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Bayern vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-80
22-21 17-32 23-19 27-8
Position#1
Record15-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game76.8
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#3
Record17-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game75.8
GermanyBBLRound 21· BMW Park
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bayern v Chemnitz
09 May 2027
BAY v CHE
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
BAY91
CHE77
20 Sep 2024
BAY73
CHE59
13 Feb 2024
BAY89
CHE80
09 Oct 2022
BAY88
CHE74
15 May 2022
BAY93
CHE76
13 May 2022
BAY77
CHE53
09 Jan 2022
BAY63
CHE65
10 Jan 2021
BAY77
CHE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
91-69
91
69
+22
90avg 77
H14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 77
A18/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 77
A21/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
64-76
64
76
-12
48avg 77
H25/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
98-81
98
81
+17
94avg 77
H28/01
BBL
Baskonia
#9
W
112-109 OT
112
109
+3
113avg 77
H30/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
64avg 77
H01/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
93-73
93
73
+20
93avg 77
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 77
A08/02
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
116-86
116
86
+30
112avg 77
A11/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
20-27
13-14
34-16
19-19
24-11
23-21
16-14
23-25
15-19
25-16
23-13
19-20
10-20
21-19
14-17
21-27
31-11
17-17
29-26
25-19
31-33
26-24
12-18
14-18
24-17
13-19
21-22
25-20
21-21
25-18
22-14
26-23
15-22
18-18
20-15
34-21
27-22
28-14
27-29
167.9Avg total
89.3Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.476.8167.2+13.683%
Season at home (9)91.774.9166.6+16.8100%
Season away (9)89.178.8167.9+10.367%
Last 10 (10)89.378.6167.9+10.780%
Last 5 (5)94.484.4178.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.382.2166.5+2.267%
vs Weaker (12)92.376.1168.4+16.2100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
85-66
85
66
+19
81avg 81
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
88-58
88
58
+30
97avg 81
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 81
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
94avg 81
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 81
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 81
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
99-77
99
77
+22
76avg 81
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
94-90
94
90
+4
90avg 81
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
70avg 81
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 81
H10/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
24-14
15-16
32-20
17-13
27-7
24-20
20-18
18-18
20-21
20-10
27-28
23-18
28-22
19-23
19-26
25-23
19-15
16-25
13-23
21-25
16-20
20-18
21-27
21-20
28-19
29-7
21-31
23-26
26-18
19-19
26-27
16-15
25-16
21-11
16-15
20-21
24-22
15-11
28-15
163.6Avg total
86.8Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.575.8163.2+11.785%
Season at home (10)87.472.6160.0+14.890%
Season away (10)87.579.0166.5+8.580%
Last 10 (10)86.876.8163.6+10.080%
Last 5 (5)87.276.6163.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)81.389.0170.3-7.733%
vs Weaker (27)88.772.4161.1+16.393%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
BayernChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A18/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H25/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H28/01
BBL
Baskonia
#9
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H30/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/02
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A11/02
BBL
85.5Avg total
44.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.781.6+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.139.982.0+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.581.2+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.785.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.291.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.041.276.2-6.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.141.983.0-0.842%-
vs Weaker (12)46.136.882.9+9.292%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
44-20
44
20
+24
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H10/02
BBL
80.4Avg total
43.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.336.579.7+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.736.381.0+8.488%-
Last 30 away (14)41.636.678.3+5.057%-
Last 10 (10)43.536.980.4+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.484.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.746.088.7-3.333%-
vs Weaker (27)43.335.478.7+7.978%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.8
57.6%
54.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.913.0
46.6%
35.4%39.0
🏀 Free throws13.49.9
73.9%
76.0%9.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.423.5
58.2%
54.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.2
31.5%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.114.4
68.2%
76.0%14.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWLWWLWWW
Chemnitz
WWWWLLWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+15.1
Net rating
+13.3
127.6
Offensive rating
112.0
112.5
Defensive rating
98.7
63.1%
Effective FG%
53.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.8%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
46.6%
3-point %
31.5%
51.8%
Assist %
66.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence127.6 · 112.0Defence112.5 · 98.7Shooting63.1% · 53.9%3-point %46.6% · 31.5%Ball care14.8% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.9% · 37.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
4
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Chemnitz v Bayern73-86
12/02/23Chemnitz v Bayern58-79
09/10/22Bayern v Chemnitz88-74
20/05/22Chemnitz v Bayern80-87 OT
15/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz93-76
13/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz77-53
15/02/22Chemnitz v Bayern77-58
09/01/22Bayern v Chemnitz63-65
14/11/21Chemnitz v Bayern85-80
14/02/21Chemnitz v Bayern85-83
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ASyntainics MBC116-86
08/02/24APartizan79-78
05/02/24HOldenburg93-73
01/02/24HOlympiacos72-76
30/01/24HBaskonia112-109 OT
28/01/24HCrailsheim Merlins98-81
25/01/24HLyon-Villeurbanne64-76
21/01/24AChemnitz86-73
18/01/24AAlba Berlin82-65
14/01/24HBamberg91-69
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HOldenburg87-69
07/02/24HLeiden78-57
03/02/24ARostock94-90
27/01/24AHeidelberg99-77
24/01/24AVarese78-90
21/01/24HBayern73-86
17/01/24HCSM Oradea101-98 OT
12/01/24ABonn85-77
10/01/24ALeiden88-58
06/01/24HLudwigsburg85-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game90.491.789.1
Allowed / game76.874.978.8
Point differential+13.6+16.8+10.3
Avg total167.2166.6167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%78%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%90%80%
Points / game87.587.487.5
Allowed / game75.872.679.0
Point differential+11.7+14.8+8.5
Avg total163.2160.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%70%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)-80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz2017385%87.575.8+11.7
2 Bayern1815383%90.476.8+13.6
3 Alba Berlin1712571%92.285.1+7.1
4 Wurzburg1913668%85.278.8+6.4
5 Ludwigsburg2013765%89.580.1+9.3
6 Vechta2013765%90.481.7+8.8
7 Ulm2013765%92.589.5+3.0
8 Bonn2113862%90.785.8+4.9
9 Hamburg1911858%87.988.4-0.5
10 Basketball Braunschweig22111150%84.686.0-1.4
11 Oldenburg2091145%84.485.8-1.4
12 Bamberg2071335%87.090.5-3.5
13 Gottingen1861233%91.398.2-6.9
14 Rostock1961332%91.094.6-3.6
15 Syntainics MBC2161529%84.991.1-6.2
16 Tubingen2051525%86.496.8-10.4
17 Crailsheim Merlins2041620%79.593.9-14.3
18 Heidelberg2031715%81.896.0-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2217232789
Chemnitz213219880
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