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Paulistano vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 80-77
21-13 16-8 25-28 18-28
Position#7
Record24-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#10
Record21-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Bauru
30 Oct 2026
PAUL83
BAUR75
29 Apr 2026
PAUL71
BAUR62
21 Apr 2026
PAUL80
BAUR77
20 Oct 2025
PAUL66
BAUR59
30 Apr 2025
PAUL54
BAUR84
22 Apr 2025
PAUL93
BAUR77
28 Oct 2024
PAUL79
BAUR83
08 Jan 2024
PAUL55
BAUR66
19 Nov 2022
PAUL71
BAUR68
04 Mar 2022
PAUL53
BAUR65
02 May 2021
PAUL78
BAUR65
30 Apr 2021
PAUL77
BAUR87
06 Feb 2021
PAUL69
BAUR64
28 Feb 2020
PAUL88
BAUR93
21 Mar 2019
PAUL74
BAUR76
14 May 2018
PAUL80
BAUR77
08 May 2018
PAUL95
BAUR64
05 May 2018
PAUL59
BAUR70
20 Jan 2018
PAUL88
BAUR79
10 Jun 2017
PAUL64
BAUR81
27 May 2017
PAUL82
BAUR78
16 Nov 2016
PAUL90
BAUR66
19 Dec 2015
PAUL80
BAUR77
24 Jan 2015
PAUL89
BAUR90
23 Nov 2013
PAUL87
BAUR66
17 Jan 2013
PAUL76
BAUR73
16 Feb 2012
PAUL78
BAUR63
08 Apr 2011
PAUL62
BAUR86
21 Nov 2010
PAUL88
BAUR86
03 Apr 2009
PAUL93
BAUR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H17/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H19/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A23/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
96-69
96
69
+27
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A09/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A15/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H18/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
25-15
15-27
23-20
26-27
14-23
19-23
29-16
32-23
23-25
26-18
19-21
24-24
23-24
23-18
21-11
21-26
21-16
11-18
26-24
21-17
21-16
32-23
22-13
18-22
27-11
18-17
23-22
22-16
14-22
26-21
22-21
16-18
19-21
19-24
16-21
24-15
27-18
28-18
13-20
171.0Avg total
89.5Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)83.378.1161.4+5.163%
Season at home (19)86.376.1162.4+10.279%
Season away (19)80.280.2160.4+0.147%
Last 10 (10)89.581.5171.0+8.070%
Last 5 (5)85.675.2160.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.583.8163.2-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.684.4168.0-0.764%
vs Weaker (15)86.374.9161.1+11.473%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A21/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
107-70
107
70
+37
H05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
96-71
96
71
+25
A11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
A13/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H21/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H24/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
79-87 OT
79
87
-8
A01/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H06/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A16/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A18/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
24-21
20-29
25-16
32-14
25-21
25-20
25-15
27-24
18-18
31-18
20-11
24-24
19-19
16-32
22-29
28-24
30-17
17-22
21-21
20-16
21-18
29-21
24-15
13-17
16-16
20-14
19-21
33-21
18-21
14-25
22-24
19-27
24-12
9-27
11-29
23-31
14-17
14-21
14-25
170.5Avg total
86.0Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)81.079.8160.8+1.155%
Season at home (19)84.877.2162.0+7.774%
Season away (19)77.182.5159.6-5.437%
Last 10 (10)86.084.5170.5+1.550%
Last 5 (5)77.687.4165.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.087.2171.2-3.238%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.584.5168.0-1.145%
vs Weaker (11)83.474.8158.2+8.582%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
PaulistanoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A23/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H18/04
NBB
85.2Avg total
44.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.481.7+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.439.884.1+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.639.179.6+1.538%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.785.2+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.277.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.843.081.8-4.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.040.383.3+2.745%-
vs Weaker (15)42.837.880.6+5.067%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A21/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A13/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H21/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H24/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A01/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H06/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A18/04
NBB
84.2Avg total
45.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.182.3+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.141.686.7+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)37.340.577.8-3.347%-
Last 10 (10)45.139.184.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.279.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.145.487.5-3.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.542.582.0-3.127%-
vs Weaker (11)42.336.578.7+5.891%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.7
54.0%
52.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.1
36.6%
32.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.814.2
75.5%
72.8%14.2
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.4
51.6%
52.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.2
36.8%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.416.6
77.6%
72.8%16.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WLWWWLWWLW
Bauru
LLLLWWLWWW
#7
League position
#10
+8.5
Net rating
+1.7
101.9
Offensive rating
96.3
93.4
Defensive rating
94.6
54.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.6%
3-point %
36.8%
50.3%
Assist %
78.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 96.3Defence93.4 · 94.6Shooting54.4% · 53.1%3-point %36.6% · 36.8%Ball care13.2% · 15.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Paulistano   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Paulistano wins
5
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26Bauru v Paulistano87-89
20/10/25Paulistano v Bauru66-59
03/05/25Bauru v Paulistano85-80 OT
30/04/25Paulistano v Bauru54-84
27/04/25Bauru v Paulistano60-62
25/04/25Bauru v Paulistano81-63
22/04/25Paulistano v Bauru93-77
20/01/25Bauru v Paulistano73-85
28/10/24Paulistano v Bauru79-83
08/01/24Paulistano v Bauru55-66
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HPato92-71
15/04/26AMogi70-84
09/04/26ACorinthians Paulista84-80
03/04/26ABotafogo86-72
01/04/26AVasco96-69
23/03/26AFlamengo79-84
19/03/26HCearense91-77
17/03/26HRio Claro100-87
10/03/26HCruzeiro88-89
06/03/26HUnifacisa109-102 OT
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26ABrasilia65-94
16/04/26ARio Claro63-95
06/04/26HFranca87-91
01/04/26AMogi79-87 OT
24/03/26HPato94-70
21/03/26HUnifacisa96-84
13/03/26ACorinthians Paulista81-104
11/03/26ASao Jose96-71
05/03/26HCearense107-70
21/02/26AFlamengo92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW63%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayLWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %63%79%47%
Points / game83.386.380.2
Allowed / game78.176.180.2
Point differential+5.1+10.2+0.1
Avg total161.4162.4160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%47%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)43% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL55%
HomeWWWWL74%
AwayWLLLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %55%74%37%
Points / game81.084.877.1
Allowed / game79.877.282.5
Point differential+1.1+7.7-5.4
Avg total160.8162.0159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3832684%90.876.9+13.9
2 Pinheiros3931879%85.574.2+11.3
3 Minas3930977%88.381.5+6.7
4 Brasilia38281074%81.672.0+9.6
5 Flamengo38281074%87.579.0+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista39281172%85.379.3+5.9
7 Paulistano38241463%83.378.1+5.1
8 Sao Jose38221658%82.180.6+1.5
9 Mogi38211755%76.571.3+5.2
10 Bauru38211755%81.079.8+1.1
11 Unifacisa39201951%81.580.6+0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians38191950%80.281.9-1.7
13 Caxias do Sul38172145%74.076.8-2.8
14 Cruzeiro39132633%80.685.8-5.2
15 Rio Claro39122731%78.685.6-6.9
16 Botafogo38102826%73.583.8-10.3
17 Pato3873118%71.980.8-8.9
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3863216%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2116251880
Bauru138282877
← all games of the day
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