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Baylor vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 73-68
32-40 41-28
Position#200
Record13-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game76.7
Baylor 🏆
USA
vs
Arizona State
USA
Position#194
Record14-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game78.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Baylor v Arizona State
21 Feb 2026
BAYL73
ARIZ68
24 Nov 2021
BAYL75
ARIZ63
22 Mar 2013
BAYL89
ARIZ86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A17/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H21/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H24/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-43
25-37
36-55
37-37
38-38
52-59
28-35
29-32
38-30
25-23
45-21
41-46
33-37
36-35
41-41
53-58
34-34
37-48
34-41
40-49
153.8Avg total
73.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.076.7159.7+6.350%
Season at home (17)89.177.9166.9+11.259%
Season away (9)71.674.3145.9-2.833%
Last 10 (10)73.979.9153.8-6.020%
Last 5 (5)78.882.0160.8-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.877.7143.5-11.80%
vs Similar (14)80.877.9158.6+2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.773.0164.7+18.780%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
73-103
73
103
-30
A18/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H22/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H25/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
43-51
29-56
44-47
37-35
26-40
37-33
45-35
39-35
37-44
38-38
36-49
41-25
30-38
32-39
38-39
39-34
46-42
37-36
35-31
153.3Avg total
74.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.578.7157.2-0.254%
Season at home (16)78.974.9153.9+4.062%
Season away (10)77.784.7162.4-7.040%
Last 10 (10)74.878.5153.3-3.740%
Last 5 (5)74.474.2148.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.985.1162.1-8.235%
vs Similar (13)79.174.4153.5+4.762%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -4.9-4.92nd half: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -4.9-4.92nd half: -3.6-3.6
BaylorArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H21/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A18/02
NCAA
73.9Avg total
36.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.476.2+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.535.277.7+7.361%-
Last 30 away (12)35.838.274.0-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.573.9-1.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.038.069.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (14)37.436.674.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.635.083.6+13.680%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A18/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H22/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H18/02
NCAA
73.7Avg total
36.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.676.0-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.036.474.4+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)36.541.678.2-5.138%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.973.7-0.170%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.471.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.140.677.7-3.547%-
vs Similar (13)37.736.173.8+1.646%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Baylor wins
0
Arizona State wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Arizona State v Baylor66-72 OT
25/11/21Baylor v Arizona State75-63
23/03/13Baylor v Arizona State89-86
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AKansas State74-90
14/02/26HLouisville71-82
11/02/26HBrigham Young94-99
07/02/26AIowa State69-72
05/02/26HColorado86-67
31/01/26AWest Virginia63-53
28/01/26ACincinnati57-67
24/01/26HTCU90-97
21/01/26HTexas Tech73-92
17/01/26AKansas62-80
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HTexas Tech72-67
11/02/26HOklahoma State85-76
08/02/26AColorado70-78
05/02/26AUtah Utes71-63
31/01/26HArizona74-87
28/01/26AUCF Knights76-79
25/01/26HCincinnati82-68
22/01/26HWest Virginia63-75
18/01/26AHouston73-103
15/01/26AArizona82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeLLWLL59%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %50%59%33%
Points / game83.089.171.6
Allowed / game76.777.974.3
Point differential+6.3+11.2-2.8
Avg total159.7166.9145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arizona State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %54%62%40%
Points / game78.578.977.7
Allowed / game78.774.984.7
Point differential-0.2+4.0-7.0
Avg total157.2153.9162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2725293%87.268.5+18.7
2 Houston2723485%77.462.0+15.4
3 Iowa State2622485%83.065.2+17.8
4 Texas Tech2720774%82.172.3+9.8
5 Kansas2720774%76.968.6+8.3
6 Brigham Young2619773%85.874.5+11.2
7 UCF Knights2518772%81.877.4+4.4
8 TCU26161062%78.672.5+6.1
9 West Virginia26161062%69.663.7+5.9
10 Oklahoma State27161159%83.681.4+2.2
11 Cincinnati27151256%72.767.0+5.7
12 Colorado27151256%80.178.2+2.0
13 Arizona State26141254%78.578.7-0.2
14 Baylor26131350%83.076.7+6.3
15 Kansas State27111641%80.381.1-0.9
16 Utah Utes26101638%75.878.6-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor324173
Arizona State402868
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