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Cremona vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-81
16-17 20-21 25-30 27-13
Position#12
Record8-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game85.4
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Basket Napoli
Italy
Position#11
Record8-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game86.4
ItalyLega ARound 24· PalaRadi
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Cremona v Basket Napoli
29 Mar 2026
CRE88
NAP81
08 Mar 2025
CRE94
NAP85
11 Feb 2024
CRE90
NAP83
09 Mar 2022
CRE96
NAP93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
59avg 74
H04/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 74
A11/01
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A17/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 74
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
86-104
86
104
-18
69avg 74
A01/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 74
H07/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
67-86
67
86
-19
56avg 74
H15/02
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
62avg 74
A08/03
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
68avg 74
H15/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
94-97
94
97
-3
83avg 74
A22/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-14
15-11
19-20
19-17
18-22
19-16
19-27
29-23
19-26
19-23
27-13
19-22
14-24
17-20
24-18
17-26
28-26
17-31
24-21
27-25
15-22
23-21
24-19
20-23
11-25
17-23
19-15
15-21
23-20
18-18
22-26
29-24
14-18
14-19
21-18
22-10
21-36
23-31
28-20
166.2Avg total
80.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.385.4167.7-3.135%
Season at home (11)82.681.5164.2+1.155%
Season away (12)81.988.9170.8-7.017%
Last 10 (10)80.685.6166.2-5.030%
Last 5 (5)81.286.8168.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.787.0165.7-8.313%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.487.7176.1+0.657%
vs Weaker (1)89.065.0154.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 77
H28/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
80-84
80
84
-4
82avg 77
A03/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
65avg 77
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 77
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
64-79
64
79
-15
46avg 77
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
84-110
84
110
-26
66avg 77
A14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
69avg 77
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 77
A15/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
104-75
104
75
+29
98avg 77
H22/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
30-19
21-17
26-29
18-20
24-18
18-24
20-22
23-15
15-17
17-20
16-25
20-17
19-20
22-20
23-21
21-17
15-28
20-19
20-18
17-20
14-22
18-17
15-20
23-38
22-32
22-20
17-20
21-16
19-23
10-24
21-27
16-20
17-21
25-26
19-27
25-13
22-6
26-25
31-31
166.4Avg total
80.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.886.4170.2-2.636%
Season at home (12)84.082.8166.8+1.242%
Season away (10)83.590.8174.3-7.330%
Last 10 (10)80.985.5166.4-4.630%
Last 5 (5)80.089.6169.6-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.793.2174.8-11.517%
vs Similar ◀ (18)86.685.4172.0+1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
CremonaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/01
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A17/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A01/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H07/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H15/02
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/03
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H15/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/03
Lega A
84.3Avg total
39.7Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.384.3-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.043.885.8-1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.882.9-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.744.684.3-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.884.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.343.582.8-4.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.443.886.1-1.429%-
vs Weaker (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H28/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A03/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
45-70
45
70
-25
A14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A15/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H22/03
Lega A
80.5Avg total
40.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.883.8-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.641.683.1+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)40.444.284.6-3.843%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.380.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.281.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.544.783.2-6.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.741.684.3+1.256%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.5
49.7%
54.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.5
31.0%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
76.1%14.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.0
53.9%
54.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.6
33.6%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.0
73.0%
76.1%13.0
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LLLLWLLWLW
Basket Napoli
WLLLLLWLLW
#12
League position
#11
-8.9
Net rating
-7.6
92.8
Offensive rating
96.2
101.7
Defensive rating
103.8
48.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.0%
3-point %
33.6%
50.4%
Assist %
52.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 96.2Defence101.7 · 103.8Shooting48.3% · 52.7%3-point %31.0% · 33.6%Ball care13.7% · 17.1%Off. rebounds25.6% · 29.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Cremona   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cremona wins
3
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Basket Napoli v Cremona102-76
08/03/25Cremona v Basket Napoli94-85
19/10/24Basket Napoli v Cremona81-87
11/02/24Cremona v Basket Napoli90-83
26/11/23Basket Napoli v Cremona80-70
09/03/22Cremona v Basket Napoli96-93 OT
05/12/21Basket Napoli v Cremona91-88
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26ATreviso94-97
15/03/26HBrescia78-79
08/03/26ATortona78-85
15/02/26HOlimpia Milano67-86
07/02/26HCantu89-87
01/02/26ASassari86-104
26/01/26HVirtus Bologna74-84
17/01/26ATrento94-85
11/01/26AUdine75-82
04/01/26HReggiana71-67
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HVarese104-75
15/03/26ACantu77-94
07/03/26HVirtus Bologna71-90
14/02/26ATrieste84-110
08/02/26HVenezia64-79
24/01/26HTortona76-82
18/01/26ASassari84-78
12/01/26HOlimpia Milano71-77
03/01/26AVarese80-84
28/12/25HCantu98-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeWLWLL55%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%55%17%
Points / game82.382.681.9
Allowed / game85.481.588.9
Point differential-3.1+1.1-7.0
Avg total167.7164.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLLLLW42%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%42%30%
Points / game83.884.083.5
Allowed / game86.482.890.8
Point differential-2.6+1.2-7.3
Avg total170.2166.8174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2319483%83.375.6+7.7
2 Brescia2217577%88.183.1+5.0
3 Olimpia Milano2316770%85.979.4+6.5
4 Venezia2316770%91.186.3+4.8
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona2315865%88.486.2+2.2
7 Trieste22111150%84.287.1-3.0
8 Trento24111346%83.581.8+1.8
9 Varese24111346%83.587.0-3.5
10 Reggiana22101245%82.080.6+1.3
11 Udine2281436%82.183.1-1.0
12 Basket Napoli2281436%83.886.4-2.6
13 Sassari2381535%86.189.1-3.0
14 Cremona2381535%82.385.4-3.1
15 Cantu2361726%83.589.3-5.7
16 Treviso2241818%82.090.2-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1620252788
Basket Napoli1721301381
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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