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Basquet Girona vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game97.4
vs
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game88.8
SpainACBRound 14· Pavello Fontajau
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Basquet Girona v Valencia
27 Dec 2026
GIR v VAL
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
GIR81
VAL84
17 May 2025
GIR85
VAL91
17 Mar 2024
GIR92
VAL88
12 Mar 2023
GIR75
VAL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basquet Girona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H29/05
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
78-118
78
118
-40
A04/10
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#17
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#6
L
92-115
92
115
-23
A10/10
ACB
Oostende
#28
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#17
W
110-90
110
90
+20
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#33
W
109-68
109
68
+41
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#31
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
23-24
26-10
12-25
22-16
14-17
16-19
32-25
26-20
16-34
19-32
17-32
23-19
24-25
18-19
22-12
22-30
19-31
23-23
28-31
25-15
17-19
26-18
23-24
28-23
25-25
21-28
36-14
30-16
27-13
26-20
26-19
17-27
28-14
27-22
29-24
26-17
22-17
19-24
12-23
177.7Avg total
91.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.097.4190.4-4.460%
Season at home (3)98.384.7183.0+13.7100%
Season away (2)85.0116.5201.5-31.50%
Last 10 (10)91.386.4177.7+4.970%
Last 5 (5)98.080.4178.4+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.992.7177.6-7.827%
vs Similar (13)85.185.8170.8-0.746%
vs Weaker (6)94.579.0173.5+15.583%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
116-93
116
93
+23
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
104-93
104
93
+11
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
15-17
30-28
31-15
29-17
18-23
27-17
19-25
26-19
14-20
20-29
26-21
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
182.8Avg total
94.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)96.688.8185.4+7.860%
Season at home (3)100.091.0191.0+9.067%
Season away (2)91.585.5177.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)94.588.3182.8+6.260%
Last 5 (5)96.887.4184.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)89.386.3175.6+3.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)98.287.5185.7+10.778%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
Basquet GironaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H29/05
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A04/10
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#6
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A10/10
ACB
Oostende
#28
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#17
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#33
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#31
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
87.5Avg total
45.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.584.3+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.038.482.4+5.673%-
Last 30 away (15)41.644.686.2-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)45.542.087.5+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)49.037.286.2+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.544.685.1-4.236%-
vs Similar (13)42.340.282.5+2.254%-
vs Weaker (6)48.238.786.8+9.583%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
86.0Avg total
46.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.140.687.8+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.039.387.3+8.772%-
Last 30 away (12)45.842.688.4+3.275%-
Last 10 (10)46.439.686.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)45.137.682.7+7.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.741.689.3+6.274%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.7
55.6%
55.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.9
37.8%
36.2%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.012.6
70.0%
75.7%12.6
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.6
55.4%
55.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
75.7%15.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basquet Girona
LWWWWLWLWW
Valencia
LWWWWLLLWW
#10
League position
#4
+4.8
Net rating
+7.0
100.9
Offensive rating
106.7
96.0
Defensive rating
99.7
56.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
8.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.8%
3-point %
35.4%
55.8%
Assist %
52.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 106.7Defence96.0 · 99.7Shooting56.1% · 54.5%3-point %37.8% · 35.4%Ball care15.9% · 8.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Basquet Girona   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Basquet Girona wins
6
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASzolnoki Olaj79-81
25/10/26HJoventut Badalona101-87
20/10/26HZielona Gora109-68
18/10/26HLeyma Coruna110-90
13/10/26AOostende91-76
10/10/26ABreogan92-115
06/10/26HDinamo Bucharest87-75
04/10/26ABaskonia78-118
27/09/26HMurcia84-77
29/05/26HJoventut Badalona82-77
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT
11/10/26ABarcelona86-89
08/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
04/10/26ABasket Zaragoza97-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basquet Girona
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game93.098.385.0
Allowed / game97.484.7116.5
Point differential-4.4+13.7-31.5
Avg total190.4183.0201.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game96.6100.091.5
Allowed / game88.891.085.5
Point differential+7.8+9.0+6.0
Avg total185.4191.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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