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Olimpia Milano vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 125-97
29-27 34-16 37-18 25-36
Position#2
Record17-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game79.6
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
vs
Basket Napoli
Italy
Position#11
Record9-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game86.4
ItalyLega ARound 27· Unipol Forum
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli
17 Jan 2027
MIL v NAP
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
MIL125
NAP97
26 Oct 2024
MIL89
NAP82
24 Mar 2024
MIL86
NAP84
18 Feb 2024
MIL72
NAP77
19 Apr 2023
MIL88
NAP76
16 Apr 2022
MIL90
NAP67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A20/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H22/03
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A24/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
93-103
93
103
-10
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H05/04
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A07/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H09/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A16/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
14-12
15-28
23-22
22-27
33-16
24-19
20-25
25-13
23-32
25-18
12-27
32-19
25-30
22-17
24-21
14-14
26-20
23-22
20-30
19-30
22-34
35-23
17-16
25-18
19-16
15-20
21-22
24-27
30-24
29-27
13-24
20-20
14-32
21-22
29-20
23-26
22-21
10-21
21-17
176.3Avg total
87.4Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.679.6165.1+6.068%
Season at home (13)85.080.4165.4+4.669%
Season away (12)86.278.7164.8+7.567%
Last 10 (10)87.488.9176.3-1.530%
Last 5 (5)85.892.0177.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.894.8177.5-12.00%
vs Similar (15)89.789.1178.7+0.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.579.3161.8+3.373%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
84-110
84
110
-26
A14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A15/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H22/03
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A29/03
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
85-100
85
100
-15
A04/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H12/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
19-20
22-20
23-21
21-17
15-28
20-19
20-18
17-20
14-22
18-17
15-20
23-38
22-32
22-20
17-20
21-16
19-23
10-24
21-27
16-20
17-21
25-26
19-27
25-13
22-6
26-25
31-31
17-16
21-20
30-25
13-27
24-23
20-18
17-29
24-30
17-15
20-18
22-19
29-19
168.1Avg total
81.4Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.986.4170.3-2.536%
Season at home (13)84.381.8166.2+2.546%
Season away (12)83.491.3174.8-7.925%
Last 10 (10)81.486.7168.1-5.330%
Last 5 (5)87.085.6172.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.792.9173.6-12.29%
vs Similar (19)86.285.0171.2+1.247%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
Olimpia MilanoBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A20/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H22/03
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A24/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
41-64
41
64
-23
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H05/04
Lega A
Valencia
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A07/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H09/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A16/04
Euroleague
90.3Avg total
45.5Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.344.089.3+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.144.192.2+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)42.643.986.5-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)45.544.890.3+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.693.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.849.294.0-4.525%-
vs Similar (15)46.346.993.2-0.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.338.182.4+6.282%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
45-70
45
70
-25
A14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A15/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H22/03
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A29/03
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A04/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H12/04
Lega A
79.3Avg total
39.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.882.8-0.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.340.782.0+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)40.743.083.7-2.357%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.379.3-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.073.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.043.582.5-4.545%-
vs Similar (19)42.240.782.9+1.563%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 62.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers18.413.6
73.9%
54.1%27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws7.26.5
90.3%
76.1%6.5
They take 46.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 60% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.5
51.2%
54.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.1
32.7%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.714.8
71.5%
76.1%14.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLLWLLWLWL
Basket Napoli
WLLWLLLLLW
#2
League position
#11
+2.1
Net rating
-7.6
42.8
Offensive rating
90.4
40.6
Defensive rating
97.9
60.9%
Effective FG%
50.4%
62.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.9%
3-point %
32.7%
82.8%
Assist %
53.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence42.8 · 90.4Defence40.6 · 97.9Shooting60.9% · 50.4%3-point %34.9% · 32.7%Ball care17.8% · 16.6%Free throws0.16 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
12/01/26Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano71-77
31/03/25Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano95-87
26/10/24Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli89-82
24/03/24Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli86-84
18/02/24Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli72-77
08/10/23Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano77-68
19/04/23Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli88-76
08/01/23Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano87-81 OT
16/04/22Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli90-67
25/09/21Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano63-73
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/26AOlympiacos76-85
09/04/26HBayern84-94
07/04/26AValencia96-102
05/04/26HReggiana80-76
02/04/26AParis93-103
29/03/26AUdine83-86
26/03/26HVirtus Bologna103-87
24/03/26AMonaco85-90
22/03/26HSassari99-87
20/03/26AFenerbahce75-79
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HTreviso88-71
04/04/26ABrescia85-100
29/03/26ACremona81-88
22/03/26HVarese104-75
15/03/26ACantu77-94
07/03/26HVirtus Bologna71-90
14/02/26ATrieste84-110
08/02/26HVenezia64-79
24/01/26HTortona76-82
18/01/26ASassari84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game85.685.086.2
Allowed / game79.680.478.7
Point differential+6.0+4.6+7.5
Avg total165.1165.4164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW36%
HomeLLLWW46%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%46%25%
Points / game83.984.383.4
Allowed / game86.481.891.3
Point differential-2.5+2.5-7.9
Avg total170.3166.2174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2621581%83.175.9+7.2
2 Brescia2519676%88.883.5+5.3
3 Olimpia Milano2517868%85.679.6+6.0
4 Venezia2517868%90.286.2+4.0
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona26161062%88.185.8+2.3
7 Trieste25131252%84.386.9-2.6
8 Reggiana26131350%83.381.0+2.3
9 Varese26121446%84.087.3-3.2
10 Trento26111542%83.582.9+0.6
11 Cremona26101638%82.385.2-2.8
12 Basket Napoli2591636%83.986.4-2.5
13 Udine2691735%81.583.6-2.2
14 Sassari2681831%86.689.6-3.0
15 Cantu2681831%83.788.3-4.6
16 Treviso2671927%83.390.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano29343725125
Basket Napoli2716183697
← all games of the day
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