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Baylor vs Iowa State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 70-68
40-28 30-40
Position#58
Record15-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game71.0
Baylor 🏆
USA
vs
Position#18
Record16-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game61.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Baylor v Iowa State
07 Jan 2026
BAYL60
IOWA70
03 Feb 2024
BAYL70
IOWA68
09 Mar 2023
BAYL72
IOWA78
04 Mar 2023
BAYL58
IOWA73
05 Mar 2022
BAYL75
IOWA68
23 Feb 2021
BAYL77
IOWA72
15 Jan 2020
BAYL68
IOWA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#32
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
107-48
107
48
+59
H23/12
NCAA
Cornell
#28
W
98-79
98
79
+19
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
75-70 OT
75
70
+5
A06/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
64-68 OT
64
68
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A20/01
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
H27/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
38-44
50-20
57-28
58-42
40-37
27-31
33-29
33-39
48-33
27-27
35-32
31-26
23-28
41-42
32-33
40-35
36-41
32-38
45-31
153.2Avg total
80.9Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.771.0155.6+13.775%
Season at home (12)90.667.3157.9+23.292%
Season away (8)75.876.4152.1-0.650%
Last 10 (10)80.972.3153.2+8.660%
Last 5 (5)75.675.2150.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (17)76.176.9153.0-0.947%
vs Weaker (12)86.263.2149.3+23.092%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#357
W
96-58
96
58
+38
H17/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
80-48
80
48
+32
H22/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H31/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A06/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H10/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
66-42
66
42
+24
H14/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A17/01
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A20/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H25/01
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-24
52-34
39-26
41-22
43-35
42-35
26-32
37-39
31-21
26-32
37-26
29-16
35-39
37-48
44-26
29-46
41-29
37-38
30-26
49-49
139.2Avg total
74.9Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.561.8142.2+18.780%
Season at home (14)83.756.4140.1+27.393%
Season away (6)72.874.2147.0-1.350%
Last 10 (10)74.964.3139.2+10.680%
Last 5 (5)73.668.6142.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.072.0126.0-18.00%
vs Similar (10)62.965.6128.5-2.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.560.8141.4+19.779%
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +2.0+2.0
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +2.0+2.0
BaylorIowa State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#32
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H23/12
NCAA
Cornell
#28
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A06/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H10/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H14/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/01
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H27/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.1Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.070.3+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.132.271.3+6.967%-
Last 30 away (12)34.734.268.8+0.542%-
Last 10 (10)37.133.470.5+3.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.667.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (17)34.835.570.3-0.841%-
vs Weaker (12)41.228.669.8+12.783%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#357
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H17/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H22/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H31/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A06/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H14/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A17/01
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A20/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H27/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
37.0Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.228.965.1+7.370%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.526.064.5+12.589%-
Last 30 away (11)32.433.966.3-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)37.028.465.4+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)37.429.266.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.047.076.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (10)31.029.460.4+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.427.767.1+11.784%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baylor wins
3
Iowa State wins
DateGameScore
09/03/23Baylor v Iowa State72-78
04/03/23Baylor v Iowa State58-73
31/12/22Iowa State v Baylor77-62
05/03/22Baylor v Iowa State75-68
01/01/22Iowa State v Baylor72-77
24/02/21Baylor v Iowa State77-72
02/01/21Iowa State v Baylor65-76
30/01/20Iowa State v Baylor53-67
16/01/20Baylor v Iowa State68-55
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24AUCF Knights77-69
27/01/24HTCU102-105 OT
20/01/24ATexas73-75
17/01/24AKansas State64-68 OT
14/01/24HCincinnati62-59
10/01/24HBrigham Young81-72
06/01/24AOklahoma State75-70 OT
03/01/24HCornell98-79
23/12/23HMiss. Valley St.107-48
21/12/23ADuke70-78
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HKansas79-75
25/01/24HKansas State78-67
20/01/24ATCU73-72
17/01/24ABrigham Young72-87
14/01/24HOklahoma State66-42
10/01/24HHouston57-53
06/01/24AOklahoma63-71
31/12/23HNew Hampshire Wildcats85-70
22/12/23HEastern Illinois80-48
17/12/23HFlorida A&M96-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW75%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %75%92%50%
Points / game84.790.675.8
Allowed / game71.067.376.4
Point differential+13.7+23.2-0.6
Avg total155.6157.9152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %15%8%25%
Iowa State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20146
Win %80%93%50%
Points / game80.583.772.8
Allowed / game61.856.474.2
Point differential+18.7+27.3-1.3
Avg total142.2140.1147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%79%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston2219386%73.654.0+19.6
2 Kansas2218482%79.167.5+11.6
3 Iowa State2016480%80.561.8+18.7
4 Brigham Young2116576%84.466.0+18.4
5 Arizona2116576%89.372.1+17.2
6 Texas Tech2116576%77.068.4+8.6
7 Baylor2015575%84.771.0+13.7
8 TCU2216673%82.971.1+11.7
9 Cincinnati2215768%77.066.8+10.1
10 Colorado2215768%80.771.2+9.5
11 Utah Utes2215768%78.471.2+7.2
12 Kansas State2214864%72.068.7+3.4
13 UCF Knights2113862%71.965.0+6.9
14 Arizona State22111150%68.972.0-3.0
15 Oklahoma State22101245%71.170.2+1.0
16 West Virginia2281436%68.572.8-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor403070
Iowa State284068
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