Baskonia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 May 2012

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 77-73

20-22 22-20 13-15 22-16

Position#3

Record23-11

FormWLLWW

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game70.1

Baskonia 🏆

Bilbao

Position#6

Record19-15

FormLWWLL

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game76.9

ACBACB - Quarter-finals

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Baskonia v Bilbao

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baskonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

90-68

+22

H18/03

ACB

Estudiantes

#17

89-74

+15

H25/03

ACB

Alicante

71-72

-1

A01/04

ACB

Real Madrid

67-66

H09/04

ACB

Manresa

#12

70-72

-2

A15/04

ACB

Murcia

#13

71-65

H21/04

ACB

Barcelona

89-97

-8

A26/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

66-68

-2

H29/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

92-87

A02/05

ACB

Bilbao

100-70

100

+30

H06/05

ACB

20-6

24-26

23-15

23-21

22-17

22-28

15-12

30-17

18-18

14-13

16-21

23-20

14-7

20-19

14-24

19-16

18-23

17-12

18-21

17-16

29-19

10-16

23-19

9-11

17-27

25-19

27-28

20-23

17-17

14-19

22-19

13-13

22-28

25-25

21-9

24-25

32-16

25-14

27-24

16-16

154.4Avg total

80.5Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	74.9	70.1	145.0	+4.7	68%
Season at home (17)	74.2	65.8	140.0	+8.4	82%
Season away (17)	75.5	74.4	149.9	+1.1	53%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	73.9	154.4	+6.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	77.4	161.0	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.4	74.6	146.0	-3.2	40%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	79.2	74.2	153.5	+5.0	62%
vs Weaker (16)	75.9	68.6	144.5	+7.2	69%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

94-81

+13

H28/03

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

71-73

-2

H30/03

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

#15

78-72

H01/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

79-71

H08/04

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

89-77

+12

H15/04

ACB

Valencia

63-66

-3

A22/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

68-57

+11

H25/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

77-76

A29/04

ACB

Unicaja

80-83

-3

H03/05

ACB

Baskonia

70-100

100

-30

A06/05

ACB

25-24

22-16

24-17

23-24

15-21

13-18

19-17

24-17

25-16

17-19

19-11

17-26

27-7

14-22

13-25

25-17

12-26

24-15

35-17

18-19

16-16

13-17

18-18

16-15

16-16

16-13

19-15

17-13

22-12

12-18

22-21

21-25

23-25

10-11

20-23

27-24

16-32

14-25

24-27

16-16

152.5Avg total

76.9Scored

75.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	77.7	76.9	154.6	+0.8	56%
Season at home (17)	80.1	73.8	153.9	+6.2	71%
Season away (17)	75.4	80.0	155.4	-4.6	41%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	75.6	152.5	+1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	76.4	148.0	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	74.7	79.1	153.8	-4.4	40%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	76.0	75.8	151.8	+0.2	58%
vs Weaker (8)	78.5	69.6	148.1	+8.9	100%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BaskoniaBilbao

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	13.8	32.9	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.5	40.7	-2.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.8	38.7	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.0	18.9	40.9	+3.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.5	17.3	35.8	+1.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	22.4	40.6	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	19.7	37.8	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.7	36.0	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.3	35.5	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.8	18.8	36.5	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.1	17.1	36.2	+2.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	16.6	32.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.8	15.4	32.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.6	17.6	33.2	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	17.4	32.9	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.0	16.8	29.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.4	18.3	35.7	-0.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	15.0	16.5	31.5	-1.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (8)	16.4	14.5	30.9	+1.9	50%	-

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

44-32

+12

H18/03

ACB

Estudiantes

#17

44-45

-1

H25/03

ACB

Alicante

32-31

A01/04

ACB

Real Madrid

34-26

H09/04

ACB

Manresa

#12

35-35

A15/04

ACB

Murcia

#13

39-35

H21/04

ACB

Barcelona

42-46

-4

A26/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

31-36

-5

H29/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

47-53

-6

A02/05

ACB

Bilbao

57-30

+27

H06/05

ACB

77.4Avg total

40.5Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	35.3	72.9	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	31.8	69.5	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	38.8	76.2	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	36.9	77.4	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	40.0	83.2	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.8	34.0	69.8	+1.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.8	37.6	77.4	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	37.6	34.4	72.0	+3.2	62%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

47-40

H28/03

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

28-39

-11

H30/03

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

#15

42-35

H01/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

41-29

+12

H08/04

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

36-41

-5

H15/04

ACB

Valencia

29-33

-4

A22/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

32-29

H25/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

34-30

A29/04

ACB

Unicaja

33-36

-3

H03/05

ACB

Baskonia

30-57

-27

A06/05

ACB

72.1Avg total

35.2Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	36.9	72.0	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.5	33.4	69.9	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.8	40.0	73.8	-6.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	36.9	72.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	37.0	68.6	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.5	38.0	73.5	-2.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	34.1	37.3	71.4	-3.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (8)	36.0	34.9	70.9	+1.1	75%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	16.7	36.6	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	17.7	36.7	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.8	43.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	23.2	43.4	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.4	17.8	38.1	+2.6	75%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.2	15.5	33.7	+2.7	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.8	37.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.1	40.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.4	18.3	37.8	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.9	15.4	37.2	+6.5	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.6	34.0	-1.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.4	17.4	32.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.9	37.6	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	35.1	73.0	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	34.1	72.5	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	36.1	73.5	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	37.0	77.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.4	77.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.6	40.6	76.2	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.5	36.6	76.1	+2.9	75%	-
vs Weaker (16)	37.3	33.2	70.5	+4.1	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	37.4	77.5	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	37.0	80.1	+6.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	37.7	75.2	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	38.7	80.4	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.4	79.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.2	41.1	80.3	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.3	36.0	75.3	+3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.5	34.8	77.2	+7.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Baskonia wins

Bilbao wins

Date	Game	Score
06/05/12	Baskonia v Bilbao	100-70
29/12/11	Bilbao v Baskonia	79-80
22/12/11	Bilbao v Baskonia	77-72
16/11/11	Baskonia v Bilbao	84-89
30/09/11	Bilbao v Baskonia	88-93
17/04/11	Baskonia v Bilbao	89-75
11/02/11	Baskonia v Bilbao	76-74
12/12/10	Bilbao v Baskonia	99-95
19/02/10	Bilbao v Baskonia	62-75
24/01/10	Bilbao v Baskonia	71-86

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/05/12	H	Bilbao	100-70
02/05/12	A	Fuenlabrada	92-87
29/04/12	H	Joventut Badalona	66-68
26/04/12	A	Barcelona	89-97
21/04/12	H	Murcia	71-65
15/04/12	A	Manresa	70-72
09/04/12	H	Real Madrid	67-66
01/04/12	A	Alicante	71-72
25/03/12	H	Estudiantes	89-74
18/03/12	H	Unicaja	90-68

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/05/12	A	Baskonia	70-100
03/05/12	H	Unicaja	80-83
29/04/12	A	Gipuzkoa	77-76
25/04/12	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	68-57
22/04/12	A	Valencia	63-66
15/04/12	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	89-77
08/04/12	H	Obradoiro CAB	79-71
01/04/12	H	Gran Canaria	78-72
30/03/12	H	CSKA Moscow	71-73
28/03/12	H	CSKA Moscow	94-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	68%
Home	WWWLW	82%
Away	LLLLW	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	68%	82%	53%
Points / game	74.9	74.2	75.5
Allowed / game	70.1	65.8	74.4
Point differential	+4.7	+8.4	+1.1
Avg total	145.0	140.0	149.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	59%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	75% (4)	50% (6)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Bilbao

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	56%
Home	WWWWL	71%
Away	WWLWL	41%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	56%	71%	41%
Points / game	77.7	80.1	75.4
Allowed / game	76.9	73.8	80.0
Point differential	+0.8	+6.2	-4.6
Avg total	154.6	153.9	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	41%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	33% (3)	56% (9)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	34	29	5	85%	77.6	65.6	+12.0
2	Real Madrid	34	26	8	76%	83.2	73.9	+9.3
3	Baskonia	34	23	11	68%	74.9	70.1	+4.7
4	Valencia	34	20	14	59%	74.4	70.6	+3.8
5	Gipuzkoa	34	19	15	56%	78.4	75.8	+2.5
6	Bilbao	34	19	15	56%	77.7	76.9	+0.8
7	Real Betis	34	18	16	53%	74.2	72.4	+1.9
8	Alicante	34	18	16	53%	69.2	71.7	-2.6
9	Unicaja	34	17	17	50%	73.8	75.4	-1.6
10	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	34	16	18	47%	70.7	72.2	-1.5
11	Joventut Badalona	34	16	18	47%	73.3	75.4	-2.0
12	Manresa	34	15	19	44%	73.4	75.3	-1.8
13	Murcia	34	13	21	38%	71.7	73.8	-2.1
14	Obradoiro CAB	34	13	21	38%	70.7	73.0	-2.2
15	Gran Canaria	34	13	21	38%	66.7	70.4	-3.7
16	Fuenlabrada	34	12	22	35%	70.9	76.0	-5.0
17	Estudiantes	34	11	23	32%	70.4	75.7	-5.3
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	34	8	26	24%	69.1	76.2	-7.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Baskonia	20	22	13	22	77
Bilbao	22	20	15	16	73

← all games of the day

Baskonia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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