Baskonia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 108-62

27-9 31-18 21-19 29-16

Position#4

Record17-4

FormWLWWL

Points / game86.3

Allowed / game75.2

Baskonia 🏆

Bilbao

Position#9

Record11-10

FormLLWLW

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game79.7

ACBRound 22

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Baskonia v Bilbao

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baskonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

66-68

-2

A31/01

ACB

Real Madrid

#12

77-68

A05/02

Euroleague

Valencia

79-73

H07/02

ACB

Bamberg

90-64

+26

H11/02

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#15

86-69

+17

A13/02

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

79-77

A19/02

Spanish Cup

Real Madrid

80-86

-6

H20/02

Spanish Cup

Zalgiris Kaunas

#22

71-65

H25/02

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#17

107-77

107

+30

H28/02

ACB

Olympiacos

68-82

-14

A04/03

Euroleague

14-20

20-14

24-22

8-12

19-19

22-18

18-12

18-19

21-17

13-18

23-11

22-27

26-13

23-17

23-16

18-18

21-13

18-24

27-17

20-15

24-12

11-18

23-30

21-17

17-25

27-15

17-20

19-26

22-20

10-12

13-21

26-12

35-19

24-25

24-15

24-18

16-19

14-25

17-19

21-19

153.2Avg total

80.3Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	86.3	75.2	161.5	+11.1	81%
Season at home (11)	89.5	77.4	166.9	+12.2	91%
Season away (10)	82.7	72.8	155.5	+9.9	70%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	72.9	153.2	+7.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	77.4	158.4	+3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	83.5	79.0	162.5	+4.5	75%
vs Similar (9)	75.2	75.2	150.4	+0.0	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	88.6	74.2	162.9	+14.4	81%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#15

88-83

H24/01

ACB

Bayern

#12

90-88

A27/01

Eurocup

Valencia

49-85

-36

A31/01

ACB

Ulm

#34

83-65

+18

H03/02

Eurocup

Murcia

90-79

+11

H07/02

ACB

Banvit

#16

65-73

-8

A10/02

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

85-91

-6

A14/02

ACB

Barcelona

73-72

A18/02

Spanish Cup

Gran Canaria

71-81

-10

H20/02

Spanish Cup

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

83-72

+11

H28/02

ACB

27-23

26-12

16-21

19-27

17-21

23-20

24-15

26-32

10-26

8-17

18-23

13-19

16-11

27-18

15-20

25-16

28-14

21-25

19-17

22-23

14-19

13-15

25-16

13-23

26-27

21-22

20-20

18-22

20-18

20-19

15-18

18-17

22-15

24-19

9-14

16-33

24-17

17-21

16-12

26-22

156.6Avg total

77.7Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	78.0	79.7	157.7	-1.6	52%
Season at home (11)	84.3	83.4	167.6	+0.9	55%
Season away (10)	71.2	75.6	146.8	-4.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	78.9	156.6	-1.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	77.8	153.2	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	78.1	88.0	166.1	-9.9	14%
vs Similar (8)	79.6	74.6	154.2	+5.0	75%
vs Weaker (14)	82.8	75.1	157.9	+7.7	71%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BaskoniaBilbao

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	17.4	39.9	+5.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	16.7	35.1	+1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	17.7	39.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	15.5	34.2	+3.2	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.9	16.9	33.8	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.6	17.9	40.4	+4.7	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	17.1	38.9	+4.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.4	20.4	39.9	-1.0	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.2	16.6	39.9	+6.6	88%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.1	38.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.3	41.3	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	20.2	39.6	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.1	19.2	41.2	+2.9	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.6	41.6	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.5	19.2	39.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.4	18.9	41.3	+3.4	57%	-

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

34-34

A31/01

ACB

Real Madrid

#12

41-37

A05/02

Euroleague

Valencia

34-35

-1

H07/02

ACB

Bamberg

49-30

+19

H11/02

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#15

39-37

A13/02

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

35-30

A19/02

Spanish Cup

Real Madrid

44-40

H20/02

Spanish Cup

Zalgiris Kaunas

#22

32-32

H25/02

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#17

59-44

+15

H28/02

ACB

Olympiacos

30-44

-14

A04/03

Euroleague

76.0Avg total

39.7Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	36.8	77.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	36.5	78.4	+5.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	37.1	76.3	+2.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	36.3	76.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.8	36.5	72.2	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.2	37.1	73.3	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	44.6	37.1	81.7	+7.6	75%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#15

53-35

+18

H24/01

ACB

Bayern

#12

40-41

-1

A27/01

Eurocup

Valencia

18-43

-25

A31/01

ACB

Ulm

#34

43-29

+14

H03/02

Eurocup

Murcia

49-39

+10

H07/02

ACB

Banvit

#16

27-34

-7

A10/02

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

47-49

-2

A14/02

ACB

Barcelona

40-37

A18/02

Spanish Cup

Gran Canaria

46-34

+12

H20/02

Spanish Cup

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

41-38

H28/02

ACB

78.3Avg total

40.4Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	37.3	79.1	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	36.7	80.6	+7.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	38.0	77.4	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	37.9	78.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.4	78.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.8	35.9	79.6	+7.9	88%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.5	36.8	79.3	+5.7	64%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.2	39.0	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.2	41.7	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	17.3	36.3	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.5	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.4	37.4	+0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	16.9	34.6	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.6	35.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.0	33.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	15.9	19.1	35.0	-3.3	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.8	18.2	34.0	-2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.4	16.6	38.1	+4.8	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	18.7	38.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.9	17.9	39.8	+4.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.6	40.6	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	24.3	44.0	-4.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.4	36.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.4	43.0	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.4	41.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.4	23.3	41.7	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.8	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	37.4	79.1	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.0	38.9	83.9	+6.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	35.9	74.4	+2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	36.6	77.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.4	80.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.2	41.0	85.2	+3.2	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.8	37.2	75.0	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	43.2	36.0	79.2	+7.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.3	76.7	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	42.8	81.4	-4.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	35.3	71.4	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	41.0	78.3	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	39.4	74.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	34.3	42.4	76.7	-8.1	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.9	38.8	74.6	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.3	38.3	78.6	+2.0	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Baskonia wins

Bilbao wins

Date	Game	Score
13/12/15	Bilbao v Baskonia	89-83 OT
01/03/15	Bilbao v Baskonia	93-75
26/10/14	Baskonia v Bilbao	86-74
26/04/14	Baskonia v Bilbao	76-70
22/12/13	Bilbao v Baskonia	96-92 OT
01/05/13	Bilbao v Baskonia	75-93
16/12/12	Baskonia v Bilbao	81-80
20/05/12	Bilbao v Baskonia	88-90 OT
17/05/12	Baskonia v Bilbao	77-73
06/05/12	Baskonia v Bilbao	100-70

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/16	A	Olympiacos	68-82
28/02/16	H	Estudiantes	107-77
25/02/16	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	71-65
20/02/16	H	Real Madrid	80-86
19/02/16	A	Obradoiro CAB	79-77
13/02/16	A	Obradoiro CAB	86-69
11/02/16	H	Bamberg	90-64
07/02/16	H	Valencia	79-73
05/02/16	A	Real Madrid	77-68
31/01/16	A	Murcia	66-68

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/16	H	MoraBanc Andorra	83-72
20/02/16	H	Gran Canaria	71-81
18/02/16	A	Barcelona	73-72
14/02/16	A	Gran Canaria	85-91
10/02/16	A	Banvit	65-73
07/02/16	H	Murcia	90-79
03/02/16	H	Ulm	83-65
31/01/16	A	Valencia	49-85
27/01/16	A	Bayern	90-88
24/01/16	H	Obradoiro CAB	88-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	81%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	WWWLW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	81%	91%	70%
Points / game	86.3	89.5	82.7
Allowed / game	75.2	77.4	72.8
Point differential	+11.1	+12.2	+9.9
Avg total	161.5	166.9	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	55%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	10%	9%	10%

Bilbao

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	52%
Home	WLWWW	55%
Away	LWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	52%	55%	50%
Points / game	78.0	84.3	71.2
Allowed / game	79.7	83.4	75.6
Point differential	-1.6	+0.9	-4.4
Avg total	157.7	167.6	146.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	27%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	10%	18%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	22	20	2	91%	84.4	70.5	+14.0
2	Valencia	22	20	2	91%	84.3	73.6	+10.6
3	Real Madrid	22	18	4	82%	92.5	80.4	+12.2
4	Baskonia	21	17	4	81%	86.3	75.2	+11.1
5	Gran Canaria	22	14	8	64%	81.6	76.3	+5.3
6	Fuenlabrada	22	12	10	55%	80.3	81.0	-0.7
7	Bilbao	21	11	10	52%	78.0	79.7	-1.6
8	Murcia	22	11	11	50%	78.3	78.1	+0.1
9	Unicaja	22	10	12	45%	76.8	75.3	+1.5
10	MoraBanc Andorra	22	10	12	45%	81.0	81.8	-0.8
11	Joventut Badalona	22	9	13	41%	78.2	80.7	-2.5
12	Tenerife	22	9	13	41%	75.7	79.2	-3.5
13	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	22	7	15	32%	80.0	81.8	-1.8
14	Obradoiro CAB	22	7	15	32%	75.0	77.4	-2.3
15	Manresa	22	7	15	32%	70.8	79.7	-9.0
16	Real Betis	22	7	15	32%	74.5	85.6	-11.1
17	Estudiantes	22	4	18	18%	76.5	84.8	-8.2
18	Gipuzkoa	22	4	18	18%	71.4	84.2	-12.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Baskonia	27	31	21	29	108
Bilbao	9	18	19	16	62

← all games of the day

Baskonia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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