WWWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
-2.0
Net rating
+35.1
97.8
Offensive rating
122.2
99.8
Defensive rating
87.2
49.9%
Effective FG%
56.7%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.3%
3-point %
35.0%
62.0%
Assist %
75.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 122.2Defence99.8 · 87.2Shooting49.9% · 56.7%3-point %30.3% · 35.0%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ Atyrau 2   ■ Shymkent
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Atyrau 2 wins
10
Shymkent wins
DateGameScore
29/04/26Shymkent v Atyrau 294-83
16/04/26Shymkent v Atyrau 285-64
14/04/26Shymkent v Atyrau 289-68
25/02/24Shymkent v Atyrau 296-86
23/02/24Shymkent v Atyrau 275-66
23/01/24Shymkent v Atyrau 288-54
12/11/23Shymkent v Atyrau 290-49
10/04/23Shymkent v Atyrau 274-66
19/11/22Shymkent v Atyrau 277-63
24/10/22Shymkent v Atyrau 282-68
Atyrau 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26AShymkent83-94
27/04/26HAktobe68-59
26/04/26AAktobe74-65
16/04/26AShymkent64-85
15/04/26HTuran54-68
14/04/26AShymkent68-89
13/04/26HTuran67-71
02/04/26HAktobe79-96
01/04/26AAktobe99-75
12/03/26HTigers-KazATU78-47
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26HAtyrau 294-83
27/04/26AChelSU Kostanay88-75
26/04/26HChelSU Kostanay115-64
16/04/26HAtyrau 285-64
15/04/26AKaspiy Aktau 287-86
14/04/26HAtyrau 289-68
13/04/26AKaspiy Aktau 2105-73
12/03/26AArlans103-67
11/03/26HAiRom96-46
10/03/26AArlans102-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL61%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayWLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %61%60%62%
Points / game76.372.879.6
Allowed / game70.865.775.6
Point differential+5.5+7.1+4.1
Avg total147.1138.5155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%40%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %90%82%100%
Points / game95.194.595.9
Allowed / game69.367.771.1
Point differential+25.9+26.8+24.8
Avg total164.4162.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+81%82%79%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan31310100%87.059.1+27.9
2 Shymkent3128390%95.169.3+25.9
3 Bars Petropavlovsk3125681%85.462.5+22.9
4 Aktobe3224875%81.368.1+13.2
5 BC Almaty 232201262%83.773.8+9.8
6 Atyrau 231191261%76.370.8+5.5
7 ChelSU Kostanay32151747%74.779.7-5.0
8 Karaganda28131546%80.278.5+1.7
9 CHAMP1ON32141844%71.977.6-5.7
10 Tigers-KazATU28111739%68.576.4-7.9
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 Tobol Kostanay 22872125%69.781.6-11.9
13 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
14 Pavlodar282267%56.587.2-30.8
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2281274%55.783.1-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atyrau 21821202180
Shymkent2029241588
← all games of the day
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