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Bayern vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-59
16-16 20-12 26-18 11-13
Position#1
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#7
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyBBLRound 3· Barth B.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bayern v Chemnitz
09 May 2027
BAY v CHE
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
BAY91
CHE77
20 Sep 2024
BAY73
CHE59
13 Feb 2024
BAY89
CHE80
09 Oct 2022
BAY88
CHE74
15 May 2022
BAY93
CHE76
13 May 2022
BAY77
CHE53
09 Jan 2022
BAY63
CHE65
10 Jan 2021
BAY77
CHE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
83-67
83
67
+16
90avg 79
H20/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
82avg 79
A22/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 79
A24/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
91-76
91
76
+15
92avg 79
H29/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
98avg 79
H31/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
75-61
75
61
+14
68avg 79
A02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
79-67
79
67
+12
72avg 79
H08/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
63avg 79
H10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
63avg 79
A12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 79
A14/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
22-14
21-16
19-18
26-18
19-19
12-16
27-20
17-11
23-23
21-23
15-12
21-11
28-16
25-23
17-26
22-21
26-23
25-16
26-15
12-18
26-15
22-13
15-15
26-19
20-24
23-19
10-5
26-19
6-20
18-17
20-23
17-14
14-14
17-17
19-18
22-21
22-25
21-6
23-30
152.4Avg total
81.2Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.271.2152.4+10.090%
Last 5 (5)75.870.4146.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.286.8165.0-8.50%
vs Similar (8)70.866.4137.1+4.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.476.5163.9+10.983%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
79-66
79
66
+13
72avg 82
H12/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
39avg 82
H17/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
87-96
87
96
-9
76avg 82
H19/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
71avg 82
A21/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 82
A23/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 82
A28/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
51avg 82
A31/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 82
H02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
72avg 82
H04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 82
A06/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
24-6
19-18
22-24
19-16
23-18
24-13
17-30
18-15
17-27
28-27
24-27
17-24
29-17
23-19
15-16
27-14
17-12
16-23
24-18
20-19
24-13
28-27
23-23
17-27
23-21
12-21
12-17
14-26
15-11
24-24
31-11
28-27
23-16
17-22
17-31
28-30
25-18
20-26
11-23
164.4Avg total
82.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.981.5164.4+1.460%
Last 5 (5)82.486.6169.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (15)83.784.9168.6-1.347%
vs Weaker (15)93.579.5173.0+14.180%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
BayernChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H20/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A22/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H29/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H31/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H08/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A14/06
BBL
78.0Avg total
41.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.778.6+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.436.879.2+5.673%-
Last 30 away (15)39.438.778.1+0.767%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.478.0+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.876.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.846.879.5-14.00%-
vs Similar (8)37.134.271.4+2.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.437.381.7+7.194%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H12/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H19/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A21/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A23/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A06/06
BBL
79.7Avg total
42.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.784.1+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.538.180.6+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)46.441.387.7+5.173%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.579.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.685.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (15)43.640.484.0+3.260%-
vs Weaker (15)45.339.084.3+6.380%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.5
56.7%
52.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.7
40.1%
33.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws14.712.3
83.7%
73.5%12.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.5
56.4%
52.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.1
33.1%
33.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.411.6
70.7%
73.5%11.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLWWWWWWW
Chemnitz
LLWLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#7
+15.9
Net rating
+1.9
118.2
Offensive rating
110.8
102.3
Defensive rating
108.9
58.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.1%
3-point %
33.1%
58.6%
Assist %
54.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 110.8Defence102.3 · 108.9Shooting58.2% · 53.6%3-point %40.1% · 33.1%Ball care16.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.0% · 30.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bayern wins
3
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
13/02/24Bayern v Chemnitz89-80
21/01/24Chemnitz v Bayern73-86
12/02/23Chemnitz v Bayern58-79
09/10/22Bayern v Chemnitz88-74
20/05/22Chemnitz v Bayern80-87 OT
15/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz93-76
13/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz77-53
15/02/22Chemnitz v Bayern77-58
09/01/22Bayern v Chemnitz63-65
14/11/21Chemnitz v Bayern85-80
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/24AAlba Berlin88-82
12/06/24AAlba Berlin67-63
10/06/24HAlba Berlin70-79
08/06/24HAlba Berlin79-67
02/06/24AWurzburg75-61
31/05/24HWurzburg99-75
29/05/24HWurzburg91-76
24/05/24ALudwigsburg76-69
22/05/24ALudwigsburg84-73
20/05/24HLudwigsburg83-67
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/24AAlba Berlin84-97
04/06/24HAlba Berlin85-96
02/06/24HAlba Berlin84-72
31/05/24AAlba Berlin64-86
28/05/24AAlba Berlin95-82
23/05/24AVechta84-67
21/05/24AVechta84-76
19/05/24HVechta87-96
17/05/24HVechta83-77
12/05/24HWurzburg79-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1620261173
Chemnitz1612181359
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