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Aktobe vs Atyrau 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 75-99
23-24 19-26 16-31 17-18
Position#4
Record20-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#6
Record16-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game67.9
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aktobe v Atyrau 2
26 Apr 2026
AKTO65
ATYR74
01 Apr 2026
AKTO75
ATYR99
15 Apr 2018
AKTO83
ATYR86
21 Feb 2018
AKTO69
ATYR75
24 Jan 2018
AKTO57
ATYR84
21 Dec 2017
AKTO59
ATYR52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
112-52
112
52
+60
no box
H18/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-52
86
52
+34
no box
A19/01
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
57-81
57
81
-24
46avg 76
H11/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
44avg 76
H12/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
54-61
54
61
-7
50avg 76
A13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
74avg 76
A14/02
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
95-46
95
46
+49
93avg 76
H09/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
110-61
110
61
+49
no box
A10/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-56
85
56
+29
80avg 76
H11/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
79avg 76
A12/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-15
27-2
26-23
24-12
16-17
28-13
23-8
19-14
14-23
12-16
18-25
13-17
9-19
10-10
28-17
11-20
13-14
18-20
15-17
8-10
15-20
18-20
22-20
22-10
32-8
19-13
23-8
21-17
27-15
23-22
32-6
28-18
20-13
21-18
22-8
22-17
20-19
18-17
21-20
27-20
144.1Avg total
82.0Scored
62.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.866.0149.8+17.883%
Season at home (12)84.864.4149.2+20.483%
Season away (12)82.867.6150.4+15.283%
Last 10 (10)82.062.1144.1+19.970%
Last 5 (5)90.661.8152.4+28.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)51.359.7111.0-8.420%
vs Similar (2)93.086.5179.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.465.0153.4+23.489%
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
72-95
72
95
-23
62avg 74
A24/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
69-63
69
63
+6
no box
H25/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
92-35
92
35
+57
97avg 74
H15/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 74
A16/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-55
86
55
+31
79avg 74
H17/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
101avg 74
A18/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 74
H10/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
90-38
90
38
+52
84avg 74
A11/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
66avg 74
H12/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
78-47
78
47
+31
69avg 74
H12/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
29-26
17-19
11-28
17-18
13-15
18-21
21-9
27-11
23-11
20-8
22-5
23-20
9-25
26-13
22-14
27-7
20-17
20-14
19-17
26-18
17-27
11-24
34-19
25-27
14-20
15-15
13-19
25-15
20-4
26-9
19-10
22-11
9-23
22-20
15-18
19-8
19-13
26-16
14-10
145.2Avg total
79.9Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.767.9145.6+9.973%
Season at home (11)74.962.9137.8+12.073%
Season away (11)80.572.8153.4+7.773%
Last 10 (10)79.965.3145.2+14.670%
Last 5 (5)80.066.6146.6+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)55.459.6115.0-4.327%
vs Similar (3)59.062.3121.3-3.367%
vs Weaker (16)79.865.2145.0+14.681%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
AktobeAtyrau 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
62-17
62
17
+45
H18/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A19/01
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H11/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H12/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/02
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H09/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A10/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A12/03
Higher League
70.9Avg total
39.5Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.232.572.7+7.764%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.430.971.3+9.469%-
Last 30 away (12)39.934.674.5+5.358%-
Last 10 (10)39.531.470.9+8.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.633.075.6+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.236.266.5-6.012%-
vs Similar (2)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.329.974.2+14.489%-
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A24/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H25/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H15/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H17/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A18/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H10/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
45-19
45
19
+26
A11/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H12/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H12/03
Higher League
73.7Avg total
39.9Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)38.433.672.0+4.859%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.630.569.1+8.171%-
Last 30 away (13)38.237.075.2+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)39.933.873.7+6.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.272.4+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.735.970.6-1.256%-
vs Similar (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker (16)40.630.971.6+9.769%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aktobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aktobe: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.3 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.326.7
58.8%
49.5%53.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.06.7
23.8%
28.5%20.0
🏀 Free throws23.315.3
65.7%
63.9%15.3
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atyrau 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau 2: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.020.0
60.6%
49.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.010.0
29.4%
28.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.08.0
44.4%
63.9%8.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/1 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aktobe
WWWWWLLLWW
Atyrau 2
WLWLWWWWWL
#4
League position
#6
+37.8
Net rating
+45.0
114.1
Offensive rating
113.2
76.4
Defensive rating
68.2
50.0%
Effective FG%
52.2%
37.9%
Opp. effective FG%
33.6%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
23.8%
3-point %
29.4%
57.0%
Assist %
43.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 113.2Defence76.4 · 68.2Shooting50.0% · 52.2%3-point %23.8% · 29.4%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Aktobe   ■ Atyrau 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aktobe wins
4
Atyrau 2 wins
DateGameScore
15/04/18Aktobe v Atyrau 283-86
14/04/18Atyrau 2 v Aktobe82-74
21/02/18Aktobe v Atyrau 269-75
24/01/18Aktobe v Atyrau 257-84
21/12/17Aktobe v Atyrau 259-52
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AChelSU Kostanay86-76
11/03/26HChelSU Kostanay85-56
10/03/26ATobol Kostanay 2110-61
09/03/26HTobol Kostanay 295-46
14/02/26AShymkent77-70
13/02/26ATuran54-61
12/02/26HShymkent58-66
11/02/26HTuran57-81
19/01/26APavlodar86-52
18/01/26HPavlodar112-52
Atyrau 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26HTigers-KazATU78-47
12/02/26HBars Petropavlovsk68-72
11/02/26ATigers-KazATU90-38
10/02/26HBars Petropavlovsk67-81
18/12/25AKaraganda97-95 OT
17/12/25HPavlodar86-55
16/12/25AKaraganda80-72
15/12/25HPavlodar92-35
25/11/25HTobol Kostanay 269-63
24/11/25AChelSU Kostanay72-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWLLWW83%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game83.884.882.8
Allowed / game66.064.467.6
Point differential+17.8+20.4+15.2
Avg total149.8149.2150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%58%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Atyrau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW73%
HomeWWLLW73%
AwayLLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%73%73%
Points / game77.774.980.5
Allowed / game67.962.972.8
Point differential+9.9+12.0+7.7
Avg total145.6137.8153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2420483%83.866.0+17.8
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2419579%85.960.0+25.9
5 Atyrau 22216673%77.767.9+9.9
6 BC Almaty 22416867%83.573.1+10.5
7 CHAMP1ON24131154%74.773.3+1.4
8 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
9 Karaganda24101442%79.879.8+0.0
10 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar242228%56.189.5-33.4
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe2319161775
Atyrau 22426311899
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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