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Basquet Girona vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 85-91
14-19 27-28 19-17 25-27
Position#14
Record11-20
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#2
Record22-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game86.0
SpainACBRound 32· Pavello Fontajau
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Basquet Girona v Valencia
27 Dec 2026
GIR v VAL
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
GIR81
VAL84
17 May 2025
GIR85
VAL91
17 Mar 2024
GIR92
VAL88
12 Mar 2023
GIR75
VAL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basquet Girona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 71
H08/03
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
76-64
76
64
+12
69avg 71
A15/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
86-95
86
95
-9
80avg 71
H22/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
99-89
99
89
+10
70avg 71
A29/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
76-92
76
92
-16
57avg 71
A06/04
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 71
H12/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
84-95
84
95
-11
76avg 71
A19/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
59avg 71
H27/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
84-93
84
93
-9
72avg 71
H04/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
106-97
106
97
+9
104avg 71
A10/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
20-15
28-25
17-18
22-19
15-14
16-15
23-16
28-21
17-28
17-23
24-23
23-22
26-22
23-20
27-25
11-22
24-24
23-27
18-19
27-16
18-19
18-19
28-31
20-28
23-24
19-18
22-25
21-15
8-19
24-27
18-18
12-21
19-17
35-28
18-27
24-23
28-29
29-19
25-26
172.1Avg total
85.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.988.0169.9-6.135%
Season at home (15)83.987.0170.9-3.147%
Season away (16)80.089.0169.0-9.025%
Last 10 (10)85.686.5172.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)87.289.8177.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)80.687.4167.9-6.832%
vs Similar (11)85.089.0174.0-4.045%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 91
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 91
A28/03
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
97-69
97
69
+28
101avg 91
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
84avg 91
H02/04
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
L
71-86
71
86
-15
62avg 91
H05/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 91
H13/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
76-67
76
67
+9
76avg 91
A20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
112avg 91
H27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
78avg 91
A04/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 91
H10/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
22-24
23-11
26-23
21-23
28-31
22-22
20-20
21-21
23-5
23-26
30-17
22-15
23-29
22-19
25-31
9-21
24-20
23-21
15-24
22-17
22-21
28-22
12-15
20-19
17-11
21-17
18-20
19-29
25-22
24-25
26-18
20-27
24-19
19-28
26-22
17-27
20-21
28-12
21-19
177.4Avg total
90.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)96.486.0182.4+10.471%
Season at home (16)98.185.9184.0+12.281%
Season away (15)94.586.1180.6+8.560%
Last 10 (10)90.287.2177.4+3.050%
Last 5 (5)92.089.0181.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)89.096.0185.0-7.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)96.485.4181.7+11.068%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
Basquet GironaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H08/03
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A15/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H22/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A29/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A06/04
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H12/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A19/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H27/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H04/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A10/05
ACB
82.0Avg total
40.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.280.8-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.740.678.3-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)39.643.783.3-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.682.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.282.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.842.381.1-3.532%-
vs Similar (11)38.441.980.3-3.536%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A28/03
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H02/04
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H05/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A04/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H10/05
ACB
84.5Avg total
41.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.487.4+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.343.690.9+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)42.341.183.4+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.684.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.683.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)44.046.090.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.542.487.9+3.164%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.2
51.7%
54.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.8
33.9%
35.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.316.0
75.1%
76.4%16.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.3
59.0%
54.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.29.6
29.8%
35.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.316.0
78.8%
76.4%16.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basquet Girona
WLLLWLWLWW
Valencia
WLLWWLLWLW
#14
League position
#2
-1.2
Net rating
+3.8
112.2
Offensive rating
113.6
113.4
Defensive rating
109.8
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.4%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.9%
3-point %
29.8%
61.7%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 113.6Defence113.4 · 109.8Shooting51.3% · 52.4%3-point %33.9% · 29.8%Ball care16.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds33.9% · 32.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Basquet Girona   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Basquet Girona wins
3
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25AMoraBanc Andorra106-97
04/05/25HTenerife84-93
27/04/25HReal Madrid71-79
19/04/25AManresa84-95
12/04/25HBreogan91-85
06/04/25ABaskonia76-92
29/03/25ALeyma Coruna99-89
22/03/25HGran Canaria86-95
15/03/25AMurcia76-64
08/03/25HJoventut Badalona83-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HGran Canaria86-79
04/05/25AReal Madrid89-96
27/04/25HBaskonia125-128 OT
20/04/25AForca Lleida76-67
13/04/25HUnicaja84-75
05/04/25HMurcia71-86
02/04/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv92-94
30/03/25AGranada97-69
28/03/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv91-96
25/03/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basquet Girona
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW35%
HomeWLWLL47%
AwayWWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %35%47%25%
Points / game81.983.980.0
Allowed / game88.087.089.0
Point differential-6.1-3.1-9.0
Avg total169.9170.9169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWLWLW81%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %71%81%60%
Points / game96.498.194.5
Allowed / game86.085.986.1
Point differential+10.4+12.2+8.5
Avg total182.4184.0180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3127487%87.678.1+9.6
2 Tenerife3124777%87.282.8+4.4
3 Valencia3122971%96.486.0+10.4
4 Unicaja31211068%89.684.3+5.3
5 Barcelona31191261%92.086.6+5.5
6 Joventut Badalona31181358%85.583.6+1.9
7 Gran Canaria31171455%84.584.3+0.3
8 Manresa31161552%87.985.5+2.4
9 Baskonia31161552%87.587.7-0.3
10 Murcia31151648%81.481.1+0.3
11 Breogan32131941%79.986.2-6.3
12 Basket Zaragoza31121939%88.990.0-1.1
13 MoraBanc Andorra32122038%87.891.7-4.0
14 Bilbao31112035%81.183.2-2.1
15 Forca Lleida31112035%83.387.6-4.3
16 Basquet Girona31112035%81.988.0-6.1
17 Granada3292328%81.887.5-5.8
18 Leyma Coruna3272522%85.895.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basquet Girona1427192585
Valencia1928172791
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