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Cantu vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 94-77
20-16 21-17 26-25 27-19
Position#15
Record5-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game89.3
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record7-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game86.6
ItalyLega ARound 22· PalaFitLineDesio
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Cantu v Basket Napoli
11 Oct 2026
KAN80
NAP99
15 Mar 2026
KAN94
NAP77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 75
H20/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
86-98
86
98
-12
72avg 75
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 75
H04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 75
A11/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
71-76
71
76
-5
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
79-78
79
78
+1
78avg 75
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
77avg 75
H31/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 75
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
108-91
108
91
+17
90avg 75
H15/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 75
A09/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
25-25
23-15
19-25
21-21
19-30
17-21
29-26
27-19
17-27
18-16
17-23
14-26
27-18
15-18
23-22
21-20
20-16
15-17
15-23
19-20
12-25
25-13
23-20
16-25
22-25
28-19
15-17
25-27
22-15
21-23
19-24
19-24
39-22
28-22
22-23
20-33
21-14
22-19
23-22
171.4Avg total
84.5Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.589.3172.9-5.824%
Season at home (10)83.284.8168.0-1.640%
Season away (11)83.893.5177.3-9.69%
Last 10 (10)84.586.9171.4-2.420%
Last 5 (5)88.286.4174.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.689.2171.8-6.623%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.185.8169.9-1.745%
vs Weaker (6)80.070.7150.7+9.367%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
99avg 77
H14/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
87avg 77
A21/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 77
H28/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
80-84
80
84
-4
82avg 77
A03/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
65avg 77
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 77
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
64-79
64
79
-15
46avg 77
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
84-110
84
110
-26
66avg 77
A14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
69avg 77
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
34-18
21-22
27-19
29-30
19-23
18-27
30-26
21-21
30-19
21-17
26-29
18-20
24-18
18-24
20-22
23-15
15-17
17-20
16-25
20-17
19-20
22-20
23-21
21-17
15-28
20-19
20-18
17-20
14-22
18-17
15-20
23-38
22-32
22-20
17-20
21-16
19-23
10-24
21-27
169.4Avg total
82.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.186.6169.7-3.535%
Season at home (11)82.283.5165.6-1.336%
Season away (9)84.290.4174.7-6.233%
Last 10 (10)82.686.8169.4-4.230%
Last 5 (5)75.887.8163.6-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.592.8175.3-10.223%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.186.0172.1+0.147%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
CantuBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H20/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H18/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H31/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H15/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A09/03
Lega A
88.9Avg total
42.8Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.182.7-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.441.683.9+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)37.344.481.7-7.112%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.188.9-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.046.089.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.948.289.1-7.215%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.643.483.0-3.718%-
vs Weaker (6)37.031.568.5+5.567%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H14/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A21/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H28/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A03/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
45-70
45
70
-25
A14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/03
Lega A
85.5Avg total
42.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.985.2-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.443.184.5-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)41.244.886.0-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.185.5-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.684.8-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.944.683.5-5.731%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.143.486.5-0.253%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.620.4
60.7%
54.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.6
35.7%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.614.1
68.4%
76.1%14.1
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.1
53.0%
54.1%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.3
34.7%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.911.7
73.6%
76.1%11.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LWLLWLLLLL
Basket Napoli
LLLLWLLWLW
#15
League position
#11
-3.6
Net rating
-7.2
106.6
Offensive rating
98.3
110.2
Defensive rating
105.5
57.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.7%
3-point %
34.7%
62.7%
Assist %
53.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 98.3Defence110.2 · 105.5Shooting57.5% · 52.7%3-point %35.7% · 34.7%Ball care14.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds22.4% · 30.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Cantu   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cantu wins
1
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
28/12/25Basket Napoli v Cantu98-86
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26AOlimpia Milano86-88
15/02/26HTrento108-91
07/02/26ACremona87-89
31/01/26HVenezia81-86
25/01/26AReggiana79-78
18/01/26HBrescia71-76
11/01/26ATrieste79-84
04/01/26HTortona79-85
28/12/25ABasket Napoli86-98
20/12/25HOlimpia Milano89-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HVirtus Bologna71-90
14/02/26ATrieste84-110
08/02/26HVenezia64-79
24/01/26HTortona76-82
18/01/26ASassari84-78
12/01/26HOlimpia Milano71-77
03/01/26AVarese80-84
28/12/25HCantu98-86
21/12/25AVenezia96-106
14/12/25HCremona102-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL24%
HomeLLLLW40%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%40%9%
Points / game83.583.283.8
Allowed / game89.384.893.5
Point differential-5.8-1.6-9.6
Avg total172.9168.0177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)40% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %35%36%33%
Points / game83.182.284.2
Allowed / game86.683.590.4
Point differential-3.5-1.3-6.2
Avg total169.7165.6174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2118386%82.974.3+8.6
2 Brescia2015575%88.883.7+5.1
3 Olimpia Milano2115671%84.977.9+7.0
4 Venezia2115671%91.685.7+5.9
5 Tortona2114767%87.986.3+1.6
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trieste21111052%84.587.3-2.8
8 Trento22101245%82.881.4+1.4
9 Varese22101245%83.386.3-3.0
10 Reggiana2191243%81.981.1+0.7
11 Cremona2181338%81.985.1-3.2
12 Udine2281436%82.183.1-1.0
13 Sassari2281436%86.188.7-2.6
14 Basket Napoli2071335%83.186.6-3.5
15 Cantu2151624%83.589.3-5.8
16 Treviso2131814%81.390.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2021262794
Basket Napoli1617251977
← all games of the day
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