PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Basket Napoli vs JL Bourg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-76
19-17 28-20 18-13 19-26
Position#2
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Basket Napoli 🏆
vs
JL Bourg
Position#23
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEurocupRound 1· PalaBarbuto
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JL Bourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 78
A15/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
104-75
104
75
+29
98avg 78
H22/03
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 78
A29/03
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
85-100
85
100
-15
82avg 78
A04/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
92avg 78
H12/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
97-125
97
125
-28
85avg 78
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
84-74
84
74
+10
73avg 78
H25/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
69avg 78
A03/05
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
98-71
98
71
+27
92avg 78
H10/05
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#5
W
94-75
94
75
+19
94avg 78
A27/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
17-21
25-26
19-27
25-13
22-6
26-25
31-31
17-16
21-20
30-25
13-27
24-23
20-18
17-29
24-30
17-15
20-18
22-19
29-19
27-29
16-34
18-37
36-25
10-17
20-20
29-8
25-29
26-24
22-18
15-21
17-28
16-21
26-15
29-22
27-13
21-18
24-24
26-12
23-21
175.2Avg total
88.8Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.886.4175.2+2.450%
Last 5 (5)90.687.2177.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.595.9176.4-15.40%
vs Similar (21)86.383.5169.8+2.852%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)94.075.0169.0+19.0100%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
W
72-60
72
60
+12
71avg 80
A22/04
Eurocup
Besiktas
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 80
H28/04
Eurocup
Saint Quentin
#14
L
71-89
71
89
-18
66avg 80
H03/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
62avg 80
A05/05
LNB
Dijon
#11
L
83-101
83
101
-18
76avg 80
A09/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
95-78
95
78
+17
92avg 80
H16/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
91-71
91
71
+20
86avg 80
H20/05
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
62avg 80
A25/05
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
103-114
103
114
-11
87avg 80
H27/05
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
L
103-106 OT
103
106
-3
95avg 80
A26/09
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
17-16
20-15
17-19
25-17
13-23
17-12
18-19
20-16
16-20
12-28
23-25
16-25
15-23
21-16
25-27
22-23
21-33
19-25
21-20
23-19
24-19
24-22
24-18
29-19
23-24
21-12
18-16
13-22
19-15
17-19
26-25
22-32
27-33
27-21
27-28
26-21
28-26
23-17
17-30
170.5Avg total
84.3Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.386.2170.5-1.940%
Last 5 (5)93.490.0183.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.882.8166.6+1.080%
vs Similar (13)87.891.3179.1-3.531%
vs Weaker (12)87.879.2167.1+8.667%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
Basket NapoliJL Bourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A15/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H22/03
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A29/03
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A04/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H12/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H25/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/05
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/05
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/09
Lega A
79.7Avg total
40.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.582.7-0.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.078.9+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.445.186.5-3.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.079.7+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.085.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.645.684.2-7.038%-
vs Similar (21)42.040.081.9+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A22/04
Eurocup
Besiktas
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H28/04
Eurocup
Saint Quentin
#14
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A05/05
LNB
Dijon
#11
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A09/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H16/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H20/05
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/05
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
49-65
49
65
-16
H27/05
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A26/09
LNB
85.3Avg total
41.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.884.2+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.141.886.8+3.369%-
Last 30 away (14)39.441.981.3-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.685.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)46.846.092.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.643.079.6-6.440%-
vs Similar (13)43.547.190.6-3.531%-
vs Weaker (12)43.735.679.2+8.183%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.4
55.4%
54.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.4
35.2%
34.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.415.8
70.5%
75.6%15.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.9
50.8%
54.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.4
34.6%
34.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
75.6%16.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
WWLWLWLLWL
JL Bourg
LLLWWLLLWW
#2
League position
#23
+3.2
Net rating
-4.3
99.5
Offensive rating
85.4
96.2
Defensive rating
89.7
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.2%
3-point %
34.6%
57.5%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 85.4Defence96.2 · 89.7Shooting54.4% · 51.2%3-point %35.2% · 34.6%Ball care14.2% · 15.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ JL Bourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Basket Napoli wins
0
JL Bourg wins
No previous meetings.
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26AMaxima Roma94-75
10/05/26HUdine98-71
03/05/26AReggiana80-91
25/04/26HTrento84-74
19/04/26AOlimpia Milano97-125
12/04/26HTreviso88-71
04/04/26ABrescia85-100
29/03/26ACremona81-88
22/03/26HVarese104-75
15/03/26ACantu77-94
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26ASaint Quentin103-106 OT
27/05/26HMonaco103-114
25/05/26AMonaco75-81
20/05/26HStrasbourg91-71
16/05/26HGravelines-Dunkerque95-78
09/05/26ADijon83-101
05/05/26ALyon-Villeurbanne77-91
03/05/26HSaint Quentin71-89
28/04/26HBesiktas73-71
22/04/26ABesiktas72-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
JL Bourg
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia110100%104.072.0+32.0
2 Buducnost110100%99.075.0+24.0
3 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%94.073.0+21.0
4 PAOK110100%93.078.0+15.0
5 Ulm110100%98.084.0+14.0
6 Aris110100%87.074.0+13.0
7 Bahcesehir Kol.110100%91.078.0+13.0
8 Tofas110100%82.069.0+13.0
9 Lietkabelis110100%75.072.0+3.0
10 Siauliai110100%74.071.0+3.0
11 Trento110100%76.073.0+3.0
12 Rigas Zelli110100%86.084.0+2.0
13 Tortona1010%84.086.0-2.0
14 KK Bosna1010%72.075.0-3.0
15 London Lions1010%71.074.0-3.0
16 Neptunas1010%73.076.0-3.0
17 BC Roma1010%78.091.0-13.0
18 Chemnitz1010%69.082.0-13.0
19 Le Mans1010%74.087.0-13.0
20 Balkan1010%84.098.0-14.0
21 Manresa1010%78.093.0-15.0
22 Rostock1010%73.094.0-21.0
23 Slask Wroclaw1010%75.099.0-24.0
24 Frankfurt1010%72.0104.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli1928181984
JL Bourg1720132676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.