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Basket Torino vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 57-79
15-23 26-19 11-21 5-16
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Basket Torino
Italy
vs
Mestre 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalySerie A2Round 1· Pala Gianni Asti
Other2026-27
Meetings · Basket Torino v Mestre
27 Sep 2026
BASK57
MEST79
15 Feb 2026
BASK75
MEST73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
67-98
67
98
-31
59avg 61
A21/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
55avg 61
H08/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 61
A22/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
60avg 61
H25/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
65-63
65
63
+2
49avg 61
A28/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
77-69
77
69
+8
66avg 61
H04/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
67avg 61
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
71avg 61
H19/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
66-80
66
80
-14
56avg 61
A26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
56-59
56
59
-3
36avg 61
A29/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
14-26
20-21
15-29
12-22
16-19
22-17
24-18
23-20
23-11
22-17
12-24
18-15
13-23
13-16
30-28
18-14
15-20
20-21
12-8
15-21
24-17
17-13
21-18
18-21
12-24
25-23
22-13
23-18
21-16
22-18
14-17
13-22
16-19
14-25
23-14
15-23
12-9
10-17
19-10
146.5Avg total
71.6Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.674.9146.5-3.340%
Last 5 (5)71.271.6142.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.975.9143.8-8.00%
vs Similar (15)74.573.2147.7+1.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)75.468.9144.3+6.671%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 69
H21/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
84-93
84
93
-9
72avg 69
H27/02
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
82-61
82
61
+21
74avg 69
A07/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
63avg 69
H21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 69
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
81-95
81
95
-14
74avg 69
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
83-85
83
85
-2
70avg 69
H08/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
48avg 69
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
64avg 69
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 69
A26/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
17-26
23-15
22-26
25-24
17-26
21-19
21-24
23-17
19-16
28-16
12-12
26-17
18-29
23-32
8-15
14-11
27-20
26-15
19-24
16-22
22-28
21-24
22-21
22-26
24-19
20-24
17-16
11-21
21-29
16-20
20-17
26-17
13-28
19-21
24-24
24-21
26-29
20-16
12-17
165.5Avg total
81.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.384.2165.5-2.930%
Last 5 (5)79.288.0167.2-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.783.6160.2-6.931%
vs Similar (13)79.979.3159.2+0.646%
vs Weaker (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
This opponent (Basket Torino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
Basket TorinoMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A21/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H25/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A28/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H19/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A29/04
Serie A2
72.1Avg total
33.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.738.073.7-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.237.474.6-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)34.138.772.8-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)33.938.272.1-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.071.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.039.570.5-8.525%-
vs Similar (15)37.338.475.7-1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.435.673.0+1.957%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H21/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/02
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A07/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/04
Serie A2
86.3Avg total
41.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.981.6-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.081.9-0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.781.4-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.944.486.3-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.048.089.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.642.881.4-4.138%-
vs Similar (13)40.540.781.2-0.246%-
vs Weaker (1)49.043.092.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Basket Torino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Torino: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.616.5
42.7%
51.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
34.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.4
72.8%
70.9%13.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.0
47.4%
51.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.0
36.9%
34.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
70.9%16.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Torino
LLWLWWLWLL
Mestre
LLLLLWLWLW
#3
League position
#12
-4.4
Net rating
-3.7
86.6
Offensive rating
94.9
90.9
Defensive rating
98.6
45.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.4%
Turnover %
12.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.4%
3-point %
36.9%
52.0%
Assist %
44.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 94.9Defence90.9 · 98.6Shooting45.1% · 50.4%3-point %32.4% · 36.9%Ball care12.4% · 12.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Basket Torino   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Torino wins
1
Mestre wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Basket Torino v Mestre75-73
27/12/25Mestre v Basket Torino74-69
Basket Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26AJuVi Cremona56-59
26/04/26ASebastiani Rieti66-80
19/04/26HCento80-69
08/04/26HPesaro77-81
04/04/26HRuvo Di Puglia77-69
28/03/26AUrania Milano65-63
25/03/26HScafati74-82
22/03/26APistoia80-72
08/03/26HVerona74-76
21/02/26ABrindisi67-98
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AJuVi Cremona82-83
18/04/26HLibertas Livorno82-90
12/04/26AVerona68-87
08/04/26HAvellino Basket83-85
05/04/26ARimini81-95
28/03/26HBrindisi86-70
21/03/26HPesaro75-93
07/03/26ACento82-61
27/02/26HUrania Milano84-93
21/02/26HPistoia90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Torino
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna110100%92.070.0+22.0
2 Forli110100%85.068.0+17.0
3 Cividale1010%68.085.0-17.0
4 Ruvo Di Puglia1010%70.092.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Torino152611557
Mestre2319211679
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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