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Atyrau 2 vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 79-96
23-31 11-28 27-17 18-20
Position#6
Record17-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#4
Record20-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game67.3
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Atyrau 2 v Aktobe
27 Apr 2026
ATYR68
AKTO59
02 Apr 2026
ATYR79
AKTO96
14 Apr 2018
ATYR82
AKTO74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Atyrau 2
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.7
80.4▲ 1.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 68.2
62.6▼ 5.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 61%
61%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 13.5
13.5▲ 0.0
🔥 Form · Aktobe
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.5
90.2▲ 6.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 67.3
67.6▲ 0.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
53%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.2
17.2▲ 0.0
Atyrau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H25/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
92-35
92
35
+57
H15/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A16/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H17/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
A18/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H10/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
90-38
90
38
+52
A11/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H12/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
78-47
78
47
+31
H12/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
A01/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
13-15
18-21
21-9
27-11
23-11
20-8
22-5
23-20
9-25
26-13
22-14
27-7
20-17
20-14
19-17
26-18
17-27
11-24
34-19
25-27
14-20
15-15
13-19
25-15
20-4
26-9
19-10
22-11
9-23
22-20
15-18
19-8
19-13
26-16
14-10
24-23
26-19
31-16
18-17
145.9Avg total
82.6Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.768.2146.8+10.574%
Season at home (11)74.962.9137.8+12.073%
Season away (12)82.173.0155.1+9.175%
Last 10 (10)82.663.3145.9+19.380%
Last 5 (5)80.462.6143.0+17.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)57.860.5118.4-2.727%
vs Similar (3)59.062.3121.3-3.367%
vs Weaker (16)79.865.2145.0+14.681%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-52
86
52
+34
A19/01
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
57-81
57
81
-24
H11/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H12/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A14/02
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
95-46
95
46
+49
H09/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
110-61
110
61
+49
A10/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-56
85
56
+29
H11/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A12/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
75-99
75
99
-24
H01/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
28-13
23-8
19-14
14-23
12-16
18-25
13-17
9-19
10-10
28-17
11-20
13-14
18-20
15-17
8-10
15-20
18-20
22-20
22-10
32-8
19-13
23-8
21-17
27-15
23-22
32-6
28-18
20-13
21-18
22-8
22-17
20-19
18-17
21-20
27-20
23-24
19-26
16-31
17-18
145.1Avg total
78.3Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.567.3150.8+16.280%
Season at home (13)84.167.1151.2+17.077%
Season away (12)82.867.6150.4+15.283%
Last 10 (10)78.366.8145.1+11.560%
Last 5 (5)90.267.6157.8+22.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)51.359.7111.0-8.420%
vs Similar (2)93.086.5179.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.665.3153.9+23.289%
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.7+7.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
Atyrau 2Aktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atyrau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H25/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H15/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H17/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A18/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H10/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
45-19
45
19
+26
A11/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H12/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H12/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/04
Higher League
73.7Avg total
40.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)38.733.972.7+4.859%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.430.268.6+8.269%-
Last 30 away (14)39.137.476.4+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)40.533.273.7+7.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.632.673.2+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.736.872.4-1.156%-
vs Similar (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker (16)40.630.971.6+9.769%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A19/01
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H11/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H12/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/02
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H09/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A10/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A12/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H01/04
Higher League
72.2Avg total
37.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.732.873.5+8.064%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.331.472.7+9.969%-
Last 30 away (12)39.934.674.5+5.358%-
Last 10 (10)37.534.772.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.079.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.236.266.5-6.012%-
vs Similar (2)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.230.375.4+14.989%-
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atyrau 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau 2: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.524.0
64.0%
49.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.0
37.3%
28.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws13.07.5
57.7%
63.9%7.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aktobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aktobe: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.5 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.025.8
57.2%
49.5%51.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.0
26.7%
28.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.812.8
64.6%
63.9%12.8
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/4 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atyrau 2
WWLWLWWWWW
Aktobe
LWWWWWLLLW
#6
League position
#4
+39.7
Net rating
+21.1
127.7
Offensive rating
112.6
88.0
Defensive rating
91.5
60.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.3%
3-point %
26.7%
38.6%
Assist %
52.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence127.7 · 112.6Defence88.0 · 91.5Shooting60.4% · 50.9%3-point %37.3% · 26.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Atyrau 2   ■ Aktobe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atyrau 2 wins
1
Aktobe wins
DateGameScore
01/04/26Aktobe v Atyrau 275-99
15/04/18Aktobe v Atyrau 283-86
14/04/18Atyrau 2 v Aktobe82-74
21/02/18Aktobe v Atyrau 269-75
24/01/18Aktobe v Atyrau 257-84
21/12/17Aktobe v Atyrau 259-52
Atyrau 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26AAktobe99-75
12/03/26HTigers-KazATU78-47
12/02/26HBars Petropavlovsk68-72
11/02/26ATigers-KazATU90-38
10/02/26HBars Petropavlovsk67-81
18/12/25AKaraganda97-95 OT
17/12/25HPavlodar86-55
16/12/25AKaraganda80-72
15/12/25HPavlodar92-35
25/11/25HTobol Kostanay 269-63
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HAtyrau 275-99
12/03/26AChelSU Kostanay86-76
11/03/26HChelSU Kostanay85-56
10/03/26ATobol Kostanay 2110-61
09/03/26HTobol Kostanay 295-46
14/02/26AShymkent77-70
13/02/26ATuran54-61
12/02/26HShymkent58-66
11/02/26HTuran57-81
19/01/26APavlodar86-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW74%
HomeWWLLW73%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game78.774.982.1
Allowed / game68.262.973.0
Point differential+10.5+12.0+9.1
Avg total146.8137.8155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%55%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Aktobe
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeLLWWL77%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%77%83%
Points / game83.584.182.8
Allowed / game67.367.167.6
Point differential+16.2+17.0+15.2
Avg total150.8151.2150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%54%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2520580%83.567.3+16.2
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2419579%85.960.0+25.9
5 Atyrau 22317674%78.768.2+10.5
6 BC Almaty 22416867%83.573.1+10.5
7 CHAMP1ON24131154%74.773.3+1.4
8 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
9 Karaganda24101442%79.879.8+0.0
10 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar242228%56.189.5-33.4
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atyrau 22311271879
Aktobe3128172096
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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