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Baylor vs Iowa State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 58-73
22-33 36-40
Position#67
Record22-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#136
Record17-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game62.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Baylor v Iowa State
07 Jan 2026
BAYL60
IOWA70
03 Feb 2024
BAYL70
IOWA68
09 Mar 2023
BAYL72
IOWA78
04 Mar 2023
BAYL58
IOWA73
05 Mar 2022
BAYL75
IOWA68
23 Feb 2021
BAYL77
IOWA72
15 Jan 2020
BAYL68
IOWA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#112
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H04/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H09/02
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A11/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
40-31
36-38
35-38
38-34
51-28
41-35
41-37
31-34
41-34
36-29
43-38
45-32
26-55
34-31
31-44
29-27
52-45
41-30
33-38
146.2Avg total
75.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.069.9147.9+8.173%
Season at home (19)82.367.1149.4+15.284%
Season away (11)70.574.7145.2-4.355%
Last 10 (10)75.171.1146.2+4.070%
Last 5 (5)74.073.8147.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (20)77.273.9151.1+3.360%
vs Weaker (8)81.460.1141.5+21.2100%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#56
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A28/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H04/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H11/02
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H16/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H25/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
29-36
39-22
32-49
33-21
35-32
30-36
41-40
32-26
24-38
35-24
35-35
31-23
24-38
29-47
25-25
28-23
22-38
27-35
42-37
130.7Avg total
63.1Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.362.3130.6+6.059%
Season at home (17)71.956.8128.6+15.182%
Season away (12)63.270.2133.4-6.925%
Last 10 (10)63.167.6130.7-4.520%
Last 5 (5)59.665.0124.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.770.0131.7-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (20)67.966.2134.1+1.850%
vs Weaker (7)70.649.1119.7+21.486%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -5.9-5.9
BaylorIowa State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#112
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H28/01
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H09/02
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A18/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A28/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
35.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.732.269.8+5.577%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.130.869.8+8.389%-
Last 30 away (11)35.334.569.8+0.755%-
Last 10 (10)35.832.368.1+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.029.866.8+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.534.071.5+3.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)37.034.071.0+3.070%-
vs Weaker (8)39.427.166.5+12.288%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#56
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A31/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H04/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A09/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H11/02
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H16/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A18/02
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H25/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H28/02
NCAA
61.5Avg total
31.6Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.628.961.4+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.925.859.8+8.182%-
Last 30 away (13)30.832.863.6-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)31.629.961.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)30.030.460.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.040.071.0-9.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)32.429.261.6+3.155%-
vs Weaker (7)33.923.056.9+10.986%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baylor wins
1
Iowa State wins
DateGameScore
31/12/22Iowa State v Baylor77-62
05/03/22Baylor v Iowa State75-68
01/01/22Iowa State v Baylor72-77
24/02/21Baylor v Iowa State77-72
02/01/21Iowa State v Baylor65-76
30/01/20Iowa State v Baylor53-67
16/01/20Baylor v Iowa State68-55
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/23AOklahoma State74-68
25/02/23HTexas81-72
22/02/23AKansas State65-75
18/02/23AKansas71-87
14/02/23HWest Virginia79-67
11/02/23ATCU72-68
09/02/23HOklahoma82-72
04/02/23HTexas Tech89-62
31/01/23ATexas71-76
28/01/23HArkansas67-64
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/23HWest Virginia69-72
25/02/23HOklahoma50-61
22/02/23ATexas54-72
18/02/23AKansas State55-61
16/02/23HTCU70-59
11/02/23HOklahoma State56-64
09/02/23AWest Virginia71-76
04/02/23HKansas68-53
31/01/23ATexas Tech77-80 OT
28/01/23AMissouri61-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW73%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayLWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %73%84%55%
Points / game78.082.370.5
Allowed / game69.967.174.7
Point differential+8.1+15.2-4.3
Avg total147.9149.4145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Iowa State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL59%
HomeWLWLL82%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %59%82%25%
Points / game68.371.963.2
Allowed / game62.356.870.2
Point differential+6.0+15.1-6.9
Avg total130.6128.6133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3028293%76.356.2+20.1
2 Arizona3025583%83.571.6+11.9
3 Kansas3025583%76.168.0+8.1
4 Kansas State3023777%75.668.0+7.6
5 Baylor3022873%78.069.9+8.1
6 TCU30201067%76.067.8+8.2
7 Arizona State30201067%70.967.6+3.3
8 Cincinnati30191163%77.369.6+7.7
9 Iowa State29171259%68.362.3+6.0
10 Utah Utes30171357%69.263.4+5.8
11 West Virginia30171357%76.370.8+5.5
12 Brigham Young32181456%75.869.9+5.9
13 UCF Knights29161355%71.665.6+6.0
14 Texas Tech30161453%73.968.6+5.3
15 Oklahoma State30161453%69.566.8+2.7
16 Colorado30151550%70.066.5+3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor223658
Iowa State334073
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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