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Basket Napoli vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 104-75
25-13 22-6 26-25 31-31
Position#11
Record7-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#8
Record10-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game86.3
ItalyLega ARound 23· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Varese
20 Dec 2026
NAP v VAR
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
NAP104
VAR75
12 Apr 2025
NAP87
VAR97
11 Nov 2023
NAP97
VAR96
05 Mar 2023
NAP93
VAR101
14 Mar 2022
NAP74
VAR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
87avg 76
A21/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 76
H28/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
80-84
80
84
-4
82avg 76
A03/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
65avg 76
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 76
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
64-79
64
79
-15
46avg 76
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
84-110
84
110
-26
66avg 76
A14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
69avg 76
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 76
A15/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
19-23
18-27
30-26
21-21
30-19
21-17
26-29
18-20
24-18
18-24
20-22
23-15
15-17
17-20
16-25
20-17
19-20
22-20
23-21
21-17
15-28
20-19
20-18
17-20
14-22
18-17
15-20
23-38
22-32
22-20
17-20
21-16
19-23
10-24
21-27
16-20
17-21
25-26
19-27
168.7Avg total
80.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.887.0169.8-4.133%
Season at home (11)82.283.5165.6-1.336%
Season away (10)83.590.8174.3-7.330%
Last 10 (10)80.188.6168.7-8.520%
Last 5 (5)74.491.0165.4-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.592.8175.3-10.223%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.686.0171.6-0.447%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 75
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 75
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
70avg 75
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
94-106
94
106
-12
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 75
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
53avg 75
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 75
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
98-96
98
96
+2
90avg 75
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
85avg 75
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 75
H15/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
25-26
27-19
21-24
20-18
18-24
24-18
22-20
13-18
18-22
29-17
23-29
25-31
34-18
18-35
17-22
15-19
21-24
27-19
21-12
10-24
16-11
14-20
21-21
18-23
17-15
18-24
25-22
22-34
19-21
31-23
26-18
28-21
18-21
21-15
25-24
21-22
30-22
19-23
21-19
171.7Avg total
86.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.386.3169.6-3.045%
Season at home (11)79.583.9163.4-4.545%
Season away (11)87.288.6175.8-1.545%
Last 10 (10)86.085.7171.7+0.360%
Last 5 (5)84.084.6168.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)81.089.8170.8-8.831%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.182.6168.6+3.564%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
Basket NapoliVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A21/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H28/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A03/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
45-70
45
70
-25
A14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A15/03
Lega A
84.0Avg total
40.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.684.6-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.443.184.5-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)40.444.284.6-3.843%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.784.0-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.047.484.4-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.944.683.5-5.731%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.542.985.4-0.453%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H15/03
Lega A
84.3Avg total
41.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.182.5-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.040.079.0-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.186.1-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.384.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.882.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.844.485.1-3.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.139.479.6+0.750%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.0
53.1%
54.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.2
34.9%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.213.0
75.6%
76.1%13.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.3
59.4%
54.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.7
33.4%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.612.1
72.9%
76.1%12.1
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LLLLLWLLWL
Varese
WWWLLWLLWW
#11
League position
#8
-8.0
Net rating
+3.4
97.8
Offensive rating
100.2
105.8
Defensive rating
96.8
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.9%
3-point %
33.4%
55.3%
Assist %
65.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 100.2Defence105.8 · 96.8Shooting52.9% · 54.9%3-point %34.9% · 33.4%Ball care17.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.5% · 33.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Basket Napoli wins
7
Varese wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Varese v Basket Napoli84-80
12/04/25Basket Napoli v Varese87-97
28/12/24Varese v Basket Napoli89-86
07/04/24Varese v Basket Napoli113-79
11/11/23Basket Napoli v Varese97-96
05/03/23Basket Napoli v Varese93-101
15/01/23Varese v Basket Napoli106-79
14/03/22Basket Napoli v Varese74-82
12/12/21Varese v Basket Napoli89-98 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26ACantu77-94
07/03/26HVirtus Bologna71-90
14/02/26ATrieste84-110
08/02/26HVenezia64-79
24/01/26HTortona76-82
18/01/26ASassari84-78
12/01/26HOlimpia Milano71-77
03/01/26AVarese80-84
28/12/25HCantu98-86
21/12/25AVenezia96-106
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HTreviso91-86
08/03/26AUdine92-81
14/02/26HBrescia98-96
08/02/26ATrento78-84
01/02/26HReggiana61-76
26/01/26AOlimpia Milano84-74
18/01/26HVenezia94-106
11/01/26ATreviso83-86
03/01/26HBasket Napoli84-80
28/12/25ATrapani95-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%36%30%
Points / game82.882.283.5
Allowed / game87.083.590.8
Point differential-4.1-1.3-7.3
Avg total169.8165.6174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW45%
HomeWLLWW45%
AwayWLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%45%45%
Points / game83.379.587.2
Allowed / game86.383.988.6
Point differential-3.0-4.5-1.5
Avg total169.6163.4175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2219386%83.975.2+8.6
2 Brescia2217577%88.183.1+5.0
3 Venezia2216673%91.385.4+5.9
4 Olimpia Milano2316770%85.979.4+6.5
5 Tortona2215768%88.585.7+2.7
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trieste22111150%84.287.1-3.0
8 Varese22101245%83.386.3-3.0
9 Trento23101343%82.581.5+1.0
10 Reggiana2191243%81.981.1+0.7
11 Udine2281436%82.183.1-1.0
12 Cremona2281436%81.784.9-3.1
13 Sassari2381535%86.189.1-3.0
14 Basket Napoli2171433%82.887.0-4.1
15 Cantu2361726%83.589.3-5.7
16 Treviso2131814%81.390.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli25222631104
Varese136253175
← all games of the day
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