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Bayern vs Chemnitz Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 09 May 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#14
Record2-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game88.7
GermanyBBLRound 34· BMW Park
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bayern v Chemnitz
09 May 2027
BAY v CHE
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
BAY91
CHE77
20 Sep 2024
BAY73
CHE59
13 Feb 2024
BAY89
CHE80
09 Oct 2022
BAY88
CHE74
15 May 2022
BAY93
CHE76
13 May 2022
BAY77
CHE53
09 Jan 2022
BAY63
CHE65
10 Jan 2021
BAY77
CHE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
87-94
87
94
-7
74avg 84
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 84
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
101-93
101
93
+8
96avg 84
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 84
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#7
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 84
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 84
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 84
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 84
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
L
67-69
67
69
-2
no box
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
22-17
25-23
19-19
21-25
24-25
22-12
20-21
26-22
28-24
21-22
26-25
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
175.6Avg total
88.1Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.369.7166.0+26.686%
Season at home (5)104.067.2171.2+36.8100%
Season away (2)77.076.0153.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)88.187.5175.6+0.640%
Last 5 (5)85.680.6166.2+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.494.4179.9-9.022%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.773.8163.5+15.981%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Tofas
#5
L
69-82
69
82
-13
56avg 79
A29/09
Eurocup
Jena
#17
L
76-82
76
82
-6
66avg 79
A04/10
BBL
Neptunas
#29
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 79
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 79
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#26
W
88-80
88
80
+8
75avg 79
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
95-67
95
67
+28
88avg 79
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
88-98
88
98
-10
87avg 79
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 79
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
15-24
23-14
16-22
19-21
19-19
16-22
22-20
31-15
26-24
18-27
18-18
25-21
25-24
12-22
21-20
19-17
18-17
18-24
33-22
20-21
26-19
24-20
25-7
17-27
25-23
15-27
31-21
25-19
21-13
29-17
21-28
18-23
25-25
24-10
27-20
22-23
22-26
22-24
18-23
169.7Avg total
86.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.788.7175.4-2.029%
Season at home (3)90.386.0176.3+4.367%
Season away (4)84.090.8174.8-6.80%
Last 10 (10)86.683.1169.7+3.550%
Last 5 (5)91.483.2174.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.681.8157.4-6.230%
vs Similar (11)84.786.3171.0-1.545%
vs Weaker (9)89.284.1173.3+5.167%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
BayernChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#7
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
89.5Avg total
42.5Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.284.9+4.677%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.139.085.1+7.183%-
Last 30 away (12)42.841.984.7+0.867%-
Last 10 (10)42.547.089.5-4.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.283.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.348.789.0-8.344%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.736.583.2+10.190%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A29/09
Eurocup
Jena
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/10
BBL
Neptunas
#29
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#26
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#12
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Eurocup
85.6Avg total
43.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.582.9+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.238.283.5+7.069%-
Last 30 away (17)40.242.382.5-2.141%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.385.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.888.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.040.982.9+1.150%-
vs Similar (11)42.241.483.5+0.845%-
vs Weaker (9)43.039.182.1+3.967%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
55.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
33.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.816.2
81.8%
73.7%16.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.8
55.5%
55.7%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
73.7%14.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLLWLLWWL
Chemnitz
LWWLWWLWLL
#1
League position
#14
+2.0
Net rating
+4.0
103.8
Offensive rating
94.5
101.8
Defensive rating
90.5
57.5%
Effective FG%
52.0%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.8%
3-point %
31.7%
65.1%
Assist %
60.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 94.5Defence101.8 · 90.5Shooting57.5% · 52.0%3-point %37.8% · 31.7%Ball care16.1% · 16.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Bayern wins
0
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Chemnitz v Bayern83-87
12/04/26Bayern v Chemnitz91-77
18/01/26Chemnitz v Bayern59-87
02/03/25Chemnitz v Bayern72-94
20/09/24Bayern v Chemnitz73-59
13/02/24Bayern v Chemnitz89-80
21/01/24Chemnitz v Bayern73-86
12/02/23Chemnitz v Bayern58-79
09/10/22Bayern v Chemnitz88-74
20/05/22Chemnitz v Bayern80-87 OT
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
14/10/26AAnadolu Efes101-93
10/10/26AChemnitz87-83
08/10/26HVirtus Bologna87-94
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ABuducnost84-96
31/10/26HLudwigsburg94-78
28/10/26HJL Bourg96-77
26/10/26AWurzburg88-98
21/10/26HSlask Wroclaw95-67
13/10/26ATrento88-80
10/10/26HBayern83-87
07/10/26HNeptunas93-84
04/10/26AJena76-82
29/09/26ATofas69-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game96.3104.077.0
Allowed / game69.767.276.0
Point differential+26.6+36.8+1.0
Avg total166.0171.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game86.790.384.0
Allowed / game88.786.090.8
Point differential-2.0+4.3-6.8
Avg total175.4176.3174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %29%33%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern76186%96.369.7+26.6
2 Trier65183%99.587.3+12.2
3 Frankfurt54180%90.284.6+5.6
4 Syntainics MBC75271%88.081.1+6.9
5 Wurzburg64267%82.880.2+2.7
6 Rostock74357%88.781.7+7.0
7 Bonn74357%86.781.9+4.9
8 Bamberg74357%88.084.9+3.1
9 Ludwigsburg74357%87.187.7-0.6
10 Ulm73443%81.984.9-3.0
11 Alba Berlin73443%84.090.0-6.0
12 Oldenburg73443%74.483.4-9.0
13 Basketball Braunschweig73443%85.996.4-10.6
14 Chemnitz72529%86.788.7-2.0
15 Phoenix Hagen72529%85.790.4-4.7
16 Vechta72529%84.490.9-6.4
17 Jena72529%76.688.3-11.7
18 Hamburg71614%81.192.3-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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