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Baskonia vs Bilbao Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game92.6
SpainACBRound 20· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Baskonia v Bilbao
30 Jan 2027
BAS v BIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
BAS110
BIL91
24 May 2025
BAS100
BIL97
30 Sep 2023
BAS92
BIL72
26 Mar 2023
BAS100
BIL78
11 Dec 2021
BAS101
BIL86
07 Nov 2020
BAS82
BIL68
09 Dec 2017
BAS94
BIL71
15 Jan 2017
BAS84
BIL63
06 Mar 2016
BAS108
BIL62
26 Oct 2014
BAS86
BIL74
26 Apr 2014
BAS76
BIL70
16 Dec 2012
BAS81
BIL80
17 May 2012
BAS77
BIL73
06 May 2012
BAS100
BIL70
16 Nov 2011
BAS84
BIL89
17 Apr 2011
BAS89
BIL75
11 Feb 2011
BAS76
BIL74
15 Oct 2009
BAS85
BIL76
17 May 2009
BAS90
BIL86
13 Dec 2008
BAS97
BIL79
09 Feb 2008
BAS68
BIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 84
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 84
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 84
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
68avg 84
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#5
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 84
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-94
79
94
-15
67avg 84
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
106-83
106
83
+23
104avg 84
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
65-84
65
84
-19
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
98-93
98
93
+5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
30-22
20-18
33-24
23-19
18-33
14-19
9-11
24-21
27-20
27-19
24-23
20-31
18-23
20-19
22-23
6-15
168.4Avg total
80.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)95.084.3179.3+10.771%
Season at home (3)105.778.0183.7+27.7100%
Season away (4)87.089.0176.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)80.987.5168.4-6.620%
Last 5 (5)82.886.8169.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.192.8172.9-12.79%
vs Similar (11)80.883.7164.5-2.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)104.885.2190.0+19.5100%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
90avg 81
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 81
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 81
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 81
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
75avg 81
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
W
88-76
88
76
+12
83avg 81
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
L
100-103
100
103
-3
98avg 81
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 81
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
26-24
22-19
24-31
28-29
27-23
11-21
29-17
14-17
25-19
19-27
23-20
20-26
22-18
23-21
19-14
19-22
180.8Avg total
90.9Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.092.6184.6-0.657%
Season at home (3)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Season away (4)88.298.2186.5-10.025%
Last 10 (10)90.989.9180.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)87.884.8172.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.392.9171.1-14.614%
vs Similar (9)89.283.7172.9+5.678%
vs Weaker (14)91.684.4176.1+7.271%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
BaskoniaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#5
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/11
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
40.4Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.185.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.288.5+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.182.2-5.913%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.785.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.348.288.5-7.99%-
vs Similar (11)38.240.578.7-2.427%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)50.439.890.1+10.6100%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/11
Champions League
86.8Avg total
43.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.384.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.383.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.385.0-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.586.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.146.481.6-11.30%-
vs Similar (9)42.641.083.6+1.656%-
vs Weaker (14)45.441.186.4+4.364%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
55.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
36.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.718.8
76.1%
76.0%18.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
55.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.8
36.8%
36.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws26.619.3
72.6%
76.0%19.3
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LWLWLLLLLL
Bilbao
WLWLWLWWWL
#4
League position
#8
-5.0
Net rating
+0.5
94.9
Offensive rating
99.9
99.9
Defensive rating
99.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.2%
3-point %
36.8%
65.6%
Assist %
66.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 99.9Defence99.9 · 99.4Shooting51.4% · 53.8%3-point %33.2% · 36.8%Ball care16.2% · 13.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Baskonia   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Baskonia wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Bilbao v Baskonia69-76
23/11/25Baskonia v Bilbao110-91
24/05/25Baskonia v Bilbao100-97
08/12/24Bilbao v Baskonia67-69
24/03/24Bilbao v Baskonia82-80
30/09/23Baskonia v Bilbao92-72
26/03/23Baskonia v Bilbao100-78
30/10/22Bilbao v Baskonia70-81
27/03/22Bilbao v Baskonia62-90
11/12/21Baskonia v Bilbao101-86
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APartizan66-80
07/11/26AForca Lleida98-93
05/11/26AFenerbahce65-84
01/11/26HManresa106-83
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HAlba Berlin83-75
07/11/26ABasquet Girona87-92
01/11/26AJoventut Badalona81-78
28/10/26AAlba Berlin100-103
25/10/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-76
18/10/26AReal Madrid84-119
14/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK97-86
11/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos96-87
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game95.0105.787.0
Allowed / game84.378.089.0
Point differential+10.7+27.7-2.0
Avg total179.3183.7176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game92.097.088.2
Allowed / game92.685.098.2
Point differential-0.6+12.0-10.0
Avg total184.6182.0186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
3 Valencia75271%99.188.0+11.1
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-8.0
14 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-12.7
17 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-15.7
18 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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