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Bauru vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 80-77
25-19 17-17 18-16 20-25
Position#10
Record12-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.0
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#14
Record7-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game85.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bauru v Cruzeiro
03 Nov 2026
BAUR74
CRUZ78
06 Feb 2026
BAUR80
CRUZ77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
W
62-58
62
58
+4
57avg 71
H12/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
69-61
69
61
+8
54avg 71
A15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
52avg 71
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
77avg 71
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 71
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-86
94
86
+8
92avg 71
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
94avg 71
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
87-89
87
89
-2
no box
H15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A19/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
84avg 71
A21/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
9-18
13-9
15-12
15-13
16-15
17-15
21-18
12-21
14-26
21-25
21-13
20-23
29-16
17-18
18-11
10-23
20-13
21-24
15-11
22-18
19-20
23-24
30-24
29-33
30-15
16-18
26-28
11-26
26-23
18-21
32-19
20-18
17-16
16-16
21-23
16-21
22-24
22-22
26-19
159.2Avg total
80.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.378.0155.2-0.750%
Season at home (13)80.275.7155.9+4.569%
Season away (11)73.880.6154.5-6.827%
Last 10 (10)80.478.8159.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)91.089.0180.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.682.9156.4-9.311%
vs Similar (10)76.076.6152.6-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.473.9155.3+7.582%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 73
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 73
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
89-65
89
65
+24
91avg 73
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
74avg 73
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 73
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 73
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 73
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 73
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A15/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
89avg 73
H19/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
15-29
10-19
23-8
19-32
26-13
13-20
18-22
18-19
22-18
19-14
30-14
21-22
19-21
26-18
14-32
21-17
15-23
23-10
20-25
11-18
24-20
22-21
20-26
19-24
21-12
16-19
30-23
17-23
21-17
27-19
18-36
27-26
22-18
24-22
18-32
27-20
26-19
17-25
19-17
164.8Avg total
81.3Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.285.6164.9-6.432%
Season at home (13)81.185.8166.9-4.838%
Season away (9)76.685.3161.9-8.822%
Last 10 (10)81.383.5164.8-2.240%
Last 5 (5)85.287.4172.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.190.5168.5-12.48%
vs Similar (5)75.282.8158.0-7.640%
vs Weaker (4)88.073.5161.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
BauruCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A21/01
NBB
78.3Avg total
38.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.478.2-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.741.180.8-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)35.739.675.4-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.178.3-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.885.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.844.278.0-10.411%-
vs Similar (10)35.139.574.6-4.430%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.638.181.7+5.582%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A15/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H19/01
NBB
81.9Avg total
40.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)38.443.581.9-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.944.082.9-5.123%-
Last 30 away (9)37.642.980.4-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.381.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.482.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.444.981.3-8.58%-
vs Similar (5)40.243.884.0-3.640%-
vs Weaker (4)42.538.881.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.0
53.3%
52.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.9
28.4%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.0%
72.8%14.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.7
50.4%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.8
38.7%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.018.4
80.0%
72.8%18.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
LWLWWLWLWW
Cruzeiro
WLLWLWLWLL
#10
League position
#14
+2.2
Net rating
+1.0
100.8
Offensive rating
108.9
98.5
Defensive rating
107.9
49.0%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.4%
3-point %
38.7%
66.2%
Assist %
71.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 108.9Defence98.5 · 107.9Shooting49.0% · 53.5%3-point %28.4% · 38.7%Ball care14.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds28.8% · 26.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Bauru   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bauru wins
1
Cruzeiro wins
DateGameScore
03/11/25Cruzeiro v Bauru76-75
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AUniao Corinthians99-103 OT
19/01/26ACaxias do Sul74-73
15/01/26HPaulistano87-89
12/01/26HPinheiros101-94
10/01/26HOsasco94-86
29/12/25HBrasilia66-71
22/12/25HRio Claro84-68
20/12/25AFranca68-85
15/12/25APato69-61
12/12/25HMogi62-58
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26HPato89-81
15/01/26ASao Jose91-98
10/01/26ACorinthians Paulista83-95
29/12/25ACearense86-78
27/12/25AUnifacisa77-85
23/12/25HVasco79-75
21/12/25HFlamengo80-93
16/12/25HBotafogo89-65
03/12/25AUniao Corinthians76-87
01/12/25ACaxias do Sul63-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWLWWL69%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%69%27%
Points / game77.380.273.8
Allowed / game78.075.780.6
Point differential-0.7+4.5-6.8
Avg total155.2155.9154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW32%
HomeLWLWW38%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %32%38%22%
Points / game79.281.176.6
Allowed / game85.685.885.3
Point differential-6.4-4.8-8.8
Avg total164.9166.9161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2420483%87.675.1+12.5
2 Flamengo2420483%87.476.3+11.1
3 Minas2319483%86.578.6+7.9
4 Franca2419579%88.875.0+13.8
5 Brasilia2518772%81.471.8+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2416867%82.777.6+5.1
7 Sao Jose2415962%83.079.4+3.5
8 Paulistano2314961%81.077.2+3.9
9 Unifacisa23131057%81.279.8+1.3
10 Mogi23121152%76.069.4+6.5
11 Bauru24121250%77.378.0-0.7
12 Uniao Corinthians24121250%79.882.3-2.6
13 Caxias do Sul24101442%72.277.8-5.5
14 Cruzeiro2271532%79.285.6-6.4
15 Rio Claro2471729%76.086.7-10.7
16 Pato2561924%73.480.4-7.1
17 Cearense2451921%77.787.6-9.9
18 Botafogo2451921%72.282.3-10.2
19 Vasco2442017%69.579.0-9.5
20 Osasco2442017%75.087.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru2517182080
Cruzeiro1917162577
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